Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Rob

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    15,268

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    13

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    I'd take Earl Weaver over a computer anyday.
  2. Rob
    Juan Pierre has been doing that. Exactly. We already knew he'd do nothing useful before we got him. Thank you for pointing out how even when he'd doing what's expected of him, he belongs nowhere near a major league squad. It's a very important point.
  3. Rob
    I don't want either of these guys even whiffing Murton or Pie's jocks.
  4. Rob
    This team is built around having loads of above average but nowhere near exceptional relievers. Krivsky would probably sign a deal with the devil for chunks of our bullpen... and he'd almost certainly give up Dunn. Seriously, Krivsky's reliever fetish boarders on the criminal.
  5. Rob
    I'm more afraid of the number of picks the Cubs will lose. Again. Well I guess that depends how they approach this offseason. If we try to make a bunch of FA signings in a weak attempt to win next year, we could lose some. I'd really be in favor of trying a quick "rebuild" where we accept some mediocracy next year in hopes of making a stronger effort in 2008. Also even if we did go after some FAs that cost us picks it could turn out like: Gain bottom 15 first rounder and supp. for Pierre Lose a 2nd and 3rd rounder for OF and P We have the same number of picks, just make the first three within the first 40ish picks ,instead of top 70-80. If the Cubs go into free agency looking to win next season, I don't see how Hendry will pass on re-signing Juan Pierre. even if they go the free agent route i think pierre will be offered a contract. Let's just pray the Nats retain Bowden at least through the beginning of free agency. If I know drunks, and I do... he should be gunning for Pierre and willing to blow his entire payroll on him.
  6. Rob
    No, I'm not missing the point. I'm happy he's gone too because I want the Cubs to win. But to keep demeaning the man is cruel and frankly, it's not the right thing to do. Look at yourself in the mirror. I'll bet you all are the type that make fun of people behind their backs, and wouldn't have the guts to talk to them face to face with them. I came to this thread to make a point.....I could give a flying flip what you think of me coming into this thread. Through all the slam Nefi threads, I have said very little. At least you all had the humanity to wish Glendon well with his medical condition. You all have the last word. Actually, I'm rather well known around these parts for telling people things to their faces. And if I met Neifi, it'd be no different. He simply isn't a good player. No amount of crying about human decency can change that. Now if you're a closet Neifi fan, that's fine. But whining about the people who recognize him for the scrub that he is... it's just silly.
  7. Rob
    You think Chris Duncan is going to be a superstar too? When Murton came into the league, nothing supported the power stroke he showed for a few months. Color me skeptical, but I've been a Cubs fan too long to hope for improvement when it's not obvious they had mastered that much of the skill in the first place. Chris Duncan has nothing to do with this conversation. You could say that for any prospect. Murton is 6'1", 220 lbs. He gets really good bat speed with a powerful, compact stroke. The only reason he isn't hitting more home runs is that he's not lifting the ball very often. In fact, were Murton to have enough AB's to qualify for the batting title, he'd be 3rd in MLB in GB/FB ratio. I don't see any reason to think that he can't shift that ratio as he matures as a hitter to generate some more fly balls. If he does that, I strongly believe he can be an annual 25+ HR hitter, with several 30+ seasons mixed in. I mentioned earlier that I think he has plenty of natural power. I also think he was using it flukishly in his first season. He hit a HR every 20 at bats. His rate this year is a bit better than one every 40. Is he certainly capable of good HR totals? Yes, he is. Do I think he's going to change his approach drastically enough to become a legitimate power threat? No, I don't. But I certainly wouldn't complain if he did.
