nilodnayr
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Everything posted by nilodnayr
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When's too early to start thinking about your keepers?
nilodnayr replied to SouthSideRyan's topic in Fantasy Sports
What service do you guys who have minor league drafts and minor league rosters use? This is my second year in a yahoo league with friends and that definitely isn't possible in yahoo...Bannister wasn't available in the draft and Howie Kendrick still isn't available! -
All depends as to whether you think Church is going to stay with the Nationals organization, or even to that point, what the management is going to be like under the new National's owner. Also, do you have specific OF positions, or is it just OF? Obviously with the latter, Church's value is diminished.
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That scenario seems barely possible. Last year no team in the NL lost more than 95 games and 5 teams finished within 8 games of the WC (and none outside of 25). Still the 4 playoff teams won a combined 12 more games than what you are predicting. In 2004, one team lost more than 95 games and 5 teams finished within 9 games of the WC. A more common distributed year, 2004's playoff teams won a combined 27 more games than what you are predicting. In 2003, 31. In 2002, 42. As you can see, and you may remember, last year was full of extremely close races, which is unusual, proven by this brief lookback. I would expect a return to more stratification, probably not to the 2002 level (thank Milwaukee), but probably somewhere around the 2003/2004 levels. My prediction West: 89 East: 97 Central: 100 WC: 96
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That scenario seems barely possible.
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Did you remember to pitch him today?? :lol: Your pitching staff is no match for mine... Sheets Harden Patterson Lackey Escobar C. Young Liriano (its gotta be just a matter of time) The only problem is, is that no one in my league will trade with me!
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I thought so, I was just worried about his slow start. I also have Stephen Drew in the minors. I guess I'll trade Giles and keep Peralta. I have TWalk anyways. 2b is a more offensive position, and even though his numbers last year look oustanding, consider the fact that he was platooning in the 9 hole for 1/3rd of the year!!! Anyone can struggle in 15 games. Take solace in the fact that hes still scoring runs and driving guys in. In that lineup, its hard not to at least put up some quality fantasy numbers.
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Maybe hes frustrated with the O's lack of save opportunities. Ray last pitched the 21st. He still hasnt given up a run. His last outing was a bit stressful, but he got the job done. You better hope you have a good waiver #.
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When's too early to start thinking about your keepers?
nilodnayr replied to SouthSideRyan's topic in Fantasy Sports
My league is a first year keeper league and we decided on 5 players to keep. Whats the prevalence on number of players to keep? I would love to keep quite a bit more. -
Sheets is also looking like he could win the Cy, he is seriously dealing. I like selling high on Maddux, but I wouldnt want to give up Freel. Try Maddux and another spare part for Sheets. Although most likely anyone who drafted Sheets, did so knowing that his injury was not serious and hed be able to recover and once again completely dominate (or at least that was my thinking :lol:). Sheets has done nothing to disappoint, so I think trying to acquire Sheets is going to be very difficult. Most likely youll have to overpay. All in all, this probably isnt a good match. Itd be better to buy low on lieber. Although in my league hes a FA (and has been for some time). I picked him up for a couple days, benched him, but had to cut him in a roster crunch and he once again passed through waivers. See if you can get a 5th OF for him.
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Sledge is in AAA. He was sent down last week. I didn't mean a good 4th OF this second, but a guy whos career adds up to a full season of 775 OPS, aint bad. In fact only 41 OFs beat that last year.
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Tony Clark is very inexpensive. Around $1M for 2006. He does have a NTC though. But what do we do with Clark when Lee comes back? Clark can only play 1b, and he's not going to get much time with Lee in front of him. Doesn't seem to be a fit for the Cubs IMO. We use him off the bench. He'll be that power bat on the bench that we don't have. That's much better than Bynum or Hairston pinch hitting late in games. And it would probably be wise to give Lee a day off here and there down the stretch to keep him strong anyway. That forearm is going to be really weak and that's where you generate most of your power from. That gave me a good laugh. Where's the laugh in that?? I bolded it.
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Is it time for Hoffpauir to be called up?
nilodnayr replied to Kyle's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
of course, neither does bynum. if you're going to waste a roster spot on someone that can't hit, i'd prefer that guy be able to at least serve as a defensive replacement at a position that could use one. Itd be easier to slip Bynum through waivers now than in ST. Additionally you could remove Restovich from the roster and send him down. -
I didn't want Pierre OR Pie in CF this year. It would have been best to use a guy who could either be traded, relegated to the bench, or used at another position, should Pie have a good first half. Crazy enough that guy was already on our roster and posted OBPs of 353, 378, 336, and 385 from 2003 thru 2006. Note his dip was the year he changed leagues. Yes, none other than JHJR. For comparison's sake Pierre's OBP over that time period are 361, 374, 326, 284.
