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oldcubsfan

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  1. Useless only to those that can't understand a very simple analogy.
  2. I agree. They also don't take into account the home stadium the player was playing in at the time or adjustsments the player's has made to his swing. Sometimes players gain a new level of mastery over a new pitch or hitting the inside fastball in the case of DLee and it leads to a whole new level of production. Regressive projections fail to take developments like those into account. Go see the baseball discussions thread on this topic: PECOTA has his stats progressing, regressing and then progressing again. That's really helpful. Are you referring to his projected production progessing, regressing and then progressing again? Or are you referring to the method of projection? I was referring to the method used to create a projection, a method based solely on his previous statistics and thus called a regressive projection. Such a projection doesn't take into account the ballpark the player was playing in at the time or adjustments he has made such as mastering a new pitch or hitting the inside fastball, etc. what do you mean they don't take into account ballpark? of course they do. do you know anything about this stuff? I know enough about these so called projections to know they are not an exact science. Conjecture maybe, science no. The main question is do people want Lee for next year, well if so, these are the deals being signed.
  3. Is the problem with the analogy or those who don't understand it?
  4. Nothing. But making fishing analogies when talking about baseball sure is. And why is that? Because the intent of his message is very clear without the fishing reference. It'd be just as dumb as if Dusty was a big fan of backgammon and threw in random backgammon references when talking about a player who is struggling. See, I find the reference no dumber than tearing apart every word the man says. It is a very harmless analogy.
  5. Nothing. But making fishing analogies when talking about baseball sure is. And why is that?
  6. I figured it had to be some totally obscure stat, I guess I was right.
  7. He is only among the worst hitters in all of major league baseball since 1900. THAT IS BAD. Today he got a bloop single on a ball that was a six inches of the ground and a lucky hop that golden boy Pujols should have stabbed. Neifi sucks, he should never start. Ever. Where did you come up with that stat? Since 1900? This hatred of Perez is just plain silly.
  8. It became a problem last year. It has never ceased to be a problem. So what was the big problem last year with him? You just hate the guy who certainly wasn't the cause of last year's failures.
  9. Because it tells us that Dusty has at least some brain activity. the squeeze is little more than a show off move for the manager. it's unnecessarily risky. That's just plain nonsense. It's an effective way to score.
  10. Well, you are going to be very unhappy then. IF Dusty wants to stay, he will. It really will be up to him. That might be true, but it's really a dumb move by the organization if it is. Nobody should be allowed to stay just because they want to. Brett Favre gets that treatment in GB because he was a savior. Dusty has done nothing to earn such treatment in Chicago. You seem to have missed my point, they want him back. The only question is whether he wants to extend.
  11. Well, you are going to be very unhappy then. IF Dusty wants to stay, he will. It really will be up to him.
  12. The Cards LF, RF & C are crap (offensively, at least). Their fifth starter is crap and their 3rd & 4th starters could wake up any day and remember that they've been crappy throughout their careers, too. Their bullpen is nowhere near the pen they've had the past couple years and Izzy is just a sneeze or two away from the DL again. Rolen has significant injury concerns and Edmonds is likely on the decline. I still like their chances better than ours, but it isn't like they don't have questions. Don't forget their hole at 2nd base.
  13. Could be much worse, it could be Farmer and Singleton.
  14. I really agree with you on this. It is entertaining and that's what the broadcast is supposed to be to the majority of listeners. `In depth discussions of stats is very boring to the majority of the general public. The radio broadcasts are aimed at the general public and Santo's living and dying the game is appealling to many. I don't need an indepth discussion of stats. I need an announcer that can concentrate and talk about the game, without blowing smoke up undeserving butts and trailing off onto tangents that have nothing to do with the game. Keep Ron for occasional diversions, but they need to do a better job talking about the baseball games. He's the color man. Who would you like to see?
  15. I really agree with you on this. It is entertaining and that's what the broadcast is supposed to be to the majority of listeners. `In depth discussions of stats is very boring to the majority of the general public. The radio broadcasts are aimed at the general public and Santo's living and dying the game is appealling to many.
  16. Without 2nd guessing Dusty's every move, what would people do?
  17. Down to 28, Rich Hill sent down.
  18. I think you are going to be unhappy for a while. From what I hear, they are both going to get extensions of between 2 to 4 years depending on what they want to do.
  19. Look for Manny to be traded before long. Probably to the Mets.
  20. He says an awful lot of things. He will sit when they tell him and play when and where they tell him, because if he doesn't, there will be no market for him this year or in the offseason.
  21. No mistake, he played RF yesterday.
  22. It's got nothing to do with minor league players, it has everything to do with the misguided love for players that are basically inadequate as complete players. Are you suggesting this board didn't go a little overboard in "evaluating" the above list?
  23. It sure seems to me that Walker is the one whining. He really isn't that good of a ballplayer for all the love shown on this board. Starting to remind me of last year with DuBois and other years with Choi, Hill, Cruz,Kelton,Harris, Grieve etc... As I look over all the rosters, I don't see any of the above playing much and none playing as starters.
  24. This isn't anything new for him. Why do you think other teams have let his "great" bat leave for very little or nothing at all?
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