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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    I'm giving him a freebie this year on account of the TJS. All I was looking for was a healthy first full season back and he delivered on that. His results next year should be much more indicative of his prospect status. It'll be important to see him start throwing that splitter again though...
  2. Rob
    You're my new best friend. I'll edit in some comments later: 1. Brett Jackson, OF 2. Chris Archer, RHP 3. Ken McNutt, RHP 4. Josh Vitters, 3B 5. Junior Lake , UT 6. Hak Ju Lee, SS 7. Jay Jackson, RHP 8. Chris Carpenter, RHP 9. Reggie Golden, OF 10. Brandon Guyer, OF 11. Hayden Simpson, RHP 12. Kim Jin-Yeong, RHP 13. Jae-Hoon Ha, OF 14. Brooks Raley, LHP 15. Robinson Chirinos, C 16. Dae-Eun Rhee, RHP 17. Wellington Castillo, C 18. Ben Wells, RHP 19. Chris Rusin, LHP 20. Darwin Barney, SS 21. Aaron Kurcz, RHP 22. Alberto Cabrera, RHP 23. Ryan Flaherty, UT 24. Robinson Lopez, RHP 25. Brett Wallach, RHP 26. Nick Struck, RHP 27. Austin Kirk, LHP 28. Austin Reed, RHP 29. D.J. LeMahieu, UT 30. David Cales, RHP 31. Marquez Smith, 3B 32. Charles Thomas, RHP 33. Matt Cerda, UT 34. Rafael Dolis, RHP 35. Matt Szczur, OF
  3. Rob
    Well make sure to post something about it tomorrow. I don't want to have to do the work myself. On that note, I'm waiting for somebody to post their top 50 or so so I can just copy and paste names in the order I want. Typing it all out is more work I don't want to do myself.
  4. Rob
    I don't want Ryne anywhere near this team, even if it's only as bench coach. I have terrible visions of us bunting in the 1st inning with our #3 hitter. Ryno will be our manager at some point. There's simply no avoiding it. I'd rather get it out of the way while we're in a transitional phase.
  5. Rob
    What moron ever decided to start spouting off about consistency in the first place anyways? I'd much rather have a team full of streaky guys.
  6. Rob
    My sentiments exactly.
  7. Rob
    5/58 is probably too high. He's a 3.5 - 4 win guy, but 30 years old and already playing bad defense at a position up the middle. If he loses another step, he's gonna finally have to move off 2B, which would put a pretty big hurt on his value.
  8. Rob
    Does this refer to Zambrano's verbal confrontation with DLee, or the front office and management's mishandling of him all season long?
  9. Rob
    I read that as "I don't understand that wins are a team statistic, and mean almost nothing at all for individuals." Carlos Zambrano was our best starter last season. And given what the rest of the rotation has done this year, he would have been #1 again this season if the front office hadn't bungled things so awfully.
  10. Rob
    QFT
  11. Rob
    Geovany Soto spent 3 years at Iowa before coming up at age 25. Chirinos is 26 and has put up ridiculous wOBAs the last 2 years including .428 this year. I'm not saying he is anywhere near the caliber of Geovany Soto but you can't tell me that no team would consider him a decent inclusion in a trade package. Obviously he isn't a centerpiece, but he has value. He was available last offseason to any team that wanted to take him in the Rule 5 draft. Nobody did. That would have cost 50k (25k really if you offered him back to his original team and they took him back). I'm quite aware of that. Did I suggest otherwise? Not at all. It was just additional information I thought would-be beneficial to anybody whotrying to put an approximate dollar vale on him.
  12. Rob
    Geovany Soto spent 3 years at Iowa before coming up at age 25. Chirinos is 26 and has put up ridiculous wOBAs the last 2 years including .428 this year. I'm not saying he is anywhere near the caliber of Geovany Soto but you can't tell me that no team would consider him a decent inclusion in a trade package. Obviously he isn't a centerpiece, but he has value. He was available last offseason to any team that wanted to take him in the Rule 5 draft. Nobody did. That would have cost 50k (25k really if you offered him back to his original team and they took him back).
