https://twitter.com/ScottLindholm/status/407506999937482753/photo/1/large Robbie Gould is 72% in his career from 40-49, and 91% from 30-39. One more first down made a huge difference. I see your point, but now we are talking about getting another 8 yards, which very likely requires two more plays from scrimmage, thus doubling the risk of a turnover, penalty. etc. I don't think it's a bad argument, I just think it isn't as obvious as some here are portraying it to be. Why does it have to take 2 more plays? If you don't get the 8 yards, then take the long kick. 47 - 39 = 8. Kyle's point seems to have been that 8 more yards significantly improves Gould's chances.