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davell

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Everything posted by davell

  1. davell
    No quotes from the umps yet that I've seen.
  2. davell
    The Yankees are evidently about to trade for Alberto Gonzalez. I guess Cashman and Theo just wanted to finally make a deal for the hell of it.
  3. davell
    I don't think so. Didn't the new CBA made the deadline much sooner. I think this year it's July 15. As a senior, that date doesn't apply to him.
  4. davell
    On DeJesus? I want something similar to what we got for Maholm, another 2-win player with a team-friendly option. Look, I agree. But I think thats slightly unrealistic. Maholm was pitching out of his mind, the Braves were in need of pitching and didn't have money to spend. Plenty of teams will be in the market for pitching every deadline. There won't be nearly as many looking for a top of the order hitting CFer or a corner OFer that lacks power. Not to mention, the only way we got a Vizcaino in the first place was because he was hurt. To me, the chances of getting a top 100 type for DeJesus is almost non-existent. And before you follow up with"don't trade him then" I much prefer the idea of Ellsbury in CF next year for us or Brett, if he figures things out. To me, we may as well get what we can, while we can, on DeJesus. He won't be that hard to replace, unless he continues at his current pace. Which I'm fairly certain no one expects that.
  5. davell
    So, do you agree that the pick produces someone very likely to slot in our top 5-7 prospects(or at least in a normalish system, we've got depth)? I guess I'm asking you to put a value on him, in your mind.
  6. davell
    Local kid, Connor Jones is heading to UVA, told teams he's sure. He was a very solid, late 1st type pitcher.
  7. davell
    You'd have to take a hard stance with him, agree prior to the draft. Not sure HOW you can do that, but it'd need to be done. Or else play it safe and just take slot guys throughout and insure you won't get penalized.
  8. davell
    I really don't see your fascination of taking that pick at a literal number. The draft has changed. The true value of the pick could be much higher than that. Because we wouldn't be skimping with it, as plenty of others have in the past. Its very likely you can get a player in the 20-25 range, pay up for the player, and skimp on your 7-10 round picks. A player that falls inside the top 30 can easily net you a guy that fits in the 5-7 range in your system. As a general rule, my guess is your scouts will have more info on a just drafted guy like that, than they would on a similar player taken from another system. Its one thing if you think DeJesus is worth more than that type of return, but if thats the range of value you see him in, I'd rather take the draft pick than a guy from another system.
  9. davell
    Well, I think a package that we'll have to offer to beat Stanton will have to beat Profar, plus upside types like Lewis Brinson or Nomar Mazzaro, and a Martin Perez and possibly Luke Jackson from Texas. Or a Cards package centered around Taveres and one of Martinez or Rosenthal and Wong. In other words, Im not going to get my hopes up very high on Stanton. On the other hand, I truly doubt Profar or Taveres would be in play on Price, making it more reasonable for us to get him.
  10. davell
    Brett with a no K day. I'm holding out hope for progress until midseason.
  11. davell
    Kiley posted his a few days ago and in his chat, said there was like a 25% chance Appel doesn't go 1st.
  12. davell
    I think I kind of like the term "core" actually. But its OK to identify a guy as a "core member" and still trade him. We've got to show progress at the major league level in 2014 somehow. The upcoming trade deadline could be epic or it could be relatively quiet for us honestly. There could be quite a few teams selling, if so, it hurts the returns we get due to supply and demand. If possible, it'd be cool if we dealt Garza and maybe a few others in the early stages of selling season. Then, in a perfect world, Headley is still available, and we trade the returns we've gotten for a few others, as the major pieces for Headley. As far as major league "core" at this point, I'm really starting to think Wood is part of it and Valbuena MAY be as well(possibly at 2B). Castillo has more to prove and Barney needs to hit obviously. Schierholtz has a shot, in my mind anyway, although it'd probably be a good idea to at least give him some at bats against lefties regularly for a while.
  13. davell
    I doubt Stanton gets dealt til the offseason anyway. Same with Price. Enough time for Baez to get back on track.
