http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/on_wisconsin_the_faq/ he sure is defensive I understand the point he's trying to make, though, that the system is in itself intended to be as accurately predictive as possible for all 345 teams. He'd rather the thing be accurate for 344 and off on 1 than be right on the 1 but more inaccurate for the remaining 344. He understands that it's not right, but his system doesn't incorporate wins and losses into the equation, only relative offensive and defensive efficiency, and Wisconsin, for better or worse, was ungodly efficient in the non-conference slate.