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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. MS Valley State didn't win a single non-conference game in regulation. They went 1-11 in non-con, and that was the best team in the conference. The SWAC was worse than the Great West this year, and that's just sad. As far as the only one HBC in the opening round, does that just cover the MEAC and the SWAC? So, basically, pick one? I'd pick the SWAC, unless a terrible (er?) MEAC team wins their tourney.
  2. We can just toss them there, then. Updated the bracket image with dates, just to keep track.
  3. So far, then... http://i.imgur.com/ji3Mc.png
  4. I don't see a problem with a buzzer beater when the worst case scenario is having an additional 5 minutes to win. Man, those Bucks announcers are full of sour grapes about Rose, though.
  5. Yeah, he had two others where the other team had some time to get a shot off. This is the first one that left no time for an answer.
  6. And now we know that time and place: first career NBA buzzer beater.
  7. Numbers were right, just didn't get them moved into the at-large group.
  8. Stage 3: 1) Decide on regions for the top 4 of the S-Curve, in order of seed priority. That can just be done in the thread easily enough. 2) Rank the "Next 16" in order. The top 8 will be placed on the S-Curve. 3) Rank the 12 next-most-deserving teams from among at-large locks, auto bids, and teams under consideration. The top 8 will be put into the "Next 16" list. 4) Rank the top 10 and bottom 10 teams in consideration. The 7 best will be put into the field for now, and the bottom 8-ish will be removed from consideration entirely. 5) Rank the bottom 8 teams in the field. The bottom 4 will be placed on the seed line 55-58 (14 seeds). If you feel that remaining auto-bids are stronger teams than other teams already in the field (or in your top 10 list of consideration), feel free to rank at-large teams in this list.
  9. It's ok, if you have any issues with the teams in (the top 8 was pretty clear, so I'll plan on leaving that the way it is), or off the board that you think deserve extra consideration, just make note of it in the thread.
  10. Step 2 results: S-Curve (top 8, bottom 10): Next 16: Rest of at-large field (18): Other auto bids (6): Unclaimed auto bids (3): Teams still under at-large consideration (23 for up to 7 more spots): Teams off the board (16):
  11. If they weren't I just gave them all equal weight.
  12. There is an extremely clear top 8 consensus, though.
  13. Still waiting on a couple lists, so I'll post in the morning. As for my phase 2 picks: Top 16: Syracuse (Big East) Kentucky (SEC) North Carolina (ACC) Kansas (Big 12) Ohio State (Big Ten) Michigan State Missouri Duke Indiana Wisconsin Marquette Baylor Georgetown Wichita State Michigan Florida Next 12: Creighton (MVC) UNLV (MWC) St Mary's (WCC) Temple (Atlantic 10) Gonzaga Florida State Murray State (OVC) Iowa State Notre Dame Purdue Kansas State New Mexico Consider Top 16 (in order): Memphis Alabama BYU Washington California St Louis Cincinnati Virginia Connecticut Drexel San Diego State Southern Miss Northwestern Long Beach State West Virginia Texas Low 16 Consider (in order): Valparaiso Arkansas LSU Nevada Oral Roberts Pittsburgh Iowa Colorado Massachusetts Central Florida Mississippi Mississippi State Colorado State Ohio Wyoming Akron Bottom 12 (worst to first): SWAC: (Mississippi Valley State) MEAC: (Norfolk State) Western Kentucky (Sun Belt) Long Island (NEC) America East: (Stony Brook) Loyola MD (MAAC) UNC Asheville (Big South) Detroit (Horizon) Southland: (UT Arlington) Montana (Big Sky) Lehigh (Patriot) MAC: (Ohio)
  14. A bit over an hour left to get me phase 2. Montana wins the Big Sky, and Savannah State loses in the quarters of the MEAC tourney, which means the MEAC winner will be awful, as usual.
  15. Long Island wins the NEC, Lehigh upsets Bucknell to win the Patriot league.
  16. Weber's problem is that he's good at coaching Weber recruits and lousy at coaching Howard recruits. Weber's system works with a specific type of player (slow, disciplined, controlled, good jump shooters), and many of the better athletes that have come to Illinois the past 3-4 years play a much more above-the-rim type game that Weber's offense basically nullified.
  17. It's Peter Gammons, he's probably just catching up on January news now.
  18. I could always add Conference RPI to the blind list too, but I'm not sure if that's still part of the committee criteria. EDIT: It's not, but "Average RPI opponent" is, which is kind of interesting. http://www.ncaa.org/wps/wcm/connect/public/ncaa/pdfs/2012/2012+03-06+mbb+nitty+gritty
  19. Winning games they're favored to win? We're they favored today? It was a coin-flip game, though UConn was technically favored by 1. The coin landed on its side, so they had to flip again in an overtime period.
  20. You must be seeing things, that was always New Mexico there... EDIT: But actually, that was a major quibble, because New Mexico ended up being missing entirely from any list as a result.
  21. Winning games they're favored to win?
  22. Some days I wish the Bears would've just lost to the Vikings, so they could pick 13th.
  23. A blind analysis of the top 16: Team RPI SOS R/N Top25 Top50 Top100 100+L 200+L Best Worst A 28 37 8-7 1-4 3-5 8-7 2 0 24 152 B 12 28 6-6 4-4 9-4 11-5 2 0 2 149 C 3 4 10-3 3-4 6-4 11-4 0 0 4 24 D 4 2 13-2 6-4 7-5 13-5 0 0 3 56 E 1 27 11-1 2-0 9-1 16-1 0 0 7 38 F 13 53 12-4 2-2 2-3 6-3 2 0 15 134 G 5 1 7-6 7-5 9-6 11-7 0 0 8 84 H 8 10 7-4 5-5 9-5 12-6 0 0 4 84 I 7 16 10-5 2-2 5-5 11-6 0 0 10 89 J 16 81 11-3 3-1 7-3 10-3 1 0 6 120 K 11 11 8-7 5-4 9-6 12-7 1 0 5 133 L 21 21 9-4 3-6 6-6 10-6 2 0 8 133 M 10 10 6-6 3-3 8-4 8-7 0 0 7 96 N 9 19 11-3 1-4 7-6 11-6 0 0 25 40 O 6 7 10-4 5-3 10-4 12-5 0 0 8 65 P 2 36 12-1 2-1 8-1 15-1 0 0 3 11
  24. If I can pre-emptively clarify for tired bukie.(And hopefully I get it right) If in list 2 you have a team from the "in consideration" list, you should still include them in list 3. Indeed. And if your team is among the top 16 (UNC, Missouri, Michigan, Illinois), leave them out and rank the top 15. I promise it isn't going to hurt their standing the way I calculate it.
  25. If anything I just typed in the last page is confusing, just ask and I'll answer in the morning. I'm sleepy.
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