Disclaimer before I do this: I in no way believe ND will make or will deserve to make the national title game at the end of the season. But because I'm a hopeless optimist, let's see what the chances are of the 11 teams in front of ND losing before January. (Of course, losing is no guarantee that said teams would fall behind Notre Dame.) 1. Ohio State Possible losses remaining: at Iowa next Saturday, at Michigan St 10/14, vs Michigan 11/18 Odds of losing: Probably somewhere between zero and 10 percent. I really think O$U will be unbeaten going into the Michigan game. 2. Auburn Possible losses remaining: at S. Carolina next Saturday, vs Florida 10/14, vs Georgia 11/11, at Alabama 11/18, SEC Title Game if they make it there Odds of losing: I'd say pretty darn good, between 40-55 percent. They're helped by the fact that they don't have a long midseason stretch of tough games, but it's hard to think that the Tigers can get through their remaining tough games, plus the SEC title game (which would make 3 really tough games out of 4) without a blemish. 3. USC Possible losses remaining: vs Arizona State 10/14, vs Oregon 11/11, vs Cal 11/18, vs ND 11/25 Odds of losing: Well, obviously ND controls their own destiny here. USC probably is not going to lose before the ND game because none of those first three teams are really all that good (except for possibly Oregon - we'll see about them). All those tough games are at home, which helps their cause immensely. Oddly enough, this year's USC team has just as good a chance of playing in the title game as last year's simply because they don't have a tough road game on the schedule. I'd put the odds of USC losing a game at about 25 percent. 4. W. Virginia Possible losses remaining: at Louisville 11/2, at Pittsburgh 11/16 Odds of losing: 35 percent. That Louisville game will be very tough, especially if Brian Brohm is back for it, which it is believed he will be. The Pitt game could be a surprise, but the Panthers would have to play very well to win that game. It's a crime against football if this team goes unbeaten playing only one very good team. 5. Florida Possible losses remaining: vs Alabama next Saturday, vs LSU 10/7, at Auburn 10/14, vs Georgia 10/28, vs S. Carolina 11/11, at FSU 11/25, SEC title game if they make it Odds of losing: 75 percent. Three straight games against Top 10 teams spells real trouble for the Gators. 6. Michigan Possible losses remaining: at Minnesota next Saturday, vs MSU 10/7, at PSU 10/14, vs Iowa 10/21, at O$U 11/25 Odds of losing: 85 percent. Four games in a row that will be at least moderately tough could foretell a stumble, but looming at the end are the Buckeyes, and I just don't like Michigan's chances in that game. 7. Texas Possible losses remaining: at Oklahoma 10/7, at Nebraska 10/21, Big 12 title game if they make it Odds of losing: Tough to place. None of those three teams (the Big 12 North champ, whoever it is, won't be nearly as good as the Horns) looks to have the talent of Texas, but with a first-year starter, you never know. Even so, I put the odds of another Texas loss at just 30 percent. 8. Louisville Possible losses remaining: vs W. Virginia 11/2, vs S. Florida 11/18, at Pittsburgh 11/25 Odds of losing: I'm putting this at 40 percent. Brohm will be just recently returned from his injury, if he is back, going into the WV game. They will be without Michael Bush. However, their backups have proven capable so far. They don't play anyone else remotely capable of beating them. I added the USF game because they lost to the Bulls last year. 9. LSU Possible losses remaining: at Florida 10/7, at Tennessee 11/4, vs Alabama 11/11, SEC title game if they make it Odds of losing: I'll put this at 50 percent, since Florida is a very talented team. Since they're in the same division as Auburn who has already beaten them, the Tigers are this year's version of the team that could potentially make the title game without winning their own division. 10. Georgia Possible losses remaining: vs Tennessee 10/7, at Florida 10/28, at Auburn 11/11, vs GT 11/25, SEC title game if they make it Odds of losing: 90 percent. The Dawgs haven't impressed me or many others, and they have four, possibly five, really tough games remaining. I don't see any way they make it through all of them. 11. Virginia Tech Possible losses remaining: vs GT next Saturday, at BC 10/12, vs Clemson 10/26, at Miami 11/4, ACC title game if they make it Odds of losing: The Hokies haven't done that many impressive things, but they've done what they've needed to, and they don't play anyone that appears talented enough to stop that determination. I'll put the odds at 30 percent. As for ND? Well, they'll be 10-1 heading to the Coliseum if they even half-ass their next seven games, and if they don't completely embarrass themelves there, they'll at least play in a BCS game (likely whoever has the first pick in the rotation - Orange or Sugar). But their chances of managing to slip by ten teams (and not get passed up by anyone due to computer rankings)? Not great. Likely between 2-4 percent at best.