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Ender

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Everything posted by Ender

  1. Ender
    Brewers played tough against the D-Backs and if Webb wasn't so darn good could have easily swept them, then they got swept by the Giants. You might as well just roll a die to determine which Brewers will show up. When they are on they can beat anyone even on the road (2 of 3 vs Detroit, 2 of 3 vs Twins, 2 of 3 vs DBacks etc) and when they are off they can get swept by the cardinals, reds and giants, heh.
  2. Ender
    If Sheets is unable to fill-in, who will? I guess it won't matter because the Cubs will pretend he's Jake Peavy. Most likely it will be Capuano or Parra, both lefties. Long term it might be Villaneuva but I think he's staying in the minors to finish getting stretched back out to start.
  3. Ender
    As a Brewer fan I really hope this is true! Vargas is our Marquis, the guy who is terrible but somehow ended up with an OK ERA and a decent record in his starts.
  4. Ender
    At this point I think the Brewers have 0% chance, the Cubs about 15% and the Cardinals are going to win the division with what has to be one of the worst starting rotations in baseball.
  5. Ender
    It's gruss which is a german world meaning greetings. Apparently it was just added to sound good not to make sense at all.
  6. Ender
    In Clay Davenport's latest chat he mentioned that at around 140 games into the season real records are statistically more accurate than pythagorean records. He didn't give any numbers to back up that statement but he's generally a pretty knowledgable guy when it comes to numbers so I assume he is correct.
  7. Ender
    True, when you have a small market team which is also poorly run like the Pirates they can stay profitable now instead of needing new ownership. My statement was slightly sarcastic, when Selig first owned the team I'm sure he was passionate about it but at some point it was pretty clear he wasn't even trying to field a winning team, he just spinned his wheels every year while pushing his revenue sharing plans.
  8. Ender
    Selig was never really attached to the team, he just ran it into the ground to support his revenue sharing agenda. When I saw the video I said right off that it would be reduced to 1 to 2 games, there is no way thats a 3 game suspension act. If he bumped him it was the lightest tap ever.
  9. Ender
    Talent wise the Brewers are also a .500ish team, Cardinals are a sub .500 team talent wise but with the most experience. Brewers are the youngest of the bunch so will probably have the most pressure related struggles. I think the division really comes down to which team gets hot but my predicition is Cubs take it by a game or two unless the Brewers win that series in Chicago. I think all the teams are close enough overall that pretty much anyone could win it. I don't think any of the teams will win much more than 21-23 game of the last 38 though and my honest prediction for each of them would be 21 or lower and one will beat the spread.
  10. Ender
    I think the Cubs will win something like 17-21 of the games, expecting much more is being overly optimistic. They are a .500ish team which had a lot of bad luck early in the year and even more good luck late in the year. I know its an 'easy schedule', but its been an easy schedule all year.
  11. Ender
    Cubs have been lucky with RS this year which is what you are really seeing here. Looking at W3/L3 they should be 63-63, Brewers should be 63-64. The two teams are pretty even overall.
  12. Ender
    I don't see why not. I think the Astros and Cardinals are going to take some time to rebuild and while the Brewers should improve I don't see them improving so much that there isn't going to be a playoff race.
  13. Ender
    Davis has a 47% GB rate Hill has a 35% GB rate That is one of the biggest differences right there and something that Hill needs to work on. Giving up fly balls by itself wont' doom a pitcher but it really does hurt their ERA, especially in a park that in theory gives up a lot of HR's. FIP also doesn't like pitchers who can suppress BABIP and Hill seems to be that type of guy. It also doesn't like guys who nibble a lot like Davis. Some rare pitchers like Davis, Livan, Glavine etc tend to walk more guys and consistently get away with it because they are control pitchers who nibble on the corners instead of guys who just have bad control and BB guys.
  14. Ender
    Brewer's team ERA for August is over 7 now, pretty hard to win games when you are having a complete pitching staff meltdown. Yost has caused a couple losses too of course, including today. He let Linebrink bat with nobody out with a 1 run lead and then kept him in after he loaded the bases and was facing a pinch hitter who is horrible against lefties while the teams LOOGY was warming up.
