NFL Week 10

[Guest]

Flynn put the belt on.

 

The only way the Vikings could of had a bad night is if they got embarrassed and got destroyed. Everything else would of been a good moral victory even if they lost a close one. Oops.

 

Hopefully they're so demoralized that they don't even show up on Sunday. Because if the Raiders can't win this game, it pretty much guarantees at least 1-3 against the NFC North.

[erik316wttn]

9-0 on the season. 15-game winning streak. Domination.

 

Hopefully the Packers defense is back to stay.

 

First regular season game I went to was the Giants game last year. I'm going to the Bucs game on Sunday. Please don't blow that streak.

 

You're a jerk and I hate you.

 

I've never been to Lambeau for a game. :(

[UMFan83]

Flynn put the belt on.

 

The only way the Vikings could of had a bad night is if they got embarrassed and got destroyed. Everything else would of been a good moral victory even if they lost a close one. Oops.

 

Hopefully they're so demoralized that they don't even show up on Sunday. Because if the Raiders can't win this game, it pretty much guarantees at least 1-3 against the NFC North.

 

I'm guessing your projecting a split with Chicago and Detroit? Feels like a safe bet with both games in Oakland. I'm scared that you guys are gonna run all over us next week.

 

On a side note I hate that we play you guys in Oakland 2 times in a row, having also played you there in 2007. That means you will go from 2003 (2nd ever game at new Soldier Field) to 2015 without coming to Chicago. It's the opposite with the Chiefs, going that long without playing in Arrowhead.

[Guest]

Flynn put the belt on.

 

The only way the Vikings could of had a bad night is if they got embarrassed and got destroyed. Everything else would of been a good moral victory even if they lost a close one. Oops.

 

Hopefully they're so demoralized that they don't even show up on Sunday. Because if the Raiders can't win this game, it pretty much guarantees at least 1-3 against the NFC North.

 

I'm guessing your projecting a split with Chicago and Detroit? Feels like a safe bet with both games in Oakland. I'm scared that you guys are gonna run all over us next week.

 

On a side note I hate that we play you guys in Oakland 2 times in a row, having also played you there in 2007. That means you will go from 2003 (2nd ever game at new Soldier Field) to 2015 without coming to Chicago. It's the opposite with the Chiefs, going that long without playing in Arrowhead.

 

My wording was poor. I should have said at best 1-3 against the North. I think they could split with the Bears and Lions, but I'm not exactly counting on it. Hence the reason I would really like a win over the Vikings. If they lose to the Vikings, 1-3 against that division is a virtual certainty with 0-4 a very real possibility.

[Sammys Boombox]

9-0 on the season. 15-game winning streak. Domination.

 

Hopefully the Packers defense is back to stay.

 

First regular season game I went to was the Giants game last year. I'm going to the Bucs game on Sunday. Please don't blow that streak.

 

You're a jerk and I hate you.

 

I've never been to Lambeau for a game. :(

 

I can't wait to someday pay $300+ to sit in horrible seats at Lambeau. Seriously, I can't wait.

[jersey cubs fan]

thank you for scoring once Vikings, I nearly lost despite a ridiculous outing from Fitzgerald and the Bears defense, plus the highest score in the league. Very happy they didn't get the shutout bonus.

[Magnetic Curses]

donkeykong's mom, sister don't think he's a dirty player.

[UMFan83]

Interesting stuff at Footballoutsiders. Houston rises to #1 in DVOA rankings, which is impressive considering the injuries to Mario Williams, Andre Johnson, Arian Foster and now Matt Schaub. Too bad I don't expect it to last with Leinart in there.

 

Top 10 DVOA teams:

 

1. Houston Texans

2. Green Bay Packers

3. New York Jets

4. New England Patriots

5. San Francisco 49ers

6. Baltimore Ravens

7. Pittsburgh Steelers

8. New York Giants

9. Chicago Bears

10. Dallas Cowboys

 

Also, in terms of SOS, here is the top and bottom 5 in terms of SOS up to this point and SOS remaining this year.

 

Current SOS (toughest to easiest)

1. Tampa Bay

2. St. Louis

3. Jacksonville

4. New England

5. Seattle

(Bears #6)

28. Green Bay

29. Houston

30. New Orleans

31. Cleveland

32. Kansas City

 

Rest of the season SOS (toughest to easiest)

1. Kansas City

2. New York Giants

3. Miami

4. Washington

5. Indianapolis (uh oh)

(Bears #26)

28. Baltimore

29. Seattle

30. Pittsburgh

31. San Francisco

32. New England

 

Strange that KC has played the easiest schedule in the NFL up to this point and has the hardest remaining schedule from now on.

[bukie]

That's because KC's schedule is murderous the next five weeks: @New England, vs. Pittsburgh, @NY Jets, @Chicago, vs Green Bay.

