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Posted

Assuming the Cubs sign Darvish. I think the Vegas over under win totals will go something like this

 

Cubs 93.5

Cards 87.5

Brewers 83.5

 

I would pound the under and watch them go 79-83

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Posted
If the Brewers sign one of the big 3 SP's, I think they win the division

 

why would you think that

If the Cubs don't make a move heading into the regular season, their moves are Chatwood and Morrow and lost Arrieta? The Brewers were nearly better than them last year.

 

The Cubs played the first half of 2017 with Jake Arrieta having a 4.35 ERA, Kyle Hendricks throwing 84 mph, and Jose Quintana not being on the team. Eddie Butler had the best ERA (3.88) of anybody with at least 11 starts.

 

They still won the division by 6 games.

Posted
Assuming the Cubs sign Darvish. I think the Vegas over under win totals will go something like this

 

Cubs 93.5

Cards 87.5

Brewers 83.5

 

I would pound the under and watch them go 79-83

 

I might take the under on all 3

Posted
Assuming the Cubs sign Darvish. I think the Vegas over under win totals will go something like this

 

Cubs 93.5

Cards 87.5

Brewers 83.5

 

I would pound the under and watch them go 79-83

 

I might take the under on all 3

 

If we add Darvish, I'd probably take the over on the Cubs, and the under on St. Louis.

Posted (edited)

 

why would you think that

If the Cubs don't make a move heading into the regular season, their moves are Chatwood and Morrow and lost Arrieta? The Brewers were nearly better than them last year.

 

The Cubs played the first half of 2017 with Jake Arrieta having a 4.35 ERA, Kyle Hendricks throwing 84 mph, and Jose Quintana not being on the team. Eddie Butler had the best ERA (3.88) of anybody with at least 11 starts.

 

They still won the division by 6 games.

 

I forgot to say here that they also started Brett Anderson six times (8.18 ERA), and John Lackey had a 5.67 FIP in 17 first half starts.

Edited by cubsclapp
Posted

Not to mention Schwarber's first half struggles. The Brewers and Cubs both regressed to their respective means in the second half of 2017.

 

The bulk of the evidence suggests that time frame is much more like indicative of what to expect going forward.

Posted

 

why would you think that

If the Cubs don't make a move heading into the regular season, their moves are Chatwood and Morrow and lost Arrieta? The Brewers were nearly better than them last year.

 

The Cubs played the first half of 2017 with Jake Arrieta having a 4.35 ERA, Kyle Hendricks throwing 84 mph, and Jose Quintana not being on the team. Eddie Butler had the best ERA (3.88) of anybody with at least 11 starts.

 

They still won the division by 6 games.

 

I think that's the biggest factor that all the media and baseball fans (Brewers in particular) forget about. The Cubs were not a good team the first half of the season. The second half? They only managed to put up the best record in the NL. The Brewers just got better and you could argue the Cubs haven't improved much this off season (SP signing pending). However, I've seen a lot of Brewer fans use the first half of 2017 as a predictor as to how good the Brewers will be next season and also as a predictor as to how the Cubs will fare in 2017. Unfortunately, that's not how it works. You can't have it both ways.

 

I would be surprised, even with their moves (which I like), I doubt the Brewers repeat their 1st half of 2017. That being said, I also believe that the Brewers won't repeat the 2nd half of 2017 either. All season long the Brewers were excited because they were winning with players that weren't even their prospects.

Posted
I think that's the biggest factor that all the media and baseball fans (Brewers in particular) forget about. The Cubs were not a good team the first half of the season. The second half? They only managed to put up the best record in the NL. The Brewers just got better and you could argue the Cubs haven't improved much this off season (SP signing pending). However, I've seen a lot of Brewer fans use the first half of 2017 as a predictor as to how good the Brewers will be next season and also as a predictor as to how the Cubs will fare in 2017. Unfortunately, that's not how it works. You can't have it both ways.

 

I would be surprised, even with their moves (which I like), I doubt the Brewers repeat their 1st half of 2017. That being said, I also believe that the Brewers won't repeat the 2nd half of 2017 either. All season long the Brewers were excited because they were winning with players that weren't even their prospects.

 

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