  8. Rob
    How is Edmonds going to improve over 120 OPS points? Is that for the 50 games he's healthy for next season? How the hell does BP get that for his PECOTA for next year? Anybody who thinks he'll be at those numbers is a fool. First off, I already pointed out it predicted 515 PA... so it'd probably be more than 50 games. 10+ PA a game is more unrealistic than that PECOTA line. The 2007 PECOTA was taken from his preseason five year forecast. Obviously it's going to be adjusted downward somewhat when they run his numbers again after the season, though I sincerely doubt he'll do worse than about .260/.360/.500 even if in limited playing time. Mostly, I see his defensive value suffering. Honestly, I'm not too high on picking up Edmonds for CF. Wells is available, or we could make a positive from a bad signing by moving Jones to CF (even at less production than Edmonds or Wells, he'd be good value-wise). Summarily dismissing Edmonds without so much as a thought is the sort of move this team cannot afford, however. If he makes the team better and comes cheaply, Hendry better be standing there with his checkbook in the non-donut hand.
  9. Rob
    You think Chris Duncan is going to be a superstar too? When Murton came into the league, nothing supported the power stroke he showed for a few months. Color me skeptical, but I've been a Cubs fan too long to hope for improvement when it's not obvious they had mastered that much of the skill in the first place.
  10. Rob
    Ummm... That would make the Rays 1.5 "back" of the Royals, not 2.5. Easier way to look at it is winning%. Royals - .384 Rays - .393 Cubs - .397 Pirates - .408 Nationals - .432 Orioles - .434 The Nats and Orioles are probably only pretenders to the crown... I mean, it was even a surprise to see the Orioles had done that badly. Obviously, they have no place in the competition... and their proximity to the Nats eliminates them as well.
  11. Rob
    Agreed. Also, for the past 2 years his avg has been about .260(.385 obp in 2005 and 356 obp this year) and def a little shy from .270 which pecota projects. IMO, Edmonds shouldn't even be an option. He is the epitome of anti-Cub. i don't understand what "anti-cub"means. and i also don't understand how he won't be much better than pierre. It's exactly the same thing as when Damon was an "anti-yankee"
  12. Rob
    For the most part, the Greer comparison isn't bad. I do think Murton has more natural power than Greer though, even if his approach doesn't use it. I could easily see one of those fluke seasons where Murton keeps getting pitches up in the zone and hanging curve balls that he just can't help but smash... Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised to see a 30 HR season out of him sometime around age 28. But I wouldn't expect more than about 18-20 out of him in any other seasons.
  13. Rob
    You really believe that? His slugging alone makes him worth more than Pierre, and he isn't going to forget how to take a walk. Did you not notice the first part? If he continues on this decline, his numbers will look like Pierre's. I don't know if they will continue on that path. My guess is it won't be that drastic. But it's been that drastic for 2 years, and he's an old man with a thousand past injuries. goony hates older players. but that's okay, his pecota predictions, iirc, are pretty decent, plus his injuries haven't limited him as much as many would have you believe. if he's been injured, he seems to have played through it pretty well. PECOTA's 2007 .270/.396/.564 in 515 PA
  14. Rob
    I pray you aren't being serious... but somehow, I know you are... :evil:
  15. Rob
    Bruce, is the organization realizing that Izturis isn't a top-of-the-order threat, or are they just giving him a few games to get back from the injury before they move him back up to the two-hole?
  16. Rob

