Kris Bryant's 2020 fWAR

[ConstableRabbit]

For reference

 

2015: 6.1 in 650 PAs

2016: 7.9 in 699 PAs

2017: 6.7 in 665 PAs

2018: 2.3 in 457 PAs

2019: 4.8 in 634 PAs

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

If he gets the ABs, he gets to 5 WAR.

[Regular Show]

No offense, but this isn't a very good or informative poll...

 

Basically, you're asking if people think he's healthy or suffers an injury. If he suffers an injury and misses some time then he probably doesn't reach that 5 fWAR threshold. If he gets enough PAs, it's a no-brainer.

 

You need more options and a wider range. How many people think he reaches 7 or 6 fWAR again?

 

Personally, I think he ends up right around 5 fWAR again assuming no major injuries. The defense is going backwards and bWAR does not rate him as highly, btw.

[squally1313]

 

Personally, I think he ends up right around 5 fWAR again assuming no major injuries..

 

Well, do you think he ends up with more than 5 fWAR or less than 5 fWAR? That was the whole question.

[Regular Show]

 

Personally, I think he ends up right around 5 fWAR again assuming no major injuries..

 

Well, do you think he ends up with more than 5 fWAR or less than 5 fWAR? That was the whole question.

 

Right around there so as not to make a significant difference. Does it really matter if it's 4.9 vs 5.1 fWAR? No one inside MLB teams and a modern FO cares about that small a difference. They always predict within a range or have projections showing a range.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

He was below the last two years, is now on the wrong side of the aging curve, and past injuries are the best predictor or future injuries.

 

Easy under

[Splendid Splinter]

 

Personally, I think he ends up right around 5 fWAR again assuming no major injuries..

 

Well, do you think he ends up with more than 5 fWAR or less than 5 fWAR? That was the whole question.

 

Right around there so as not to make a significant difference. Does it really matter if it's 4.9 vs 5.1 fWAR? No one inside MLB teams and a modern FO cares about that small a difference. They always predict within a range or have projections showing a range.

 

 

Yeah. This thread would be better having options like 3-4 fWAR, 4-5, 5-6, etc. All this is thread asking is if KB will be healthy or not to get to ~650+ PAs.

[ConstableRabbit]

 

Well, do you think he ends up with more than 5 fWAR or less than 5 fWAR? That was the whole question.

 

Right around there so as not to make a significant difference. Does it really matter if it's 4.9 vs 5.1 fWAR? No one inside MLB teams and a modern FO cares about that small a difference. They always predict within a range or have projections showing a range.

 

 

Yeah. This thread would be better having options like 3-4 fWAR, 4-5, 5-6, etc. All this is thread asking is if KB will be healthy or not to get to ~650+ PAs.

With all of that said, you think that if he's healthy, he gets above.

 

Do you think he gets above?

[Sammy Sofa]

4-5

[CyHawk_Cub]

I assume he'll miss enough time to wind up less than 6, right around 5. Hopefully not significantly less than that.

[Splendid Splinter]

 

Right around there so as not to make a significant difference. Does it really matter if it's 4.9 vs 5.1 fWAR? No one inside MLB teams and a modern FO cares about that small a difference. They always predict within a range or have projections showing a range.

 

 

Yeah. This thread would be better having options like 3-4 fWAR, 4-5, 5-6, etc. All this is thread asking is if KB will be healthy or not to get to ~650+ PAs.

With all of that said, you think that if he's healthy, he gets above.

 

Do you think he gets above?

 

No I don't personally, but I'm like Sofa here in that he'll be in the 4-5 range. I think he'll miss enough games and assuming his defense doesn't bounce back as well to get over 5 fWAR.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Can I add that I predict he generates around half of his WAR while visiting Busch?