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Ender

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Everything posted by Ender

  1. Ender
    June's hot streak was mostly caused by the offense hitting way better than it had the rest of the season. July has just been about situational hitting since the Cubs had a well below average offense in July(.700 team OPS) but have scored a ton of runs.
  2. Ender
    The Cubs have played way over their heads over the past 2 months, sorry but its true, this is not a .650 winning percentage team. The thing is they played way under their heads the first 2 months and its just sort of evened out now. I don't think the Brewers can count on the Cubs tanking and I say that as a Brewer fan.
  3. Ender
    1.8*OPB + SLG is a lot more accurate than OBP+SLG, so obviously an OBP driven one is better. There really isn't room for discussion. Anyone who knows anything that uses OPS as a starting point will agree with this assessment. Like I said, carry on. There's no way to argue for SLG. what he said, OBP is worth a lot more than SLG, somewhere between 1.5 and 2.0 times as important and the most compelling number I've seen is 1.8. This is a big issue with the Brewers who have a lot of low OBP guys, its why their OPS doesn't agree with their runs scored.
  4. Ender
    Its really not that spent. Parra could go 3 innings, Villaneuva could pitch. Shouse only faced one batter. Cordero and Turnbow can both go again tonight since they had the day off Monday. Dessens should be with the team and he is available. What they might be stuck with is Parra going longer than he should if he's not throwing the ball that well or Dessens pitching when he sucks.
  5. Ender
    Vargas is one of those supreme cases for W's being a bad stat for judging pitchers. 9-2 record and the team is 16-4 in his starts yet he rarely goes more than 6 IP, doesn't make it 6 IP in even half of his starts and has a 4.30 ERA.
  6. Ender
    If you find this kind of stuff interesting I'd check out this link... http://www.baseballprospectus.com/statistics/standings.php I think that is free and not premium so if I'm wrong sorry. The Cubs run differential "should" be +51 (if you just look at raw stats) which is still very strong. If you adjust for strength of schedule its only +41 which means that their record isn't just having an easy schedule, even in "average" division they should be 56-49. The Brewers are a small step below them in each rating.
  7. Ender
    Well their team is horrible so the logical side of me doesn't believe it, but I still hate seeing them just 6 games off the pace knowing that any team can get hot for a month no matter how good or bad they are.
  8. Ender
    I think you are just looking for conspiracies if you really believe this. Richie Sexson went on the list when his wife had one while he was with seattle, was that because Bud likes him too?
  9. Ender
    The commisioners office. They had to get the ok from baseball to put him on the list. I agree it walks the line between abuse and not abuse but they actually got the ok from people in charge of deciding if its abuse or not so you can't really blame the team for it. The commisoners office could have just said no, thats not what the list is for if they thought it was abusing it. Seriously, the commish allowed the Brewers to get around a rule. You don't see what I'm saying here? I guess I just disagree, if the person in charge of interpreting the rule says that its ok, they aren't really abusing it. I do get where you are coming from, I kind of think Bonds and Biggio are abusing the rules when they wear their body armor even though they obviously have the ok to wear them.
  10. Ender
    The commisioners office. They had to get the ok from baseball to put him on the list. I agree it walks the line between abuse and not abuse but they actually got the ok from people in charge of deciding if its abuse or not so you can't really blame the team for it. The commisoners office could have just said no, thats not what the list is for if they thought it was abusing it.
  11. Ender
    Usually you cannot use it for a baby, the fact that his wife had a C-Section let them file it as a surgery and the commishioner's office allowed it. There were no complications from the C-section though so it is kind of walking the line on whether or not it should be allowed, but the people in charge said it was ok so its not like they are sneaking around doing something wrong.
  12. Ender
    I think the Cubs will be in 1st place at some point, I don't think they will be at the end of the season. I'm starting to get the creeping suspicion that the Cardinals are going to end up in 1st even with how horrible that team looks on paper. The Brewers and Cubs will both choke down the stretch and the Cards will steal the division and I'll puke.
  13. Ender
    His wife had a C-section which technically is a surgery so he was allowed on the list. Vargas, Gallardo, Bush, Capuano, Suppan is the rotation right now, Parra only started because of the double header.
  14. Ender
    They brought up Dessens and put Linebrink on the bereavement list and Parra could easily pitch 3 innings if need be, the Brewers bullpen will be fine. Bush will likely pitch on Thu or Fri, he's been used like that before.
  15. Ender
    But what happens when Ryan Braun quits performing way way over his head? Fielder is in a big time HR drought, JJ Hardy remembered who he was, Weeks has been optioned to AAA, and all the Brewers starting pitching is suspect, outside of Gallardo who looks like the real deal. The only pitchers on the Cubs who really have performed better than expected are Lilly and Marshall. Lillys numbers in his past have been inflated by pitching in the AL East, so who knows maybe facing the weaker NL, Lilly really is this good. Marshall is a young kid who has talent, and it will be interesting to see how he handles the pressure of pitching in a playoff race. Yeah I was thinking more of good enough to do anything in the playoffs. The Cubs or Brewers or maybe even the Cardinals will take 1st in the NL Central but I don't think any of them are a playoff team in any of the other divisions.
  16. Ender
    The answer to this question depends on whether or not you really think the pitching can keep it up. I feel they are pitching over their heads but well Icould easily be wrong too.
  17. Ender
    The expected W-L for the Cubs based on stats isn't that high though, the Cubs have scored a lot more runs than they probably should have given their offense and a few less runs than their pitching should have. A huge part of the good record over the last month is the Cubs are scoring a ton of runs while hitting poorly, a .700 team OPS doesn't usually lead to a lot of wins. They should be 56-49 using W3, Brewers should be 57-51, Mets should be 61-45.
  18. Ender
    It wasn't really close to a strike, gameday seems pretty iffy.
  19. Ender
    yeah I agree, but that has been a ball all night long. Thats why Glavine walked so many guys since he lives on the outside corner.
  20. Ender
    Hamels at 103 pitches with very few thrown from the stretch, not really anything wrong with him starting the 8th.
  21. Ender
    That play could easily go either way so I don't think anyone can complain about it. Wuertz is pretty darn lucky it was called an out though give his control.
  22. Ender
    Nobody ever called Soriano a smart hitter, he just has enough talent to make up for it.
  23. Ender
    They should have pinch hit Zambrano.
  24. Ender
    Its like 11 extra doubles, the general consensus is that 1 caught stealing offsets 2 successful SB's. 19 for 23 is still a good rate though.
  25. Ender
    The Phillies traded for Lohse so now their pitching is a strength! :)
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