    Rob replied to cubfan1955's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk

    Ok then, here's a valid question. If Fox isn't a top catching prospect, who do you feel is better? No offense, but I don't trust Baseball America to make all my decisions for me.
  17. Rob
    Ideally? The trib okays a payroll boost to $130M and... - Prior is healthy and in 2003 form. - Zambrano fixes his wildness and becomes a true ace - We outbid everyone for Daisuke and he's all that - We outbid everyone for Zito and he makes NL hitters look really silly - We sign Schmidt just for the heck of it to fill out the starting five - We keep Hill ready to go in case of injury or just to give the starting five an occasional game off. - We trade for a strong OBP/Power OF who can play CF or RF (moving Jones to center) - We sign Soriano for second base We celebrate our world series victory. Hey, this is ideally, right? :D Touché
  18. Rob
    Ideally... Zambrano Schmidt Hill Guzman Prior/Marshall/Marmol/Mateo/Gallagher/Veal I'd really be surprised if Guzman can't be at least an league-average innings eater kind of guy next year, if we'd just stop yanking him between the rotation, the bullpen, and the minors. I don't get why everybody is so down on him...
  19. Rob
    Fixed
  20. Rob
    me too He's actually helping my fantasy team. My opponent this week has both Hafner and Wilkerson on her team, and she still has both of them in her active lineup even though they're both out for the year. Too bad this matchup is only for 5th & 6th place. I'd made a Hafner for Liriano trade about a week before Liriano went down... I thought I'd gotten the best of the trade for my postseason run. Instead, I'm plugging waiver wire vets into the most important offensive position and my friend is getting Liriano back for the second week of the playoffs.
  21. Rob
    Was your book written by a children's author? My book was written with baseball knowledge. I dont like how stat geeks think they know what they are talking about. All they go by is stats, they dont see the things that happen that dont get recorded in a baseball stat book. For example: a runner at 2b with no outs, the hitter hits the ball to the to the right side of the infield. That is considered a great AB by a person who knowledges the game more than a stat geek. Stat geeks would classify that AB has a worthless AB. To be fair to the man, his more inflamatory comments may have been caused by a wicked potshot I delivered. I would like to apologize for that comment. I simply became rather aggrivated after making a few well thought out and articulated arguments, and saw you coming back with nothing but more rhetoric and anecdotal evidence. For what it's worth, I do see where all of your arguments come from. I had been indoctrinated with the same things throughout all my years of playing ball (a career cut tragically short by varsity football blowing my knee out on three separate occassions, causing me to miss baseball season rehabbing even though I was penciled in every season as the #3 or 4 hitter in the lineup, playing first or third base on a team that had a bunch of people go on to play college ball) I don't see the use of statistics as a substitute for good old baseball knowledge. It's simply another avenue of perception. Akin to the political world... watching only Fox News or only CNN isn't going to show you the truth. It's only going to cloud your vision with propoganda. The truth is in there somewhere... a happy medium.
  22. Rob
    I would hope not. That's about the best way to make a guy pitch like crap. No, the best way is to leave a rookie out there to throw 120 high-leverage pitches. That next start is always brutal...
  23. Rob
    Cabrera and his .966 Fielding % (hey, if you can use it I can.) versus Nomar and his .957? That's a margin of less than one error. And you've already established that the scorekeepers can be vindictive (which is half the reason Nomar was traded). For all intents and purposes, Cabrera didn't do any better than Nomar that year... and they were both below the league average fielding percentage. I thought judging someone on their defensive% was a horrible way to judge a player? :D It's not. But with your baseball experience, I'm sure you realize it's somewhat more applicable for shortstops than catchers. The SS position is the most demanding positions on the field. I was just joking with the guy anyways. I like to judge a player by his defensive %, but some dont. Then what is your justification for saying that Cabrera was that much better than Nomar that Boston wouldn't have won the title with him at SS. I dont have the stats In front of me, but I remember reading something about Cabrera committing very few errors(4 I believe)when he was traded to the Red Sox. Mientkiewicz also contributed to helping out the infield defense. Cabrera had eight errors in fifty seven games at short. Pokey Reese had six in seventy one games. Now this is an honest question I can't remember the answer to, what happened to Pokey that year? Did he get injured or something?
  24. Rob
    Cabrera and his .966 Fielding % (hey, if you can use it I can.) versus Nomar and his .957? That's a margin of less than one error. And you've already established that the scorekeepers can be vindictive (which is half the reason Nomar was traded). For all intents and purposes, Cabrera didn't do any better than Nomar that year... and they were both below the league average fielding percentage. I thought judging someone on their defensive% was a horrible way to judge a player? :D Forgive me. I'm trying to bring this information down to a level you've shown aptitude for understanding. Believe me, it's applicable at the higher levels of statistics in this case as well.
  25. Rob
    Cabrera and his .966 Fielding % (hey, if you can use it I can.) versus Nomar and his .957? That's a margin of less than one error. And you've already established that the scorekeepers can be vindictive (which is half the reason Nomar was traded). For all intents and purposes, Cabrera didn't do any better than Nomar that year... and they were both below the league average fielding percentage.
×
×
  • Create New...