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Posted
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

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Posted
8th inning, 5-2 Brew Crew.

 

looking ahead to this weekend's matchups, a sweep of Colorado would be very much appreciated. The Nats play the Mets, so a best case scenario would be the Mets taking 2 of 3 from the Nats while a worst case scenario would be the Nats sweeping the Mets. Anything else would be ok too. The Astros face Milwaukee 3 more after today, so Milwaukee taking 2 of 3 from Houston would be great. The Phillies play the Pirates at Philadelphia this weekend. If Pittsburgh wins at least one game in that series, it would be a victory for us. Florida plays LA for a 4 game set, so let's hope for at least a split there. All in all, there's a lot of teams in front of us and it sucks having to keep track of this many teams :lol:

 

 

Basically we just gotta hope that after beating each other up, the Braves beat the crap out of all the rest of their Eastern counterparts. And the Stos/Brewers lose the majority of their remaining games.

 

I don't think we have to worry about the Brewers stealing the Wild Card from us.

 

 

Better to be safe than sorry. :wink:

 

(last year's WC collapse for the Cubs is still too fresh in my memory)

Posted (edited)
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

 

 

Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 4-5 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit.

Edited by CubsHawks25
Posted

Great job Milwaukee, getting this series off on the right foot AND beating The Rocket.

 

... but not so fast, one Mr Brewer PBP Guy, don't be so quick with that "... and the Milwaukee Brewers leap-frog the Chicago Cubs in the Wild Card race."

 

While true, the Cubs have the MUCH easier schedule this weekend and that "leap frog" stuff may not apply for very much longer, maybe be re-leapfrogged by the end of play tomorrow. :wink:

Posted
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

 

 

Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 5-6 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit.

No problem, Hawks.

 

And the key word is that the 5 teams to climb over only seems like a big problem. Again, the fact that the 4 NL East teams play each other so much and the fact that the Cubs have so many games left against Houston makes this thing doable.

 

The problem is being 5 back in the loss column with only 41 to play, that and the Cubs have yet to get hot over a long stretch of games which is exactly what they will have to do to have any chance of winning this thing.

 

Its official. Houston loses at home again. Way to go, Brewers. Shades of '03.

Posted
While true, the Cubs have the MUCH easier schedule this weekend and that "leap frog" stuff may not apply for very much longer, maybe be re-leapfrogged by the end of play tomorrow. :wink:

 

I'd rather the Brewers win tomorrow (with a Cubs win), to get Houston closer.

Posted
Should we really be that excited about the Brewers winning though. They are tied with us in the standings. :x
Posted
Should we really be that excited about the Brewers winning though. They are tied with us in the standings. :x

I realize that being tied with the Brewers this late in the season can leave a taste in your mouth a lot like a flat, warm Pabst Blue Ribbon, but at this point, I'll take every Houston loss I can get, thank you very much...

Posted
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

 

 

Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 5-6 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit.

No problem, Hawks.

 

And the key word is that the 5 teams to climb over only seems like a big problem. Again, the fact that the 4 NL East teams play each other so much and the fact that the Cubs have so many games left against Houston makes this thing doable.

 

The problem is being 5 back in the loss column with only 41 to play, that and the Cubs have yet to get hot over a long stretch of games which is exactly what they will have to do to have any chance of winning this thing.

 

Its official. Houston loses at home again. Way to go, Brewers. Shades of '03.

 

 

Oh, I agree, its definitely possible - although (right now!), the odds make it seem not so probable.

 

If the Cubs can go on a 7-8-9+ win streak, they can turn this race around quick. Seeing as how they got Colorado, then ATL and FLA, a big win streak may have to wait a week or so. Hopefully they can still go 7-2 over the next 3 series though.

 

But I guess 7 or 8 out of the next 10 would be a nice enough streak in itself. :)

Posted
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

 

 

Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 5-6 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit.

No problem, Hawks.

 

And the key word is that the 5 teams to climb over only seems like a big problem. Again, the fact that the 4 NL East teams play each other so much and the fact that the Cubs have so many games left against Houston makes this thing doable.

 

The problem is being 5 back in the loss column with only 41 to play, that and the Cubs have yet to get hot over a long stretch of games which is exactly what they will have to do to have any chance of winning this thing.

 

Its official. Houston loses at home again. Way to go, Brewers. Shades of '03.

 

 

Oh, I agree, its definitely possible - although (right now!), the odds make it seem not so probable.

 

If the Cubs can go on a 7-8-9+ win streak, they can turn this race around quick. Seeing as how they got Colorado, then ATL and FLA, a big win streak may have to wait a week or so. Hopefully they can still go 7-2 over the next 3 series though.