[bukie]

As for FO's playoff odds this week:

 

AFC:

Team   Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
HOU        11.1  29.80%  27.60%  32.20%   4.30%   0.50%   1.30%  93.90%  57.40%   1.80%  95.70%
NE           11  21.50%  29.00%  29.30%   1.40%   3.50%   7.10%  81.10%  50.50%  10.60%  91.70%
PIT        11.1  20.60%  14.70%   6.80%   0.20%  31.40%  16.40%  42.30%  35.30%  47.80%  90.10%
BAL        10.7  21.20%  15.70%   7.80%   0.50%  26.40%  11.80%  45.10%  36.80%  38.20%  83.30%
CIN         9.7   4.90%   4.60%   2.90%   0.10%  15.40%  25.00%  12.50%   9.50%  40.40%  52.90%
OAK         8.1   0.10%   0.80%   4.80%  45.70%   0.10%   0.40%  51.30%   0.90%   0.50%  51.80%
NYJ         9.7   1.00%   4.10%   6.90%   0.60%  15.80%  21.70%  12.60%   5.10%  37.50%  50.10%
DEN         6.9   0.00%   0.20%   1.20%  20.40%   0.10%   0.40%  21.80%   0.20%   0.50%  22.30%
SD          6.8   0.00%   0.10%   0.70%  19.10%   0.00%   0.20%  19.90%   0.10%   0.30%  20.10%
TEN         8.7   0.40%   1.40%   3.70%   0.30%   4.20%   8.60%   5.80%   1.70%  12.90%  18.70%
BUF         8.4   0.60%   1.90%   3.40%   0.30%   2.60%   6.80%   6.20%   2.50%   9.30%  15.50%
KC            6   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   6.90%   0.00%   0.00%   7.00%   0.00%   0.10%   7.10%
JAC         6.1   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.10%   0.00%   0.20%   0.30%   0.00%   0.20%   0.50%
CLE         5.4   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.20%
MIA         4.8   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%
IND         1.7   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

 

NFC:

Team   Mean Win     #1      #2      #3      #4      #5      #6      DIV     BYE     WC      TOT
SF         12.7  34.70%  55.90%   7.50%   1.90%   0.00%   0.00%  99.90%  90.60%   0.00% 100.00%
GB         13.6  62.90%  28.40%   2.30%   0.20%   5.70%   0.40%  93.70%  91.30%   6.10%  99.90%
NO         10.5   0.40%   5.60%  41.50%  33.70%   1.80%   4.80%  81.20%   6.00%   6.50%  87.80%
CHI        10.5   0.60%   1.50%   0.50%   0.00%  52.30%  26.50%   2.60%   2.10%  78.80%  81.40%
NYG          10   0.60%   3.40%  23.80%  32.90%   2.50%   5.70%  60.70%   4.00%   8.20%  68.90%
DET         9.8   0.60%   2.30%   0.70%   0.10%  26.90%  31.70%   3.70%   2.90%  58.60%  62.30%
DAL         9.1   0.10%   2.40%  14.60%  19.90%   2.10%   8.20%  37.10%   2.60%  10.30%  47.40%
ATL         9.3   0.00%   0.60%   8.90%   8.60%   8.20%  20.20%  18.20%   0.60%  28.40%  46.50%
PHI         6.5   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   1.90%   0.00%   0.30%   2.00%   0.00%   0.40%   2.40%
SEA         6.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   1.20%   0.00%   0.00%   1.40%   1.40%
TB          6.5   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.50%   0.10%   0.60%   0.60%   0.00%   0.70%   1.30%
WAS         5.4   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.20%   0.00%   0.10%   0.30%   0.00%   0.10%   0.40%
ARI         5.6   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.00%   0.00%   0.30%   0.30%
MIN           5   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.10%   0.10%
CAR         4.5   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%
STL         4.3   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%   0.00%

 

So, likeliest scenarios based on existing data (i.e. it doesn't know that the Houston QB will be Matt Leinart going forward):

AFC:

1. Houston 11-5

2. New England 11-5

3. Baltimore 11-5

4. Oakland 8-8

5. Pittsburgh 11-5

6. Cincinnati 10-6

--------

7. NY Jets 10-6

8. Tennessee 9-7

9. Buffalo 8-8

10. Denver 7-9

11. San Diego 7-9

12. Jacksonville 6-10

13. Kansas City 6-10

14. Cleveland 5-11

15. Miami 5-11

16. Indianapolis 2-14

 

NFC:

1. Green Bay 14-2

2. San Francisco 13-3

3. New Orleans 11-5

4. NY Giants 10-6

5. Chicago 11-5

6. Detroit 10-6

--------------------

7. Atlanta 9-7

8. Dallas 9-7

9. Philadelphia 7-9

10. Tampa Bay 7-9

11. Seattle 6-10

12. Arizona 6-10

13. Washington 5-11

14. Minnesota 5-11

15. Carolina 5-11

16. St. Louis 4-12

[Guest]

That's because KC's schedule is murderous the next five weeks: @New England, vs. Pittsburgh, @NY Jets, @Chicago, vs Green Bay.

 

That's also why I completely discounted KC's chances of winning the AFC West.

[Guest]

4. Oakland 8-8

 

Yes please.

 

Also, the Raiders are the top ranked AFC West team at 18th. The next worst best team in a division is the Falcons at 11th.

[Mike Aller]

The Browns are so depressing. :(

[Magnetic Curses]

ok, no more browns talk.

[bcl412]

Didn't the Browns move to Baltimore like 15 years ago?

[UMFan83]

Yeah they won the Super Bowl with all of the Browns players.

[bukie]

4. Oakland 8-8

 

Yes please.

 

Also, the Raiders are the top ranked AFC West team at 18th. The next worst best team in a division is the Falcons at 11th.

On the plus side, that's an improvement over last week when they were 21st and the highest ranked AFC West team was 20th (SD).

 

On an amusing note, they also passed the Vikings, but last week all four NFC North teams were rated higher than all four AFC West teams.