Random Cubs Musings

[TruffleShuffle]

his high end comp is late 1920s babe ruth.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

his high end comp is late 1920s babe ruth.

 

PED Bonds but with fewer Ks

[TruffleShuffle]

Ryan Howard is probably the high-end comp offensively. All Bryant has to do is average 50 HRs/year in his prime. Easy peasy.

 

he hit 43 home runs as a 22 year old in his first crack at the advanced minor leagues (howard hit 46 in the same stage of his minor league career, but was 2 years older). adjusting for for diminished offensive environment, it's quite reasonable to expect that bryant in his prime will be among the league leaders in home runs, just as howard was during his prime.

[jersey cubs fan]

I will not stand for this anti-Bryant talk.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

Ryan Howard is probably the high-end comp offensively. All Bryant has to do is average 50 HRs/year in his prime. Easy peasy.

 

he hit 43 home runs as a 22 year old in his first crack at the advanced minor leagues (howard hit 46 in the same stage of his minor league career, but was 2 years older). adjusting for for diminished offensive environment, it's quite reasonable to expect that bryant in his prime will be among the league leaders in home runs, just as howard was during his prime.

 

You are mistaking "hope" and "expect."

 

The offensive environment is part of the reason we expect Bryant's BA to be fairly low. You're high-end, survivorship bias comp still just had a .265 career average at a time when that was the roughly the MLB average, which is down to .250 now.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I will not stand for this anti-Bryant talk.

 

Then pull up a chair, I guess?

[TruffleShuffle]

Ryan Howard is probably the high-end comp offensively. All Bryant has to do is average 50 HRs/year in his prime. Easy peasy.

 

he hit 43 home runs as a 22 year old in his first crack at the advanced minor leagues (howard hit 46 in the same stage of his minor league career, but was 2 years older). adjusting for for diminished offensive environment, it's quite reasonable to expect that bryant in his prime will be among the league leaders in home runs, just as howard was during his prime.

 

You are mistaking "hope" and "expect."

 

The offensive environment is part of the reason we expect Bryant's BA to be fairly low. You're high-end, survivorship bias comp still just had a .265 career average at a time when that was the roughly the MLB average, which is down to .250 now.

 

howard's batting average in his prime was not league average. his career average is .265, but i think we can probably hope that bryant won't blow out his achilles at age 30 and then become a terrible hitter who has no idea how to hit same-side pitching.

[Guest]

this is the first time i've seen kyle be completely right and everyone else be crazy-buckets

 

kris bryant's expectation is not ryan howard in his prime

 

he also isn't expected to hit 35 HR in 500 AB

 

wtf?

[imb]

Why won't he strike out as much as Mark Reynolds?

 

Reynolds skipped AAA, but at AA he had a 24.5% K-rate in 282 PAs, age 22 and 23 seasons.

 

Bryant was at 25.9% in AA in 297 PAs in his age 22 season.

 

Uhhhh, this presumes that while offense in the majors has majorly trended down, offense in the minors has stayed stagnant in the last 10+ years, which seems absurd.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

howard's batting average in his prime was not league average. his career average is .265, but i think we can probably hope that bryant won't blow out his achilles at age 30 and then become a terrible hitter who has no idea how to hit same-side pitching.

 

That probably just saved Howard from all those decline years bringing his average down to .230.

[imb]

lmao if Baez had come up and hit .250, everyone would be predicting Bryant as a .300 hitter next season. Kyle and David finally have nice things and they don't know how to react, so they're predicting doom.

[Guest]

lmao if Baez had come up and hit .250, everyone would be predicting Bryant as a .300 hitter next season. Kyle and David finally have nice things and they don't know how to react, so they're predicting doom.

 

i'm not predicting doom and i have never ever even considered thinking about bryant as a high average hitter in the big leagues.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

lmao if Baez had come up and hit .250, everyone would be predicting Bryant as a .300 hitter next season. Kyle and David finally have nice things and they don't know how to react, so they're predicting doom.

 

That's my default reaction to all stimuli.

[imb]

lmao if Baez had come up and hit .250, everyone would be predicting Bryant as a .300 hitter next season. Kyle and David finally have nice things and they don't know how to react, so they're predicting doom.

 

i'm not predicting doom and i have never ever even considered thinking about bryant as a high average hitter in the big leagues.

 

you dumb [expletive]

[Guest]

if he could pull off .275 i'd be [expletive] ecstatic

 

same with baez obviously

 

.250 for either and i'd be satisfied

[TruffleShuffle]

this is the first time i've seen kyle be completely right and everyone else be crazy-buckets

 

kris bryant's expectation is not ryan howard in his prime

 

he also isn't expected to hit 35 HR in 500 AB

 

wtf?

 

i like how you and kyle jump on the 35 HR in 500 AB (which is probably high by like 3 or 5 HR) but don't give a [expletive] about the .250 babip i gave him.

 

 

anyway, i am sure we will not be lucky enough to have kyle quit nsbb within the next 3 years, so we will just have to settle for laughing at him when bryant's obp is far above the league average.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

anyway, i am sure we will not be lucky enough to have kyle quit nsbb within the next 3 years, so we will just have to settle for laughing at him when bryant's obp is far above the league average.

 

Have you ever gone back and read posts from 3 years back at any point? We're all wrong 80% of the time in ridiculously hilarious ways. This is all pointless.

[imb]

not me

[Hairyducked Idiot]

not me

 

At some point in your life, you thought moving to or continuing to live in Oklahoma was your best option.

[imb]

ok north dakota single father

[Guest]

ok north dakota single father

 

ouch

[Guest]

i think the single father part was his best option

 

of course the decisions that led to that probably werent

[Hairyducked Idiot]

ok north dakota single father

 

I regret not a one of those things. In my long list of life failures, those are like the only three things I did right, ever.

Edited October 1, 2014 by Hairyducked Idiot

[imb]

sorry son, i can't find a spongebob stream on my phone for you to watch. i guess go play with some stick or something

[Hairyducked Idiot]

sorry son, i can't find a spongebob stream on my phone for you to watch. i guess go play with some stick or something

 

You ever tried to deny a 60-pound autistic kid his videos? I don't care if everything else in life falls apart, the internet is always there.