That scenario seems barely possible. Last year no team in the NL lost more than 95 games and 5 teams finished within 8 games of the WC (and none outside of 25). Still the 4 playoff teams won a combined 12 more games than what you are predicting. In 2004, one team lost more than 95 games and 5 teams finished within 9 games of the WC. A more common distributed year, 2004's playoff teams won a combined 27 more games than what you are predicting. In 2003, 31. In 2002, 42. As you can see, and you may remember, last year was full of extremely close races, which is unusual, proven by this brief lookback. I would expect a return to more stratification, probably not to the 2002 level (thank Milwaukee), but probably somewhere around the 2003/2004 levels. My prediction West: 89 East: 97 Central: 100 WC: 96 How many games will it take to win means one more win than the second place, hence, I think mine are the only ones that make sense. It looks like you are saying how many wins you think the winners will have. Since 1950 only twice has the NL leader in wins has 90 or less, not counting strike seasons. So i seriously doubt that the league leader will have onle 90 wins this year.