bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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Stage 2, for midnight CST Wednesday: 1) Rank the listed top 16 in order. The top 8 will go into the S-Curve, the next 8 will be re-ranked in the next stage with 8 additional teams. 2) List your next top 12 from the teams locked in, auto bids, and other teams under consideration if you feel the need (just one list of the 12 next best teams) 3) List your top 16 teams from those in consideration. There are between 10 and 17 at-large spots yet left unclaimed, pending multi-bid conference tourney results. 4) List the bottom 16 teams from among those in consideration. 51 teams is too many. Some need to be taken off the board. 5) From among the auto bids and unclaimed auto bids (with most likely winner as placeholder), rank the bottom 12 teams.
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Fifty-one teams under consideration, then. That will sort itself out in subsequent stages, trust me.
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Oh, and here were my picks (representing Illinois): Locks (28): Baylor Duke Florida Florida State Georgetown Gonzaga Indiana Iowa State Kansas Kansas State Kentucky Louisville Marquette Memphis Michigan Michigan State Missouri New Mexico North Carolina Notre Dame Ohio State Purdue Syracuse Temple UNLV Vanderbilt Wichita State Wisconsin Consideration (40): Alabama Arizona BYU California Cincinnati Colorado State Connecticut Dayton Drexel Iona La Salle Long Beach State Miami Middle Tennessee Minnesota Mississippi State NC State Nevada Northwestern Ohio Oral Roberts Oregon San Diego State Seton Hall South Dakota State South Florida Southern Miss St Bonaventure St Josephs St Louis Stanford Tennessee Texas UCLA Valparaiso Virginia Washington West Virginia Xavier Top 16: 1. Kentucky 2. Syracuse 3. Kansas 4. North Carolina 5. Ohio State 6. Michigan State 7. Missouri 8. Duke 9. Indiana 10. Wisconsin 11. Marquette 12. Baylor 13. Georgetown 14. Wichita State 15. Michigan 16. Creighton
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Step 1 results: The committee: bukie - Illinois SouthSideRyan - Illinois Transmogrified Tiger - Missouri Formerly Snayke - St. Louis Andy - Notre Dame Vanilla Ice - UNC UMFan - Michigan Top 16: Other at-large locks (11): Other auto bids (12): Other teams under at-large consideration (51): Unclaimed auto bids (12):
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Looks like we're going to end up with 27 locks initially, only 20 of which were unanimous. And 52 teams in consideration. And a clear top 16 for the next step.
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Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), Detroit (Horizon), South Dakota State (Summit) and Harvard (Ivy) earned auto bids tonight (which means they aren't going to show up on the at-large locks list or under consideration...because they're automatically in the field).
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Nah, I've got 40 teams on my consideration list.
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He's the best player in Europe. Yeah, he was the Euroleague MVP, literally.
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Two more hours... Also, I'd probably go G-D-A-L-F-J-E-C-L-K-B-H
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I'll do it at midnight CST. I'll list those "bubble" teams a little later too. I have half an idea to do this whole selection process blind without team names and simply nitty gritty info on each team (RPI, SOS, R/N, Top 25, Top 50, Top 100, L-100+, L-200+, Best W, Worst L), and just list each team name after they're placed in the S-Curve. Not sure how confusing it'd end up, though, with roughly 80 teams in the different groups.
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Harvard about to send Princeton a nice fruit basket.
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If anybody's looking for quantity of picks, I have a bunch in the later rounds I'd be willing to use to trade up a bit. 3 in the 4th, 2 in the 7th, 2 in the 11th.
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I'd probably go A-H-E-D-B-F-G-K-J-I-L-C
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And now I added top 25 records and 200+ losses (there was only one overall, but several of them lost to teams in the 190s). Which I'm sure skews the data even more.
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Technically, I should break out top 25 records and differentiate 100+ losses from 200+ losses. I'll get to that eventually.
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Rank the teams blindly! TEAM RPI SOS NC SOS R/N TOP 25 TOP 50 TOP 100 L100+ L200+ A 17 60 38 9-7 2-2 3-2 9-4 3 0 B 45 8 52 7-7 1-8 1-10 5-12 0 0 C 49 87 111 7-5 0-0 0-5 5-7 1 0 D 21 5 26 5-9 1-3 3-5 8-9 1 0 E 33 2 11 5-8 1-4 5-6 9-10 2 0 F 67 251 231 14-6 0-0 1-2 4-3 3 0 G 50 19 91 4-9 1-7 3-9 4-10 2 0 H 47 104 63 12-5 1-6 3-6 5-6 2 0 I 44 29 58 5-10 0-5 1-9 6-9 3 0 J 54 51 57 6-8 0-3 2-6 6-10 1 1 K 55 22 17 7-5 0-5 1-8 5-9 2 0 L 75 40 169 3-10 0-5 4-7 7-9 4 0
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I admit, I'm kind of hoping USC wins the Pac-12 tourney. They'll get a semi-home bump, and nobody in the conference is unbeatable. That could earn the Pac-12 champ a 15 seed or something.
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It's your pick now...twice in three picks. The third round has begun!
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As long as they keep Milan off the scoreboard, there's a chance.
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I was just putting together my lists, and man, the water gets muddy after the top 8 or so, and after 30 or so at-large locks.
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An interesting article on VCU and Shaka Smart from Luke Winn: http://ncaa-tournament.si.com/2012/03/06/at-vcu-a-new-point-guard-emerges/
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Cespedes is in the system, actually.
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Auto Bids (31): ACC: (UNC) America East: (Stony Brook) Atlantic 10: (Temple) Atlantic Sun: Belmont Big 12: (Kansas) Big East: (Syracuse) Big Sky: (Montana) Big South: UNC Asheville Big Ten: (Ohio State) Big West: (Long Beach State) Colonial: VCU Conference USA: (Memphis) Horizon: (Valparaiso) Ivy: (Harvard) MAAC: Loyola MD MAC: (Ohio) MEAC: (Savannah State) MVC: Creighton MWC: (New Mexico) NEC: (Long Island) OVC: Murray State Pac-12: (LOL) Patriot: (Bucknell) SEC: (Kentucky) Southern: Davidson Southland: (UT Arlington) Summit: (South Dakota State) SWAC: (Mississippi Valley State) WAC: (New Mexico State) WCC: Saint Mary's 8 bids accounted for, another 3 or 4 tonight (pending the result of the Princeton/Penn game).
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Are there better systems now? I don't follow college basketball too closely. There are few worse systems. Go, drown in knowledge: http://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm
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The machine thinks you're GM of the Hornets.
