I can't. I can only see that it perhaps has. It's a plausible explanation for why we fielded so many awful players, especially the bullpen. Here's another explanation on the bullpen: the bullpen is a crap shoot. It's made up of the most volatile of players in MLB, pitchers who aren't solid and/or durable enough to be starters. The options are to either invest heavily in "more stable" relievers and hope you hit on more of the "sure things", or scrounge relievers from your (and other) system pitchers that aren't considered much of real prospects. Since the FO wasn't looking to go all in to win this year, they (wisely, IMO) chose option B, and it didn't work out this year. Didn't work out to the degree that it was the worst bullpen in baseball, 1.4 fWAR worse than No. 29 and 3.1 WAR worse than No. 27. That's an awful lot of volatility, all going in the same direction, to be attributed solely to variance. I can't say that's impossible for the franchise that has lost eight straight playoff games by multiple runs, but it seems a rather uncritical option to settle on so easily. Or they correctly identified the worst players to make the dive that much worse so the pick would be that much higher. They're the best at identifying talent and the lack thereof.