bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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John Gasaway on the sporadic successes of Bruce Weber.
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Yes, that's definitely the kind of thing that can affect a team's standing. Especially since they've now had so much time with the new players, and it's as if they're a different team with those players.
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So now the interim Illinois coach is going to win the NIT, and the complete mirror of the football season will be complete. EDIT: John Gasaway (Basketball Prospectus, UI alum) said he's working on an article about the Weber era, which I'm looking forward to reading when it's done.
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And Tennessee is really similar to the Illinois team a few years back that had a terrible couple non-con games. For that Illinois team it was enough to keep them out of the bracket, but this bracket has four extra spots. I actually like Northwestern better than both, still, though. Even though they have just the one top 50 win, all their losses have been to good teams (all top 40 teams except Illinois/Minnesota, and I count Illinois pre-Jan 15 to be a top-40 team)
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I like Tennessee a lot better than Mississippi State, actually, now that I look closer at it. I don't get the Mississippi State love. They only have two sub-100 losses because they're fortunate most of the teams they've lost to were between 89 and 100 (100 Arkansas twice, 89 LSU, 99 Georgia twice). They might be the biggest benefitter in history to the "top 100" cutoff rule. One OT road win over Vandy can't possibly go that far.
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Stage 4, for midnight CST Friday: 1) Place the teams in the S-Curve into the bracket and assign pods as per bracketing rules. This can be done in the thread over the next day. 2) Discuss any potential movement of teams already on the S-Curve. For example, Marquette lost badly today to Louisville, and UT-Arlington got blown out, so the best case scenario for the Southland bid is now Lamar. 3) Discuss whether any teams off the board need to be in the discussion anyway (Arizona/Oregon?), or if any of the 5 teams in limbo should be bumped above teams currently in the field. 4) Rank the next top 16, of which 8 will be placed in the S-Curve 5) Rank the remaining 20 (18 at-large, 2 auto-bids), the bottom 12 of which will be placed in the S-Curve
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Step 3 results: S-Curve (top 16, bottom 16): Next 16: Rest of at-large field (18): Other auto bids (2): Teams still in the discussion board (5): Teams off the board (10):
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Here are my choices for stage 3: Top 16: Indiana Wisconsin Marquette Baylor Wichita State Michigan Georgetown Temple (A-10) UNLV (MWC) St Mary's (WCC) Louisville Creighton (MVC) Florida State Murray State (OVC) Florida Kansas State Next 12: Memphis New Mexico Notre Dame Gonzaga Purdue Vanderbilt San Diego State Cincinnati Alabama Iowa State Connecticut California Top 10 Consider: Long Beach State Colorado State Texas Drexel South Florida Miami Northwestern NC State Iona Middle Tennessee Bottom 10 Consider (worst first): Massachusetts Mississippi Marshall St Joseph's Central Florida Tennessee Stanford Mississippi State Oregon Xavier Bottom 8 in field (worst first): MAC (Ohio) Montana (Big Sky) Davidson (Southern) WAC (New Mexico State) Belmont (Atlantic Sun) Harvard (Ivy) VCU (CAA) South Dakota State (Summit)
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Another hour yet for phase 3.
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Basically, prior to Howard, the best recruiting talent Weber could land was Jamar Smith and Chester Frazier. However, those teams also overperformed. So, Howard is bringing in fantastic talent, but Weber hasn't been able to use it well. Hopes are that a new coach and a new offensive scheme that actually utilizes the talent would be a good thing, and Howard would continue to facilitate that talent rolling in, instead of watching it leave for Duke/UNC/Kentucky/Kansas all the time.
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Oregon State led Washington 84-83 with 30 seconds to play. Both teams proceeded to miss their next 7 free throws.
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Washington down 1 to Oregon State with 30 seconds to play. This is why I initially listed the Pac-12 favorite as LOL.
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San Diego State just won on a buzzer beater against Boise State.
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Except I'm wrong, that totally is a rematch from November 13th. So...I'll just swap Asheville and MEAC winner.
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Especially at a home game, like last night.
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On the contrary, I think that works perfectly to committee standards. Less travel for Asheville, favorable environment yet for North Carolina, and not a rematch.
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They were ahead of Washington, WVU, Cal and BYU. There's going to be more time to move them around.
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Yet another Weber special, the team timeout right after they're doing well, and 15 seconds before there would've been a TV timeout anyway.
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see: dribbling up and launching threes
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Yeah, the Illini have pretty much just quit on offense. Dribble up and launch threes.
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Lot of missed threes and turnovers that give Iowa easier transition opportunities.
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Oh, I'm way down on Louisville and Florida. Air Force is a really bad team to lose to, though. SD State through January is probably a protected seed. Since then, though, they haven't even looked tournament worthy. So I compromise them somewhere in the middle.
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I keep hoping that one day Illinois will realize they are bad at jump shots. Ever since that stupid Ohio State game, they think they're just that good at jump shots all the time.
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As for why I put them one spot higher in my ranking, it has more to do with playing more top 25 and top 50 games, winning one more of each, and having a slightly better "best win". It's a coin flip in a lot of situations for many teams.
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We don't, overall. They're in the same pool of 16 for ranking, and Marquette finished higher than Wisconsin in the aggregate vote from last night. As for playing for a 2 seed, I really doubt it. That top 8 is pretty locked in, and not a single voter picked any team other than that top 8 among the top 8.