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Get ready for disappointment. Guess how many qualified CFs in MLB have these stats? 3- Vernon Wells, Curtis Granderson, and Corey Sullivan. ESPN Players such as Andruw Jones, Torii Hunter, Jim Edmonds, and Johnny Damon all suck according to your standards. Hmmm...realistic standards? Last year the following CF had an OBP above .350 and an .OPS above 800: 1) Edmonds .385 / .918 2) Griffey .369 / .946 3) Damon .366 / .805 4) Winn .360 / .859 5) DeJesus .359 / .804 Sizemore, Jones, and Crisp JUST missed an OBP of .350, but all put up OPS's greater than .800. Brady Clark had an OBP of .372, but his OPS was .798. That's 9 CF's that were right about .350 / .800 or well above. Pierre btw had a .326 OBP and a .680 OPS. That is horrible. Off the top of my head Ryan Church, Milton Bradley, Jason Michaels, and JD Drew are guys who did it in 2005, but didnt play enough at center, even though they are fine fielders in that position. Mark Kotsay, Beltran, and Aaron Rowand did it in 2004. Dave Roberts and Mike Cameron almost did it last year. I'm sure there are a few more as well. But basically thats enough guys for over HALF of the teams in baseball to have a CF who meets the 350/800 criteria.
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So, IF footspeed is hampered by the cold, wouldnt it be Pierre's fault that hes not wearing compression shorts, layers, and warming up properly before and during his ABs?
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I'd do the trade, Shelton before the season projected to be a 300/30 guy, so from here on out he should be a decent lock for 300/25. Should have good RBIs, but will lack in runs hitting 6th. Either way, Nomar is an average hitting firstbaseman and is always an injury risk.
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Its a good idea as long as you dont have any tight move restrictions. If his rehab starts tanking you can drop him, but as of now, he could still pitch a decent chunk of the season.
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Peralta is way more valuable.
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I'm hoping tomorrow freekin' Yahoo adds him to their league.
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Conjecture my foot. Try running in sub 50 degree weather opposed to 80 degree weather. It's a big difference, especially when you are standing in the field all game or sitting in the dugout. If you don't move around a lot, your muscles tend to get tight. Tight muscles slow you down and increase the chances of an injury. What about nilo's point about the fielder? By the same logic isn't his arm colder and tighter, leading to slower throws? We're talking about 1/2 a step or less from home to first. That's well within the realm of influence. Substantially changing Pierre's arm speed to a noticeable level b/c of weather is a pretty tough argument to make. They don't exactly keep radar gun readings on centerfielders. I would guess his velocity does suffer some small amount in cold weather unless his arm is nice and warmed up. It's just not a noticeable difference. Why do they keep track of temperature and weather conditions in track? Because it affects results to a measurable level in those cases. I meant the infielder's arm whos throwing the ball to firstbase. They also keep track of attendance, and length of game.
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I play hockey...thank God they keep the ice rink at a balmy 80, otherwise I dont think I would be able to move out there.
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And maybe those 7 extra times on base would lead to 3 more runs, and maybe an extra victory. I don't know how you can argue that Juan Pierre's low OBP isn't a big deal. Where have I argued that his low OBP isn't a big deal? I've simply indicated that it's fairly doable to up his numbers with a couple more hits/walks. He's had less than 200 AB so far. Ease up. When we get to the ASB and he's below a .325 OBP, I'll be very worried. If its that easy, why doesnt everyone get a couple more hits/walks? It's not easy, but in Pierre's case he has just missed a few infield singles, which I blame on the cold weather. You have to take the nature of the player's game into account. Pierre's is dependent on speed, which is very much affected by the cold. And maybe when the weather is a bit warmer he will hit the ball truer off the bat and it will get to the infielder, whos arm is a bit warmer so he can throw the ball better...seems like quite a bit of conjecture.
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And maybe those 7 extra times on base would lead to 3 more runs, and maybe an extra victory. I don't know how you can argue that Juan Pierre's low OBP isn't a big deal. Where have I argued that his low OBP isn't a big deal? I've simply indicated that it's fairly doable to up his numbers with a couple more hits/walks. He's had less than 200 AB so far. Ease up. When we get to the ASB and he's below a .325 OBP, I'll be very worried. If its that easy, why doesnt everyone get a couple more hits/walks?
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http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/base-stealer-intangibles-part-1/ http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/base-stealer-intangibles-part-2/ Not that youre going to believe all of that because its written by a "stats geek", but theres an empiracle answer to your second question.
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Considering our payroll is 6 times theirs, 50 wins aint too bad. I think although the AL east is struggling, the Mets and Braves should be very good teams, the Phils decent and the Nats, not too horrible. I actually like the Marlins a lot. I think they have about an equal chance of winning 75 games as 50 games so I'll split the difference and say they end up 63-99. Ohh, and Mike Jacobs is protecting WIllingham, the same Mike Jacobs who hit 11 HRs in 100 ABs last year for the Mets (after hitting 25 in 433 ABs in AA that year). Not to mention Jason Stokes in AAA, who is better than both of them. Hermida is an OBP machine, Miggy is Miggy. Once they trade for Gathright and if they can somehow get a decent 2b, the team should be pretty good.