 

But I guess 7 or 8 out of the next 10 would be a nice enough streak in itself. :)

 

Yeah, a real "hot" streak doesn't have to be 7+ wins in a row. You could win 4, lose 1, win 5, lose 2, win 4, lose 1, win 6, etc.

Posted
We'd still have teams in front of us, but if that 8-game skid was only even 5-games, we'd be tied with NYM at 2.5 back right now.

 

That 8-gamer will probly do the Cubs in, no matter how hard they try to push for the Wild Card between this weekend and the end of the year.

Whereas your statement is accurate that the season is probably done for the Cubs, I'm not too interested in what is probable anymore. It is painfully clear what is probable. The team is 5 back in the loss column with 41 games to play, it doesn't take a genius to see what is probable. I'm interested in what is still possible.

 

And the fact that there are 5 teams to climb over isn't as bad as you are making it out because 4 of those teams are in the same division and will be playing each other a lot in the last 40 games. They could cancel each other out. Having those 4 teams go .500 against each other will actually make it easier for the Cubs to pass them.

 

So the number of teams isn't really the issue. The Cubs winning enough games to pass them is.

 

Who is hot amongst those 5 teams? If Houston loses tonight, they will have dropped 5 of their last 6 all at home. The Phillies just split a 4-game series at home against the Nationals, which is exactly what we wanted them to do. Ditto for the Nats. The Mets just got shut out by Pittsburgh at home and are 4-5 over their last 9. The Marlins are the hottest team of the bunch having won 4 of their last 5, but in their last 11, they are just 6-5.

 

Any one of them could get hot and if they do it will be that much tougher for the Cubs to catch them. Thats why it is not probable for the Cubs to make the playoffs. And if the Cubs fail to get hot, then it doesn't much matter what the other teams do.

 

However, funny things happen in baseball and they happen quite often.

 

 

Hey, sorry for the "raining on the parade" commentary. I'm hoping as much as the next guy that the Cubs can do this and win the Wild Card... but I'm also keeping an eye on realism, which is that, when there's 5-6 teams between you and the leader(s), that makes the climb seem twice as much as just the games-back deficit.

No problem, Hawks.

 

And the key word is that the 5 teams to climb over only seems like a big problem. Again, the fact that the 4 NL East teams play each other so much and the fact that the Cubs have so many games left against Houston makes this thing doable.

 

The problem is being 5 back in the loss column with only 41 to play, that and the Cubs have yet to get hot over a long stretch of games which is exactly what they will have to do to have any chance of winning this thing.

 

Its official. Houston loses at home again. Way to go, Brewers. Shades of '03.

 

 

Oh, I agree, its definitely possible - although (right now!), the odds make it seem not so probable.

 

If the Cubs can go on a 7-8-9+ win streak, they can turn this race around quick. Seeing as how they got Colorado, then ATL and FLA, a big win streak may have to wait a week or so. Hopefully they can still go 7-2 over the next 3 series though.

 

But I guess 7 or 8 out of the next 10 would be a nice enough streak in itself. :)

 

More than being nice, it's pretty much necessary. I mean, we pretty much need to play .750 ball to have a decent shot.

Posted
Should we really be that excited about the Brewers winning though. They are tied with us in the standings. :x

I realize that being tied with the Brewers this late in the season can leave a taste in your mouth a lot like a flat, warm Pabst Blue Ribbon, but at this point, I'll take every Houston loss I can get, thank you very much...

 

Ooohhh man......I've had flat warm PBR :P

Posted
More than being nice, it's pretty much necessary. I mean, we pretty much need to play .750 ball to have a decent shot.

Maybe, maybe not. It all depends on how these other teams do.

 

Bottom line, the Cubs need to lose 6 fewer games than the Phillies, Astros, Nationals and Marlins, 4 fewer games than the Mets and 1 fewer than the Brewers.

 

Can that be done? It all depends on how the teams ahead of them play. One thing is certain, if the Cubs don't get hot, it won't matter.

Posted
Ooohhh man......I've had flat warm PBR :P

It aint pretty, but its better than an empty bottle...

 

Ugh! That can't/couldn't taste good coming back up! (if it did or were to)

Posted
Ooohhh man......I've had flat warm PBR :P

It aint pretty, but its better than an empty bottle...

 

Just barely but I guess we were all 16 once!

Posted
Ooohhh man......I've had flat warm PBR :P

It aint pretty, but its better than an empty bottle...

 

Just barely but I guess we were all 16 once!

 

I'm 16 right now thank you very much.

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