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CubinNY

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  1. lol the Cubs lost over 30 games that they had the lead in when the pen was pitching.
  2. Mervis is in a really tough situation. He's not going to get a shot unless injuries happen and he's performing at a high level in AAA. He's about to become a career minor leaguer. The best thing for him would be to be released or traded, but he still has relative value for the Cubs who are unlikely to do that.
  3. Not a Cubs target but Joc close to signing with the D-Backs
  4. BA has the new dude, Cruz, as a top 15 prospect in the Cubs system. That is pretty lofty
  5. Trades. But I don't know if they fall into the realm of reality or wishcasting.
  6. you can't outpednatic Kyle.
  7. I don't understand, please explain?
  8. This will be like Dexter sneaking into Sloan Field on February 8th.
  9. I agree. It is an interesting issue though.
  10. If the Cubs come away from the offseason with essentially the same team on paper and win more games, how much credit do you give the manager? How much is variance? Because it looks like that is what they intend to do.
  11. Given the level of play in AAA with rehabbing, and AAAA career guys, I expect Owen to have some adjustment to do, but he's going to play well. He has so much K in his game though, he has to get those down.
  12. At least on paper. I think they are banking on marginal improvement from the younger guys. I get the feeling that the Cubs think that they have a good (best?) offer for Bellinger and he's going to sign. But, Bellinger solves some problems and potentially creates others. I like their starting pitching. Obviously, defense will be good, but the offense and bullpen are still huge question marks
  13. You are making a false argument. No one said data is actually kinda worthless. But that's just me. I think most people agree the best predictor of future performance is past performance. Data help people to quantify what that means. However, there is error in measurement, so one has to use reasoning skills in their interpretation. The debate on Bellinger for example is that he's losing power. This may be true, but he's also changed his approach. Some people look at the changed approach and think that is important, others don't. Still other note that CF/1st isn't a position of need or that the Cubs have minor leaguers who could play those positions and it's not worth the dollars to sign him. In all those cases there is interpretations being made. That's why I said everything is relative and context is important. That for some reason you thought was worthy of ridicule.
  14. lol, you are horsefeathers troll. I was responding to the dude who thinks we've cracked the code. Data are data. The information upon which a decision is made is interpreted and not free of subjective determinations based on "gut" feeling. For example, saying Bellinger is a 120 OPS player and PCA is an 88 OPS player is not based in reality either, because it's projection. Is it better than a cold guess? Sure. How much? we don't know. The thing about ZIPS is that in aggregate, the information on team performance is pretty good. The prediction of individual performance is not that good, but over and underestimations are normalized acrosss the individuals, for the most part.
  15. So there was no harm in waiting.
  16. Devil's advocate: Analytical data also do not come straight from God. So you should not think they are accurate to the degree you seem to be proposing. Additionally, everything is relative. Lastly, context needs to be taken into account.
  17. I freely admit that I am not a professional baseball player, never was, and have never known one personally. However, if I were in the position to be offered multi-millions of dollars to play baseball, I would be looking to wrap up the negotiations as soon as possible so I could carry on with my offseason schedule in peace without having to worry about where I was going to live and play baseball for the next 3-8 years. But I'm also impulsive. I need to know stuff about my future to make me comfortable in my surroundings. When I was in college I would go to my classroom a week before classes started just so I'd make sure I knew where I was going. I'd be the same way I think with my career. After I graduated and went on my interviews I didn't take the first offer, but I didn't wait to take the offer from the place I wanted to work at either. So, although I cannot put myself in the position of a multimillionaire, I can try if unsuccessfully, to give my perspective. It would do psychological damage to not know where I was going to live up to the last weeks before the season starts.
  18. Kind of reminds me of when the Bulls fired Doug Collins.
  19. I love Alcantara. I hope he makes the timeline, but he's probably going to get traded at some point this season or during the offseason.
  20. I think both the Pirates and Reds will be right there with the Cubs competing for the division. It's hard to count out the Cardinals, but they are fading. I think the Brewers are still the team to beat.
  21. I'm guessing the hangup with Bellinger is years vs. dollars. I wonder what it would take for Bellinger to accept a shorter contract. As to the other stuff, It's a unique year. Ohtani and the other high-profile Japanese players, the way Boras likes to operate, and the fact that he has many remaining players. I don't question his results, but it leads to many episodes of pearl-clutching by us fans.
  22. You are almost getting it. Almost
  23. If the players divvy up $35 million, how much do you think the owners get?
  24. I hope they watched the QB play in this last round of playoffs and noticed the stark contrast between what Fields can do after three years and what we saw by all the team's QBs, for the most part. Fields play obviously doesn't match up.
  25. Jed does not appear to mind big dollar contracts, he does not seem to like long-term contracts. If there is a sticking point, I'd bet it would be years vs dollars.
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