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Posted
Less Than 10% Chance To Make Playoffs

By Tim Dierkes [May 28 at 12:27pm CST]

Which teams are most likely to become sellers in the next few months leading up to the July 31st trade deadline? To help determine that, let's take a look at Baseball Prospectus' Playoff Odds report. The report gives the following eleven teams less than a 10% chance of making the playoffs:

 

Pirates - 9.46%

Giants - 8.78%

Mariners - 6.14%

Rockies: 4.84%

Athletics: 4.36%

White Sox: 4.33%

Marlins: 3.20%

Orioles: 2.77%

Diamondbacks: 2.58%

Astros: 2.25%

Nationals: 0.52%

The report likes the 20-28 Indians more than the 21-25 White Sox, because Cleveland has a better run differential. The report gives the Tribe a 14.4% playoff chance. The Padres have pushed themselves up to 11.94%.

 

As far as pure offensive production this year, your trade candidate leaders from these eleven are Adam Dunn, Russell Branyan, Brad Hawpe, and Nick Johnson. This year's top pitchers from these non-contenders include Mark Buehrle, Matt Cain, Wandy Rodriguez, Erik Bedard, Jarrod Washburn, and Doug Davis. I'm not sure whether Buehrle, Cain, and Rodriguez will actually hit the market.

 

Interesting that they they have the Pirates better than the Astros.

 

Maybe Hendry can try pilaging one or two of these teams.

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Old-Timey Member
Posted
Out of that group of hitters, I'd like Branyan.

 

Branyan is a glorified Rob Deer.

 

woah look out scouting report coming

Posted
Out of that group of hitters, I'd like Branyan.

 

Branyan is a glorified Rob Deer.

 

woah look out scouting report coming

 

Oh, how I missed your clever remarks during the month you were banned.

Posted
if those teams are becoming sellers i'd take hanley ramirez.

 

For Atkins and Hart, eh?

 

:pig:

 

throw in Vitters, Jackson, Cashner, Thomas and about 3-5 others, and we could be in business

Doubt it.

Posted
if those teams are becoming sellers i'd take hanley ramirez.

 

For Atkins and Hart, eh?

 

:pig:

 

throw in Vitters, Jackson, Cashner, Thomas and about 3-5 others, and we could be in business

Doubt it.

 

Those 3 others could be Marmol, Soto and Marshall and they may start thinking about it.

  • 2 weeks later...

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