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Posted

If I could have 2000 Troy Glaus, sure. But for the majority of his career he was a .250/.350/.500 type of guy. Am I crazy for wanting more than that?

 

I want the perennial .310/.380/.550 guy.

 

In other words, Ryan Braun without the PEDs.

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Guest
Guests
Posted
If I could have 2000 Troy Glaus, sure. But for the majority of his career he was a .250/.350/.500 type of guy. Am I crazy for wanting more than that?

 

I want the perennial .310/.380/.550 guy.

 

In other words, Ryan Braun without the PEDs.

 

Bryant isn't going go hit .310 on a yearly basis.

 

I'd be pleasantly surprised if he ever even hit .300 in a season.

 

As an aside, your expectations are more in line with like 10 years ago. Baseball isn't like that anymore.

Guest
Guests
Posted
Yeah, 22 qualified hitters had an .850 OPS last year, and from a quick count at least a third of them are 1B/DH, so Bryant being an .850 OPS 3B/OF is a pretty great outcome.
Posted
It's pretty easy to imagine a guy striking out 28 percent of the time in AA being a .250 hitter. Unless you want to bet on him always having a .435 BABIP.

 

Not when you realize he's striking out on purpose every once in a while just to keep pitchers thinking they can challenge him.

Guest
Guests
Posted
It's pretty easy to imagine a guy striking out 28 percent of the time in AA being a .250 hitter. Unless you want to bet on him always having a .435 BABIP.

 

Home runs count towards batting average too. At his current BB, K, and HR rates, even a .275 BABIP makes him a .280 hitter. Those rates may not stay constant, but as someone who's hit .335 as a pro his BABIP may not plummet below league average either.

 

EDIT: For an example, if his K rate jumps to 30%, BB rate drops to 10%, and HR rate drops to 30 per 600 PA, he still needs only a .310 BABIP to hit .280.

Guest
Guests
Posted

I'd be pleased if he averages .250 at the Major League level.

 

That's not to say that I think it's an optimistic outcome. It just means I'd be satisfied and am concerned that he may not be able to.

Posted
He has the highest wOBA (.515) of any player at any level of baseball (min 100 PA). Higher than Tulo, Puig, Gallo, Peterson, etc.

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