  13. Rob
    I think statistically, 1st and 2nd, no outs with ordinary hitters both at-bat and on-deck, sac-ing is slightly better than batting in that situation. Run expectancy isn't much different with runners on 1st and 2nd with nobody out versus 2nd and 3rd with one out. So even if you assume a successful sac bunt, you haven't really gotten anywhere. And there's still that chance to fail.
  14. Rob
    Cubs currently with the #9 pick.
  15. Rob
    Alfonso
  16. Rob
    Yeah, I can hardly thank you fine folks (and all the contributors) enough. I may not post enough in this forum, but you bet your buns I'm reading every thread and absorbing every little piece of information I can.
  17. Rob
    Because he's not as good of a hitter yet as the guys in front of him.
  18. Rob
    If he randomly attributes things to the law of averages four times, surely one of those will be correct.
  19. Rob
    Just because... RF - Fukudome C - Soto 1B - whichever big slugger we get 3B - Ramirez CF - Byrd LF - Soriano SS - Castro Pitcher's spot 2B - DeWitt / Baker platoon
  20. Rob
    2005 DLee He was first in batting average, second in homers, and seventh in RBI. He needed five home runs and 21 RBI to tie for the lead in those categories. I wouldn't call that close. If memory serves, he was right at the top of everything in early August. He just couldn't fell behind after that.
  21. Rob
    If a mod feels like editing my post to deal with the formatting, feel free. I'm just copying and pasting from my spreadsheet. Pick Team W L W% GB 1 Pittsburgh 43 87 .331 0 2 Baltimore 48 83 .366 -4.5 3 Seattle 51 79 .392 -8 4 Arizona 52 79 .397 -8.5 5 Cleveland 53 77 .408 -10 6 Chicago 55 76 .420 -11.5 7 Kansas City 55 75 .423 -12 8 Washington 56 75 .427 -12.5 9 Houston 59 71 .454 -16 10 Milwaukee 62 68 .477 -19
  22. Rob
    I'd love to have him sitting in AAA in case of injury, but the list of available 1B this offseason is way too good to settle for a guy like Johnson.
  23. Rob
    Disagree with you. Fuku's contract is a sunk cost. Colvin's contract in comparison is minimal. Colvin is younger, will be cheaper and is under team contract for longer than Fukudome. The team should be thinking about the future not this year. Wow... what the hell were you responding to? 1.) I wasn't trying to say whether benching Fukudome in favor of Colvin was the right move or not, I was just laying out the financial side of the argument. So the argument regarding Colvin as younger, cheaper, etc... is responding to something I never said. 2.) Fukudome's contract is not a sunk cost. A sunk cost is defined when you have no ability to recover any portion of the money. Even the most enthusiastic of Fukudome haters out there have to admit that before the benching, he had some trade value. We would have had to eat some of his contract, of course. But we would not have had to eat the whole thing. Therefore, not a sunk cost. 3.) Playing Colvin necessitates benching Fukudome. Benching Fukudome negatively impacts his trade value. Therefore, playing Colvin over Fukudome has a cost equal to the decline of Fukudome's trade value ... in this case, certainly a few million dollars. We aren't getting increased production out of Colvin, so the only real question to ask ourselves is are we getting our money's worth by getting an extended look at Colvin + any increased trade value Colvin may accrue?
  24. Rob
    Colvin is costing us money by virtue of the fact that starting him in place of Fukudome (without any real gain in production) has completely tanked what was left of Fukudome's contract... so we'll have to eat the whole contract to move him. Is the better look we're getting at Colvin worth that money? Time will tell. Colvin is paid less and is providing pretty damn close to equal production, but that doesn't mean starting him was the right move in the short term.
  25. Rob
    I wouldn't read too much into the Pods vs. Castro thing. It's all about which defensive stats they've chosen to use... Pods comes in at -2 according to TZ, -8.2 according to UZR, and -13 according to BIS. Castro comes in at -13 according to TZ, -1.7 according to UZR, and +5 according to BIS. Using more data is always a good thing, so to get a better idea of what all three defensive systems are saying as opposed to just the one we can average em out and you have Pods at -7.7 and Castro at -3.2 as defenders. That's four and a half run advantage for Castro instead of an 11 run disadvantage. That's pretty huge.
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