Quick current look at the "bubble"... According to TeamRankings (criticize the authenticity of their numbers all you want, but the exact numbers aren't really relevant to the discussion), there are 40 teams that have at least an 80% chance of making the tournament at this juncture: Miami (FL), Florida, Indiana, Duke, Kansas, Syracuse, Louisville, Arizona, Gonzaga, Michigan St, Michigan, Georgetown, New Mexico, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin, Marquette, Kansas St, Colorado St, Oklahoma St, Minnesota, Memphis, Oregon, Ohio State, Middle Tenn, UCLA, VCU, NC State, Illinois, Colorado, UNLV, Belmont, Butler, Oklahoma, Wichita St, Cincinnati, St Marys, San Diego St, LA Tech, N Carolina, Akron Those schools represent a total of 15 conferences (ACC, SEC, B1G, Big 12, Big East, Pac 12, WCC, MWC, C-USA, Sun Belt, A-10, OVC, MVC, WAC, MAC). So as many as 12 at-large bids are still largely up for grabs among the remaining bubble teams, which include: Creighton, Southern Miss, St. Louis, La Salle, Notre Dame, Kentucky, Missouri, Mississippi, California, Virginia, Iowa State, Baylor, Villanova, Alabama, Boise State, Maryland, Arizona State, St. John's, Temple, Arkansas, Iowa So, the conference tourneys of great interest for bubble teams (potential bid stealers) are in the SEC (no, seriously, root for Florida), C-USA (Memphis), Sun Belt (Middle Tennessee), OVC (Belmont), MVC (Wichita State), WAC (Louisiana Tech) and MAC (Akron)