I actually don't think this game is that impossible for the Bears to win. I base this mostly on the "new year, new team, new coaches" theory. The Bears know what they are going to get from the Packers, even though they have no recent history of stopping it. I think missing Jordy Nelson will be big for them, especially early in the year. On the opposite end, I don't think the Packers really know what to expect from the Bears. They can watch old tape of Denver's offense or old tape of the 49ers defense, but I don't think that's really enough. The Bears were really vanilla in preseason on both sides, and were missing their top 3 WRs. The Bears did have plenty of offensive success in 2013 in Trestman's first year, and some on defense also. Obviously, last year they were completely dismantled on both sides by the Packers. But I think a big reason everyone stopped the Bears offense last year was that there was no speed element, no creativity with the playcalling. I read on Pro Football Focus (I think) that about 30% of Brandon Marshall's routes were comeback routes. The Packers sat on this route and picked off a few Cutler passes, IIRC, on this very route. Marshall was too slow to sell the go route, and the Packers were able to not respect the deep route and wait for him to break it off. And most of that route jumping was done by Tramon Williams, who is no longer on the Packers roster. One thing PFF did show was that the Broncos (and Peyton Manning) led the league in yardage on WR screens. Demaryius Thomas has consistently been among the league leaders in screen yardage. The Broncos also run a lot of slant patterns and crossing patterns, typically with some sort of "pick" involved. I think the additions of Kevin White and Eddie Royal (top 15 in WR screen yards) were made to carryout a Broncos-like offense in Chicago. I think we'll see the Bears with a lot more routes going across the field, instead of down the field, giving the Bears receivers a chance to run after the catch. The interesting part will be to see how the Bears let Cutler adjust to mismatches before the snap. Peyton would audible when he had a preferable matchup and send his WRs on a go route, with a 3-step drop. Eddie Royal fits perfectly in the Emanuel Sanders role from Denver last year. I think the Bears will be able to take advantage of Hayward (former nickel now starting outside CB) and both ILBs. So, I look for Royal and Bennett to be big factors. On defense, I heard about these exotic blitzes, but the Bears shown very little of this with the #1 and 2 units on defense. With only 5 active DL, I think we'll see a lot of exotic looks with multiple pass rushing LBs and only 1 or 2 DL on the field at a time. The Bears also have 2 ILBs who both were edge rushers either in college (Jones) or in the pros (McClellin). I think the Bears will be able to put pressure on Rodgers and will send a lot of speed rushers after him all afternoon. The Bears know they can't really cover a team like the Packers, so they may choose to force the action. I don't expect the Bears to win this, but I would expect a tightly contested game into the 4th quarter.