1908
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Everything posted by 1908
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His arm is weak for second.
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His age and his career numbers to date suggest it's likely to happen. I hope he doesn't.
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Update: Fuld's now hitting .299 with an OBP of .375. 45/40 BB/K, 9.8 K/100 AB. He now leads the team with 30 doubles (4 triples). Harvey has 29 (2). Eric Patterson has 26 doubles (11 triples). I know some view triples as doubles + speed, so I listed both. He's had a great year. Now let's see him do it at an age appropriate level. Also worth noting that he's had a great year despite having a bum shoulder at the start of it.
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I'm under the impression that hitters and pitchers are different animals when it comes to peak years despite what James wrote in his original abstract.
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There's research and there's Moneyball. I'm much more interested in the research when it comes to this question than how baseball executives decide to apply it.
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That's an excellent quesiton. I hope there's not enough of them to do so. They could help explain Rocket's three examples, though. That is, why Sosa, Big Mac and Raffy had their career years in their 30's.
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I don't have my Historical Baseball Abstract handy, but I know Bill James' research in that book supports the 26-27 peak. The Baseball Prospectus crew is also on board that age range. In fact, that age range seems widely accepted to me in baseball research circles at the moment and not the hotly debated topic you suggest it is. I do agree that there are outliers -- both late and early bloomers. And it's possible that Lee is one of the former. I also think it's reasonable to expect Lee's numbers to drop next season based on his age and career numbers to date.
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All the research I've read suggests that baseball hitters most often peak between 26 and 27, maintain close to that level until about 30, and then start to slowly decline. I've never seen any research that suggests that baseball hitters peak at 30, which is why I was curious about your source.
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Who would that be? Who? I've heard that many times from sportswriters and athletes. It's not new. Ah, just curious if you'd seen any research that supported it. Thanks.
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I suspect it was a little of both. There's no doubt in my mind than Johnson plays in a better environment for rookies, but he's also three years younger than Dubois.
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Cubs/Cards Over and Underachievers List
1908 replied to indifferent's topic in General Baseball Talk
Did your maturity peak at 23? I know mine didn't. -
Who would that be?
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I'll go out on a limb and say that this wasn't their song prior to 1983 :wink: WGN played it to start their Cubs broadcast during the 1984 season.
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It stands for Value Over Replacement Player and represents the number of runs the player in question contributes beyond what a replacement-level player would contribute if given the same percentage of team plate appearances. It is park adjusted and does not factor in defense.
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In fairness it was Dubois for a month of Lawton to try to make a run and then a PTBNL. I'm more indifferent than upset. I'd probably feel worse about it if Jason were tearing it up in Cleveland. Or if he wasn't going to be 27 next spring. Edited to fix typo.
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What team are you looking to talk about? All teams, actually. Although it would see I have a biased, now wouldn't it? :oops:Feel free to discuss the majority of MLB teams in this forum. Discussions about the Cardinals, Astros, White Sox, etc. belong in Rivalries. As CPatterson20 said, misplaced threads will be moved by a mod if necessary.
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What team are you looking to talk about?
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Will you be attending any of the IBAF World Cup games, Werner?
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Remember to update the donation address.
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It's not that one is more appropriate then the other; it's frequency of use. If the board gets flooded with MacPhail's, we'd consider turning on a word filter.
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Cubstitle, is that you?
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Lee would need to duplicate or improve upon this season next year before I'd even consider giving him a 6/$75M deal.
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I'd lean more toward the first two. Being better able to hit a moving fastball versus a straight fastball sounds unlikely to me, but that's just my opinion.
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He's played in over 200 games in the past couple years. I think that's plenty of time for scouts to put together a book on him. But he has been playing pretty regularly this year -- 108 out of 126 games.
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That fact that his stats have improved at all from his days spent in Japan is what has me scratching my head. None of the other Japanese position players playing in the US have done that, including Shinjo who was also a part-time player.