At our current rate, I guess a selloff is inevitable. How far will they go with it this year? Again, it's looking like there will be more buyers than sellers, so the returns could/should be decent, especially if we sold on a few guys we don't suspect are available. So, who IS available? The extremely unlikely to trade list: Rizzo, Castro, Shark, Castillo, E-Jax, Fujikawa I think Rizzo is 100% safe. I would have said the same about Castro heading into the season, but he's not exactly taking a step forward, so I guess I could see a few rumors pop up concerning him. That said, I think it'd take 2 top 25 type prospects, another top 50 type, and another very solid piece or two to move him. Basically, no one's giving us that anyway, so he's safe. Castillo won't be going anywhere because we have no one to replace him with. Shark? I think we'd much rather extend him, but if a team offered us a top 25 guy, a couple of top 100 guys, and another interesting piece or two, I guess it'd have to be considered anyway. In each of these cases though, those prospects would have to basically be ready to go and be able to be penciled in for 2014. So again, these guys aren't going anywhere. E-Jax is self explanatory, he's not pitched well enough to move and even if he had, I doubt they'd trade a guy in the first year of his deal. Fujikawa hasn't pitched enough and he's likely our closer next year, so again, extremely unlikely to be dealt. The unlikely to be moved group: Wood, Schierholtz, Valbuena, Villanueva, Barney, Rondon Wood has been excellent, so selling high is at least a possibility, but what would it take? By no means is he worth a top 50 prospect and a top 100 guy as well, but I wouldn't trade him for less than that. We need a lefty and we also need guys for our rotation next year. He's a perfect 4th or 5th guy. Schierholtz isn't special, but he's cheap and under control next year, so I wouldn't deal him either, unless somehow a team gave us a top 100ish type for him, which I can't see happening. Valbuena falls into the same group as Schierholtz, in my mind. And again, I can't see a team giving us a top 100 type for him, so he holds more value to us, in my mind, just to keep him. I'd be OK with dealing Villanueva, but again, I'd want a top 100 type for him or else he's excellent SP depth for us in 2014 or a very solid bullpen piece, of which we need many. Barney? He'd be on the block if its me. But I doubt he will be. Nor, do I see a team giving us a top 50 type and a top 10 guy from a decent system as well for him. But that would be my asking price. The glove is extremely valuable and I think he's a league average 2B offensively once all is said and done. I may be willing to take a bit less for him, but only if we think Valbuena or Watkins is a true starting option in 2014. Still, with that sort of asking price, I doubt anyone would bite. Rondon has shown flashes and I don't think we can trade him anyway. My guess is he'll be in our bullpen mix heading into 2014. So, we're very likely heading into 2014 with Castillo, Rizzo,Barney, Castro, Valbuena and Schierholtz on offense and Shark, E-Jax, Wood, Villanueva, and Fujikawa on the pitching side of things. Trade this group if it makes sense: Garza, Soriano, Russell, Hairston Trade Garza or extend? If he'd sign a 4/52 type deal to stay versus getting a return of a top 50 prospect and a guy that fits inside our top 10, what do you do? I'm honestly thinking I'd extend him. But his health is a true concern for me going forward. That said, I think its kind of unrealistic to get him to sign that type of extension if he's pitching well enough to get a team to offer us that type of return. So, I could see him agreeing to give us a 5/80 type extension versus and a team willing to give us a top 50 prospect OR a top 100 type AND a guy that fits in our top 10. If this winds up being the case, I'd trade him. If he doesn't pitch well enough to get us at least a top 100 guy in return, but stays healthy? Keep him, offer him the qualifier, see if he'll extend at closer to the 4/52 range over the offseason or take the comp pick, if he won't. Soriano needs to get hot. If he does and we're willing to pay 75% of his remaining contract, I'd expect a top 100 guy in return or a package that includes 2 guys that fit into our top 10. There won't be power bats available at the deadline. If he's not going to get hot, just keep him and hope he produces decently next year. Russell is interesting to me, because he's excellent as a setup guy, although Sveum misuses him somewhat at times. That said, I'd trade him if I could get close to the same type of return we got on Marshall. No, he's not as good, but he's got more control, so it'd take that for me to move him. Hairston has sucked, but I doubt it'll continue. I'd like to see him back next year, unless a team gives us a couple of guys that fit into our top 20 for him and I doubt that happens. So bring him back as a 4th OFer, I guess. Trade no matter what guys: Feldman, DeJesus, Gregg Hopefully a team bites on Feldman early. He can be dealt after June 16th. I hope he continues to pitch well, but I'm not confident of it, so I'd deal him as early as possible. To me, I think we can get a borderline top 100 type if he's still pitching well at the time he's dealt and its early. If he comes back down to earth, I think a guy that fits in our top 10 is realistic. I put DeJesus in this group, even if he's got another year of control, because I think we'll upgrade his spot over the offseason anyway. That said, I expect about the same type of return for him as I would on Feldman. Maybe slightly higher, only because I think he may have a slightly better shot at continuing his early season run. If Gregg stays remotely on course, he's tradeable, likely for a guy or two that are borderline top 30 types in our system. The trade if anyone takes them group: Marmol, Navarro, Sweeney Pretty self explanatory here. Eat the cash left on Marmol and see what he brings back. My guess is if he shows flashes, we'll get a top 20ish type guy in return. Navarro and Sweeney maybe bring back a Jeff Baker type return. The group I could see dealt for IFA money: Clevenger, Raley, Rusin, Vitters, Dolis, Watkins, Borbon, Alberto Cabrera There aren't that many teams likely looking to add IFA money, in my opinion. Plus, there ARE teams that won't come close to spending their allotment and I think it'll create a buyers market here. We're rumored to be wanting more money here and I think the teams looking to trade out of theirs won't be able to ask for much in return. Plus, I can see where a team would actually consider taking a fringe major leaguer in return for a 3rd or 4th round IFA allotment. They could see that as a better investment than a 16 year old they just gave a 200K bonus. We'll see though, its new territory obviously. So flame away, are the returns off? Anyone you'd move to different groupings? I hope its a busy deadline, at any rate.....