So is the answer to never spend money on pitching? That seems a lot more reasonable than saying trade Prior now because 2 years down the road he'll be making a lot of money and there's a chance he won't be healthy. The answer is to trade declining assets if it's reasonable to believe they won't return to form and invest in pitchers you can be confident will be healthy and consistent like Zambrano for example. the example you use takes the conversation completely out of context. you make guys like Z seem a dime a dozen. health and consistency....so pitchers like Maddux are the answer? healthy, consistent, he's perfect! and about trading those declining assets, think you'll get full value for them, or is it reasonable to do a cost benefit analysis and determine it is better to keep them ie. 20 starts of Prior at his current salary is well worth the price? Wood's trade value is nothing. think you can work out a deal that would make NOT taking a risk on him one more year worth it, keeping in mind that you'll have to eat most of his contract, and will get next to nothing in return? is one possible approach having a back up plan of spending about three million - as opposed to the astronomical sum you make it out to be - on servicable starters (Rusch, Miller, Williams) and keeping a stable of capable starters in the minors instead of trading them away (Hill, Guz, Marshall, Ryu, etc.)? So if Prior gets himself into Wood's situation would you just want him to walk as a free agent? What do you want to see the Cubs do with Wood? If we could just pull up guys from the minors that would pitch well right away like a lot of other teams do, I'd feel better about the situation. If we could have gotten Abreu or Tejada, I would have been fine with that as far as the value goes. Let's also not forget Prior has had an ERA around 4 the last two years. Like I said, maybe he was pitching differently to avoid injury or something, but that's another problem. If he was pitching like a very good pitcher, maybe I'd be inclined to cut him more slack, I don't know.