bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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If I am reading this rule right, I don't think Kansas can drop to a #2 in favor of Michigan State/Ohio State: The Big XII only has three teams on the 1-4 lines, so Kansas and Missouri can't end up on the same line. The same goes for North Carolina/Duke in the ACC. So that basically ensures that one of Kansas/Missouri will get a 1, and the same for North Carolina/Duke (as long as nobody falls to the 3 seed line, which is unlikely and in the case of the Big XII Baylor is sitting there already anyway). Am I interpreting that correctly? Actually, what it's saying is that you can't put two 1-4 teams from the same conference in the same region unless there are more than four 1-4 teams from a conference (so, the Big Ten). There can be two of the same seed in the same conference, though.
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It's still early, but I don't believe the C-USA is in danger of stealing an at-large bid.
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Despite Cal not having any top 60 wins, they're 9-7 vs the top 100, which compared to the bottom of the bubble is safely clear of it, sadly enough.
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I don't really see Syracuse falling below #2, the gap between UK/Syracuse and everyone else was pretty sizeable as well, and KU was the #3. As far as KU slipping to #4, that's perfectly reasonable, but then again I had them #4 already. We could potentially re-vote the top 8 again based on further tourney results, but a potential OSU-MSU title game isn't going to be finished until 5 minutes before the selection show anyway.
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The Jets just signed Mark Sanchez to a 5 year, $58.25 million dollar extension that makes him the 7th highest paid QB in football. 20.5 million guaranteed over the next two years.
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If any curious people want to read up on the actual selection rules, the NCAA actually posted them here.
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This is the first time in Big Ten tournament history where the top 4 seeds made the semis.
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UCSB wins, so they'll face Long Beach State in the Big West final. I bumped Washington off the S-Curve and put a Pac-12 placeholder in there for now with Arizona.
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Colorado beats Cal. The new favorite for the Pac-12 reverts to LOL, as it will be decided by two teams with RPIs in the high 70s. Which are also the second and third highest RPI teams in the conference now. Cal now has to depend on its at-large resume, which includes no top 70 wins, because, well, no other Pac-12 teams are in the top 70 anymore.
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New Mexico wins. They're now the odds-on favorite to win the MWC auto-bid.
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As far as underseeded, if New Mexico hangs on here, I think they're definitely higher than a 7 seed.
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Sure, but then I can't call it a Rank 16 list anymore, can I?
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Meanwhile, Cal is four minutes away from letting the Pac-12 steal an additional bid.
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Stage 5, by midnight CST Saturday 1) Discuss (in the thread) any potential movement among teams already in the S-Curve. If anyone appears criminally under or over-seeded, make note of it. 2) Place the new S-Curve entrants into the bracket, aside from the final five at-large teams, because they'll be busy elsewhere. 3) Rank the Middle 16 in order 4) Rank the 5 last at-larges on the S-Curve (Miami, USF, BYU, NC State, Drexel) with the 11 potentials (so it's a rank 16 list). And I bet you thought they were safe.
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Heh, that's a little funny. Temple is still #16, despite no one putting them at the top of their list (among those that included them). That's how much variance there was in the picks this time. It's a clear #1, too, which is all the more amusing. Stage 4 results: S-Curve (top 24, bottom 28): The middle 16 (the 7-10 seeds, basically): Other potentials and spoilers(11):
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If I was an opposing Big Ten coach, I'd support Weber too. Great guy, slowly running the Illinois program into the ground.
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Everybody sent me their lists, so I'll just post mine now: Top 16(+1): Memphis (C-USA) Creighton (MVC) UNLV (MWC) St Mary's (WCC) Temple Louisville Gonzaga Florida Florida State Kansas State Vanderbilt Iowa State Purdue Cincinnati Notre Dame Murray State (OVC) St Louis The leftover 20: New Mexico California (Pac-12) Virginia Alabama Connecticut Long Beach State (Big West) Harvard (Ivy) San Diego State Texas NC State VCU (CAA) West Virginia BYU Miami Drexel Xavier Southern Miss South Florida Colorado State Washington
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It's the same as wins/losses early on looking better later in the year. Missouri beating the tar out of Cal and Notre Dame looks a lot better now than it did then. Same with IU beating Notre Dame.
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Arizona jumps into the pool of "Hey, they may actually win that conference tourney instead of a bid-worthy team" teams. If Colorado beats Cal in the nightcap, then an at-large bid is surely stolen. Perhaps from Cal, even, but probably not.
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I wish you also an enjoyable weekend, smack.
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Purdue's floor at this point, I feel like, is a 9. Their ceiling would probably be a 6. Just total guesswork without any numbers in front of me though. I WILL HAVE ALL THE NUMBERS IN 90 MINUTES. AT LEAST, FOR WHOEVER SENDS THEM TO ME. Haha, I'm just tossing out guesses. My list is in as I'm sure you know. Actually, I don't have one from you yet today.
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Purdue's floor at this point, I feel like, is a 9. Their ceiling would probably be a 6. Just total guesswork without any numbers in front of me though. I WILL HAVE ALL THE NUMBERS IN 90 MINUTES. AT LEAST, FOR WHOEVER SENDS THEM TO ME.
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I'll be able to tell you more in 90 minutes...
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Long Beach State won in the Big West semis today, preserving an extra at-large bid for an additional day.
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Pouring salt on the Northwestern fan's wound: http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=2125
