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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    Except for Kenny Lofton. And Mark Grudzelaniek. And the 04 version of CPatt.
  2. Rob
    CERA is considered to be nothing more than a junk stat. I know that. And it's primarily considered a junk stat because there's practically no evidence that a catcher's game calling has any impact on pitching success. (For instance, last year the situation I describe above was reversed. Blanco had a much better CERA than Barrett.) Since the autocorrelation of the stat is lousy (at best), it's considered to be a junk stat. However, if Barrett's game calling was indeed hurting our pitching staff's success, as the original post posits, then Barrett's CERA would be consistently higher than Blanco's. Which it isn't. So I'm saying there's no real evidence that Barrett's game calling or defense hurts our pitching. And his offense certainly helps when compared to Blanco's or just about any other NL catcher. Don't get me wrong, I love Barrett. Having Barrett behind the plate instead of a guy like A.J. Pierzynski is like having Bill Hall instead of Yuniesky Betancourt. It should be a no-brainer.
  3. Rob
    I can't figure out for the life of me why we let Williams slip away for nothing... and why we picked up yet another live arm for Nevin instead of a position prospect, which our farm system would be sorely in need of. Hendry needs to go.
  4. Rob
    CERA is considered to be nothing more than a junk stat.
  5. Rob
    Only Harben I know of is Adam Harben... of the Twins. Stats!
  6. Rob
    Perhaps not, but I'd certainly expect a sub 5 ERA from our newly dubbed #3 starter, and Meche can't be even close to a guarantee for that. Let's lay out his abilities here, shall we? His strikeout rate comes in around 40% of the league average. His walk rate at around 20%. And to top it all off, his GB/FB ratio is pretty weak. He could be perfectly serviceable in a sizeable ballpark with a decent defense... but a high walk rate at Wrigley field? All his flyballs would be zooming right out of the park. Wrigley needs groundball pitchers, or at least pitchers that don't have high walk rates. Meche isn't either of those things.
  7. Rob
    If Gil Meche is considered an integral part of the rotation, we aren't competing.
  8. Rob
    I know you're being sarcastic, but Christ, who didn't besides Aramis? Pagan had an absolutely stellar one. Dopirak's was pretty darn good too, IIRC.
  9. Rob
    Am I the only one still on the Fredi Gonzalez BandWGN? After him, I'd be all about Girardi though. Oh, and a quick question... does anybody know what Earl Weaver is up to these days?
  10. Rob
    Somebody sure is reaching for something to pad the resume...
  11. Rob
    That's assuming we actually got replacement level production in his place. And since the primary beneficiary of the injury was Neifi, with Walker moving over to first base... it's quite possible we didn't get replacement level production from either position. While I haven't looked at the numbers yet, I'd be quite surprised if the tandem proved to be above replacement level as a whole.
  12. Rob
    If we're listing Jeter, why aren't we paying any attention to Tejada? His stats are almost exactly the same... a little lighter on the OBP and AVG, but a good deal higher on SLG. And for that matter Carlos Guillen has numbers that are just about the same. I'm sorry, but I don't believe there's any way Hafner doesn't deserve the award this year... and if it's not him, it's Manny or Mauer.
  13. Rob
    Why are we adding guys like Walrond and O'Malley to the 40 man? I swear, if we get raped in the Rule V again, I'm gonna be livid. These guys better get DFA'd after the season.
  14. Rob
    This interview is gross.
  15. Rob
    I was just about to point that out.
  16. Rob
    This season was secured for Webb when the DBacks acquired Orlando Hudson. The day that happened, Webb jumped to the top of my pitching draft chart.
  17. Rob
    It's so depressing that this didn't shock me into a sense of outrage and disbelief...
  18. Rob
    That's just not true. The Cubs have promoted plenty of guys to the next level without any semblence of success behind them. Perhaps I should clarify... In the farm systems of teams that have a clue, age relative to level is worth looking at.
  19. Rob
    What makes a good prospect? As far as I'm concerned... being young for the league might be the most important indicator. It indicates plenty of past success, or else, hey... you wouldn't have been put in that league. At the same time, it also allows the player the most time to develop... whether at the same level or at the major league level. Players like Delmon Young, who can more than hold their own against AAA pitching at age 20... it's just hard to find players like that who never manage to pan out. But you'll find plenty of guys like Kevin Orie who were old for the leagues, mashed, but never could figure it out when they finally had to face harder pitching and face a fairly strict timetable for breaking into the league.
  20. Rob
    Money still talks in this game. We would have to overpay. If the Muts offered 14/season the Cubs would have to offer 16-17/season. What other choice do the Cubs have at this point? Hendry has put the Cubs in this position. Now going into 2007 the Cubs have a gaping whole in that rotation. I would rather overpay with $$$$ than prospects(see the Juan Pierre trade) Actually, you'd only have to offer another penny... If memory serves me correctly, in an open bidding war... no Boras client has ever signed with the team that offered less money.
  21. Rob
    Agree completely. CLee will be grossly overpaid and Murt is already looking like a cheap and effective #2 hitter. Soriano would be most welcome at 2B but unfortunately Jim will want a ballcatcher there. I'm just hoping Jim will be captivated by Soriano's basestealing. He seems to value that sort of thing. Sort of his ignorance clouding his bad judgement?
  22. Rob
    I doubt we could get much from the Phillies for Pierre... at least not enough to offset the two comp picks we can get for offering him arbitration this offseason.
  23. Rob
    It'd be absolutely amazing to see Rusch and Neifi's contracts off the book for next year. Let's wish the big man some luck!
  24. Rob
    But VORP is cumulative, and Bynum hasn't played much. Give him time. He'll reach savior status eventually. Well at least Bynum's has been heading in the right direction...
  25. Rob
    Bynum's VORP: .4 Neifi: -7.4 Bynum appears to be slightly better than replacement level. So that's something, I guess....
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