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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. you give money for expected performance, not past. Harris, due to circumstances outside of his control, will very likely not repeat his contributions in fielding from last year. and he had a career year with the bat too, so you'd be making a bad gamble that he'd repeat it. but i don't think it's ridiculous to say his contributions on the field were of significant value last year. you can use this information to make a good projection, using regression and three years of data. but if players had arbitration which paid them after the season in relation to their on-field performance (on a FA payscale), fangraphs' salary value would provide the most accuracy of widely available statistics.
  2. i know you're being sarcastic, but there's still like eight simple concepts here you're clearly not grasping
  3. sure, in a full season he can be. but i didn't even say that at all. everybody's completely ignoring the marketing side, but that's a different story altogether. you're railing on the fangraphs way of player valuation and the open market way of player evaluation. got any better ideas? gut feel, hunches? it's hard keeping up with your fanaticism.
  4. umm, thanks for your quote snapshot of the article, saving me from having to take the time to read it there
  5. good move on Miami's end in getting Moon along with O'Neal
  6. the key flaw in their system is it judges worth based only on FA salary. many teams can pull up guys like Kubel or Scott to be competent enough with 800+ OPS where you don't need to waste $10m on Free Agents for slightly improved production. but the FA market had been (until this year) obviously tremendously flawed, where guys like Jose Guillen can make 8 figures annually, and a team that doesn't feel they have an player in-house who can adequately play the position gets desperate enough to give out stupid contract like Jose received. that's what Bradley is being compared to. i think it's fair to say that compared to other recent FA signings we got a pretty reasonable deal. it's really the only aspect of the offseason i'm happy about. http://l.yimg.com/a/i/us/sp/v/mlb/players_l/20080402/6154.jpg?x=65&y=85&xc=1&yc=1&wc=164&hc=215&q=100&sig=LCwAE1TFB2scz.nmPVAI3w--
  7. well, then your problem is having him in any clubhouse. in what way?
  8. yes, plz, let's get Elijah Dukes, Lastings Milledge and Milton Bradley in the same clubhouse. Dukes & Milledge were in the same clubhouse last year and they didn't go on any gang banging rampages. Dukes has HOF talent. its worth the gamble.
  9. Holy crap. Nice numbers.. i noticed he's the #1 ranked player for the last month in yahoo fantasy basketball, #2 of all people is Troy Murphy (Lebron #3).
  10. yeah, good going. he's costing them Griffin.
  11. a little off-topic, but i'm more perturbed that Bonds was permitted to wear massive body armor and hang over the plate with impunity, than i am about him roiding up
  12. ??? why wouldn't he be? Because he's a fat guy with old player skills. he's not really fat at all though. hell, isn't he in Subway Diet commercials with Jared?
  13. that one really oughta sting for the Pens fans
  14. possibly the best sleeper out there is Holliday. Oakland Coliseum or not, it's unfathomable that he's slipping to the 3rd round in even expert drafts.
  15. i'd say developing Noah and Thomas into quality starters in the front court would be more vital than securing a decent draft pick. and as of late, they're both actually showing improvements.
  16. NUN, have you seen any of Leino yet? with what i've seen of him i've been impressed. he's great at controlling the puck, and would probably develop into a top-6 forward on a normal team. but as loaded as the Wings are, who knows where they'll fit him in ultimately. the rich get richer.
  17. i think it's important to remember that we (reportedly) wouldn't part with Pie in a Roberts deal or with Hill in a Bedard deal, just a year ago
  18. ok then, take your pick- Hendry: -has really mismanaged his prospects and how to get the best value for them over the last few yrs -has put together an absolutely piss-poor farm system, which with the resources he's had at hand, is downright indefensible at least one of the two statements is correct
  19. i hope you're not saying Heyward's a better bet than Wieters. at any rate, that SimIndex doesn't make sense. Adam Dunn, the most predictable player alive, registers an 8. though I don't doubt i'm misunderstanding it.
  20. hey meph check out the #17 hitter "upside" rating but try not to look at #2
  21. oh, and Gaudin's #1 comp is Dennis Martinez. Harden has the #1 "stuff" rating; Lincecum's the only one who comes close (41.14 & 37.45, respectively)
  22. as it turns out, felix pie's 3rd comparable is carlos beltran
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