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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. Rizzo projects to be a premier 1B for the foreseeable future; there should probably be about a hundred > signs in this statement somebody needs to be; the lasting effects of his ineptitude are (imo) unquestionably the main reasons we're in the position we are today managing to sign Cespedes, and Darvish would have surely accelerated the process some but that would be like a 95th percentile performance for a GM
  2. And then when we let it drop, we won 61. just thought i'd let you know, you're being willfully ignorant here
  3. and we've done that to good success; Villanueva, Jackson, Schierholtz, Maholm, DeJesus, Fujikawa all immediately come to mind
  4. our highest-ever payrolls netted us 75-, 83-, and 71-win seasons; it's importance is really being vastly overstated
  5. there is no realistic easy way to make the team better in a hurry if you've got virtually nothing to speak of at the high levels of the minors the Angels have done exactly what many people here were desperate to see (only with the benefit of already having Trout in the fold); i'll be very interested to see how it all pans out
  6. payroll is repeatedly being presented here as the only important variable, in nearly every post it's just become so tiresome
  7. Castillo skies one that finally drops in no-man's land for a hit Rizzo scorches one right at Moreland who's only there holding the runner that's pretty representative of both's babip fortunes to start the year
  8. now Washington starts with the pitching changes, that son of a bitch
  9. well damn, i was mildly irked at Rizzo for jumping out of the way of the previous pitch and he goes and smokes one inches from landing on Sheffield
  10. bull [expletive] [expletive], he had no intent to swing at that man, i hate that rule
  11. it's a really a shame we can't see that bat flip more from Valbuena
  12. that play is pretty much always a DP regardless
  13. huh? early word is they're coming back tremendous news, if true
  14. tell me what you honestly think his babip can be in the majors
  15. Bruno's upside is a slow Ryan Freel with a hopefully longer life expectancy next
  16. you'd think he'd be used to food being thrown at him
  17. Our chances of winning look pretty...Grimm :D
  18. The common way to do that is with line drive percentage. The quick and messy way to estimate what BABIP "should" be is to add .110 or .120 to LD%, but that's really just an approximation. Using that .110 to calculate, here's the Cubs so far in BABIP: http://i.imgur.com/ksX7Tmd.png So of regulars, Castro and Castillo have been the "luckiest", and Rizzo, DeJesus, and Soriano have all been very "unlucky". i don't like this because it ignores a ton of relevant data (i trust you would agree, but likely used it for the sake of simplicity) using an updated method: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2009/11/10/1124792/a-new-xbabip-calculator it comes out like actual babip (xbabip) Rizzo: .185 (.333) Castro: .348 (.338) Castillo: .444 (.346) DeJesus: .310 (.383) Soriano: .350 (.402) Schierholtz: .379 (.354) .333-babip Rizzo would have roughly a .259/.364/.520 line right now
  19. He's got an absurdly high BABIP and had a pretty high one last year, too. Also, hasn't drawn a walk yet this year (probably just a SSS oddity, given his history). Either way, Soto didn't need that much luck to look good and still didn't end up being a solid starter for 5 years. Just saying it's a bit early to say that. had he put up a .311 babip (his ZiPS projection) thus far, his line would look something like .262/.300/.392 right now he's earned some of that babip (25% LD), but .444 is obviously not something sustainable
  20. yes, one game is a small sample size
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