Draw coming up Friday. Here are the 20 spots clinched so far (FIFA rankings as of Feb): Qatar (52) Belgium (1) Brazil (2) France (3) Argentina (4) England (5) Spain (7) Denmark (9) Netherlands (10) Germany (11) Switzerland (14) Croatia (15) Uruguay (16) Iran (21) Japan (23) Serbia (25) South Korea (29) Canada (33) Ecuador (44) Saudi Arabia (53) The spots that are left (favorites for the spot): CONCACAF-2 (Mexico) CONCACAF-3 (USA) CAF-1 (Senegal) CAF-2 (Algeria) CAF-3 (Nigeria) CAF-4 (Morocco) CAF-5 (Tunisia) UEFA-11 (Wales) UEFA-12 (Sweden) UEFA-13 (Portugal) Playoff-1 (AFC-5/CONMEBOL-5) Playoff-2 (OFC-1/CONCACAF-4) Three of the spots won't be decided until June, so the draw will automatically put them in pot 4 (two playoffs and UEFA-11, which involves Ukraine who can't play right now for obvious reasons). If the higher ranked teams finish out the other spots, here is what the draw will look like: Pot 1: Qatar, Belgium, Brazil, France, Argentina, England, Spain, Portugal Pot 2: Denmark, Netherlands, Germany, Mexico, USA, Switzerland, Croatia, Uruguay Pot 3: Sweden, Senegal, Iran, Japan, Morocco, Serbia, South Korea, Nigeria Pot 4: Canada, Tunisia, Algeria, Ecuador, Saudi Arabia, UEFA-11 (Wales), Playoff-1(Peru/Australia), Playoff-2 (Costa Rica) Canada is obviously trying to sneak above one team into pot 3, or hoping North Macedonia wins or Nigeria loses. I don't know if the USA has enough points to gain where they can pass 4 teams to sneak into pot 1, even if Portugal loses (I think Denmark is in position now regardless of results this week). No matter where the US gets drawn, they should be favored to advance from their group. Worst case scenario is probably getting Brazil/Argentina, then a UEFA pot 3 and the UEFA playoff pot 4 team, and even then, they're the second best team in that group.