They're certainly not top 10 good. I hope they finish undefeated to see how high they climb in the polls, and to see what the committee does with them. They're currently sitting at an RPI of 28, which I have trouble seeing go much higher. I'd probably give them a 5-6 seed if they went undefeated, and an 8-9 if they went in with a loss. That 1996 Princeton team that came into the tournament 25-1 got a 5 seed. The 2006 GW team that came into the tournament 26-1 got an 8 seed. The Ohio Valley is terrible, so Murray State's best win of the year is likely either the Memphis game or whoever they play in the Bracket Busters matchup. Could end up undefeated without playing a single tournament team on the year. Following up with this, at this point it looks like Murray State's opponent in the Bracket Busters game will be either St. Mary's or Wichita State (Murray State is one of the home teams, and St. Mary's/Wichita State are by far the best road teams in the list, since Gonzaga/BYU/Belmont/Harvard aren't participating and VCU/Creighton/Butler/Cleveland State/Milwaukee are also home teams). I'm not sure a home win against one of those two is any better than a road win at Memphis, certainly not the kind of thing that's going to bump them up to a top 4 seed if they weren't considered there earlier.