  14. davell
    I think it depends on what you mean about Baez restoring our confidence. Is he going to show a 5-6% walk rate and hit enough to get him to AA, where he puts up an OPS north of .800 for a month or so there? If so, my answer is no. If it means he hits .260ish, carries an OBP a tad under .300, but hits enough to post close to an .800 OPS in Daytona, then my answer is possibly, as long as the other 2 guys are borderline top 30 types from our system. I like Headley, but if Baez really comes on, rightly or wrongly, I'm going to want Stanton or Price, even if it means I'm giving up Vogelbach and a nice pitching prospect like Underwood, to go along with Barney.
  15. davell
    Torreyes contact rate is 94.7%. He's swung and missed 5 times this season.
  16. davell
    After asking the question, I failed to mention my answer is Wood, with Valbuena a really close second. I thought Schierholtz would be pretty good, so he's not been as much of a surprise for me.
  17. davell
    Really? He hit a HR just yesterday and didn't strike out. He's been K'ing a ton though recently. Wasn't the day before yesterday 3 out of 4? I just figure it couldn't hurt.
  18. davell
    Great for Soler. I think Javy needs a day or two off.
  19. davell
    I don't look at Castillo/Navarro as a positive development. I guess the hitting has canceled out some of the horribleness behind the plate, but at best, its a wash for me. I do have hope Castillo can be a longterm guy, but he's got a ways to go before I put him there anyway. Russell? With as bad as our pen has been, I'm not sure I'd trade him right now? A Marshall type return would tempt me, I guess. Maybe Rosscup can fill a lefty role out of the pen, Raley and Rusin would get a shot too. But Russell is very valuable to us, we'd really, really have to get a nice return.
  20. davell
    Rizzo against lefties has been great, but I didn't want to include anyone we already saw a longterm piece. The stache is in its own category, its worth undervalued, if I had put it in this thread.
  21. davell
    While the season hasn't gone well, we've certainly had a few positive developments. Between Valbuena and Schierholtz in the lineup, to Wood, Feldman, and Villanueva in the rotation, even to Kevin Gregg out of the pen. Barring Sveum's quote about Wood being the best pitcher in baseball, I am starting to look at him as a possible longterm solution. For that matter, I'm starting to wonder if Valbuena can't be as well, maybe at 2B even. The rest have given us possible trade pieces, even if Villanueva and Schierholtz aren't moved til next year. At any rate, which of this group has been the biggest surprise? And do you see any of them as longterm answers?
  22. davell
    You'll have the shot to draft a guy inside the top 30 though, due to signability. Maybe. That stuff gets overhyped. There's enough pre-draft lists that like 50-60 guys are probably on somebody's top 30 list. The difference between the 25th best player and the 50th best player is pretty tiny. I agree with that. However, you mentioned 8 mill. That basically punts the 41st pick OR punts 77, 108, and 138, or some other combination like that. Yes, drafting outside the top 10 picks is close to a crapshoot. But our group is good enough you don't want to take THAT much flexibility away unless they see a definitive difference between Appel and Gray.
  23. davell
    Actually, TT, that is basically what he's saying. Spend 8 mill on Appel is the slot value of 2 and 41. Sure, you can draft Buck Farmer(or some other college senior) for hslf of slot and use another pick or two inside the top 10 to take 10k types. This is based on MY opinion that I see little difference between them. But if THEY don't see much of a difference between the two, it makes sense to take whats left to you, instead of going crazy money-wise getting a guy you may see as just a smidge better than the other.
  24. davell
    I think 21% is *really* high for a No. 40 pick or whatever it is we have this time around. You'll have the shot to draft a guy inside the top 30 though, due to signability.
  25. davell
    Its a pitcher. And not a Strasburg or Prior type talent either. Two guys very close in talent level. If one is better than the other, its not by much. So what you're saying is you'd rather have a guy with a 53% chance of becoming a 1-2 starter than having a guy with a 49% chance AND another guy with a 21% chance as well? You're taking option A?
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