  15. Ender
    Trying to predict these things are an exercise in futility. Brewers rotation is good enough for them to go on a hot streak and take the division by 5 games too. Pretty much is going to come down to the H2H series and which team gets hot or cold. I do find it unlikely that the Cardinals rotation can keep their hot streak going, so I think their odds of winning it are pretty low unless they take these next couple games.
  16. Ender
    Yep, I'm sure there has never been a pitcher who left after 4 IP while throwing a good game and I'm sure Marquis has never pitched 6 innings in a game where he was terrible... Seriously if you watched the game you'd see that it was a case of the defense being horrible... that is not Brewer cool aid that is being realistic, that defensive unit is bad enough that it's costing the team games left and right and its not something as easily fixed as pitchers throwing the ball better. Its a problem that most likely will linger for the entire stay of the current players, it will be the achilles heel of the team for the next 4-5 years.
  17. Ender
    The brewers are 4-11 this month and have been outscored 112-55. That should cheer people up at least a little bit, it could be worse!
  18. Ender
    I really cant believe thats your opinion lol. Why, he didn't bump the ump, just watch a video of it. 3 games is more than you normally get just for yelling in an umps face... plus the ump actually followed him as he was walking away and yelled something that made Fielder come back and argue more. It will be reduced to 2 games almost for sure, maybe 1.
  19. Ender
    Zambrano has never put up more than two dominant months in a row in his entire career. He's just a very inconsistent pitcher. When he's on he is probably the best pitcher in baseball so it makes up for it.
  20. Ender
    He didn't bump the ump, just yelled at him. This is almost certainly gonig to get reduced though, 3 games is way too harsh.
  21. Ender
    Take 2 of 3 against the Brewers. Don't play under .500 against the Cardinals.
  22. Ender
    Yes, i've watched the games and they are throwing better lately. However with Weeks back up and Braun showing his true defense at 3B the teams defense is going down the tubes. Their FIP is better than the Cubs on the year but they have the 2nd worst fielding stats in the NL and thats the root cause of the teams struggles. Plus/Minus suggests the Cubs have made 67 more close plays than the Brewers, thats a huge number! Hey now...I know what FIP means to Wisconsin folks.... :P Isn't that FIB? I've heard both used, with the P in FIP being princess.
  23. Ender
    No team in the NL central should be contending, one of them has to win it though so there is no reason to be pessimistic.
  24. Ender
    Yes, i've watched the games and they are throwing better lately. However with Weeks back up and Braun showing his true defense at 3B the teams defense is going down the tubes. Their FIP is better than the Cubs on the year but they have the 2nd worst fielding stats in the NL and thats the root cause of the teams struggles. Plus/Minus suggests the Cubs have made 67 more close plays than the Brewers, thats a huge number! Capuano sure wasnt throwing the ball well last night. Thats the problem with just looking at the stats though. If Hardy makes a good throw on Pujols or Braun doesn't flub a grounder at 3B or Weeks makes a play on a grounder up the middle or if Fielder makes the play on Edmonds liner to 1st (Lee makes that play), if Parra doesn't come in and let in the inherited runners then Capuano's stats look fine. He was throwing the ball just fine though. He had one of those innings where the defense just barely misses play after play and suddenly his stats look terrible. He was ahead of hitters, he threw strikes, he got groundouts when he needed them, the defense didn't make the plays. 6 K, 1 BB, 1 extra base hit (a gapper double) in 4.1 IP is going to be a good outing most of the time, the singles are largely out of the pitchers control.
  25. Ender
    Yes, i've watched the games and they are throwing better lately. However with Weeks back up and Braun showing his true defense at 3B the teams defense is going down the tubes. Their FIP is better than the Cubs on the year but they have the 2nd worst fielding stats in the NL and thats the root cause of the teams struggles. Plus/Minus suggests the Cubs have made 67 more close plays than the Brewers, thats a huge number!
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