How'd I do?

[Transmogrified Tiger]

My first draft this year, 12 team league, standard scoring. I had the 3rd/22nd pick

 

C Michael Barrett

1B Todd Helton

2B Howie Kendrick

SS Miguel Tejada

3B Chipper Jones

OF Grady Sizemore

OF Magglio Ordonez

OF Brad Hawpe

UTIL Ryan Freel

 

BN Michael Cuddyer

BN Mark Teahen

BN Troy Tulowitzki

BN Jason Kendall (as long as the waiver goes through)

 

SP Johan Santana

SP Brandon Webb

RP Huston Street

RP Joel Zumaya

P Rich Hill

P Dave Bush

P Pat Neshek

 

BN Jesse Crain

[tkenm356]

You got a handful of the same players I got, so naturally I'm going to say your team is part of the greatest team ever assembled :D

 

Honestly though, I noticed a lot of people are taking Zumaya. Is he projected to take over the closer roll if Jones messes up, or are people just mooching off his K's?

[b_wiggy_66]

Not bad your lineup is pretty old and oft-injured. Pitching is solid though.

[Balsa]

Pitching is very solid.

 

Helton and Maggs are trending down rapidly, and Jones is very often injured.

 

I'm guessing Freel is just there so you're not LAST in SBs, because otherwise Teahen would be a better option.

 

Kendrick is a great and unappreciated 2B, and Miggy and Barrett are dependable.

 

I'd say you might have some trouble with SB, but your power numbers should be OK.

 

And again, your pitching is obscene.

Edited March 6, 2007 by Balsa

[Mephistopheles]

52.4%

 

For your sake, I assumed Michael Cuddyer was in the utility spot, not Ryan Freel. Offensively your biggest strength is your batting average, and you might want to try to trade say Miguel Tejada for a midrange SS and a powerful OF. You can take the hit in BA because it's going to help you in R, HR, RBI and SB.

 

Pitching as other people have said, it looks solid but you're about 1 SP short of hitting the limit in roto leagues. If this is an h2h league, you need more pitching. You could also look for some cheap saves. Basically the 52.4% score I gave you means you're better than 52.4% of the teams out there.

 

anyways here's a loaded team:

 

C - Brian McCann

1B - Albert Pujols

2B - Ian Kinsler

3B - Alex Gordon

SS - Troy Glaus

OF - Grady Sizemore

OF - Jason Bay

OF - Coco Crisp

UT - Jim THome

 

SP - Ben Sheets

SP - Felix Hernandez

SP - Scott Kazmir

SP - Rich Harden

SP - Rich Hill

SP - David Bush

SP - Adam Wainwright

SP - Kelvim Escobar

 

RP - Brad Lidge

RP - Salomon Torres

RP - Joe Borowski

RP - Jon Broxton

 

Using the same method that got me your 52.4% score, this team got a 99.8%.

[MPrior]

anyways here's a loaded team:

 

C - Brian McCann

1B - Albert Pujols

2B - Ian Kinsler

3B - Alex Gordon

SS - Troy Glaus

OF - Grady Sizemore

OF - Jason Bay

OF - Coco Crisp

UT - Jim THome

 

SP - Ben Sheets

SP - Felix Hernandez

SP - Scott Kazmir

SP - Rich Harden

SP - Rich Hill

SP - David Bush

SP - Adam Wainwright

SP - Kelvim Escobar

 

RP - Brad Lidge

RP - Salomon Torres

RP - Joe Borowski

RP - Jon Broxton

 

Using the same method that got me your 52.4% score, this team got a 99.8%.

 

Interesting. So you have pitchers take up all your bench spots? Is that because you can rotate them out to maximize couting stats day-to-day? Do you plan on just picking someone up if one of your position players underachieves or gets injured?

 

ETA: These are earnest questions, not criticisms. I'm brand new to fantasy baseball, and am trying to learn something.

 

Also, I'd be interested in knowing what this method is that you're using.

[Balsa]

I like to have 2 bench spots for my lineup, then have 3 for pitchers.

 

Except that I usually have only 3-4 quality starters, and the rest of my pitchers are closers (~2) and elite setup men, who bring my WHIP and ERA way, way down, sometimes get me wins, and make the rest of my pitching staff look better.

[Jazz]

52.4%

 

For your sake, I assumed Michael Cuddyer was in the utility spot, not Ryan Freel. Offensively your biggest strength is your batting average, and you might want to try to trade say Miguel Tejada for a midrange SS and a powerful OF. You can take the hit in BA because it's going to help you in R, HR, RBI and SB.

 

Pitching as other people have said, it looks solid but you're about 1 SP short of hitting the limit in roto leagues. If this is an h2h league, you need more pitching. You could also look for some cheap saves. Basically the 52.4% score I gave you means you're better than 52.4% of the teams out there.

 

anyways here's a loaded team:

 

C - Brian McCann

1B - Albert Pujols

2B - Ian Kinsler

3B - Alex Gordon

SS - Troy Glaus

OF - Grady Sizemore

OF - Jason Bay

OF - Coco Crisp

UT - Jim THome

 

SP - Ben Sheets

SP - Felix Hernandez

SP - Scott Kazmir

SP - Rich Harden

SP - Rich Hill

SP - David Bush

SP - Adam Wainwright

SP - Kelvim Escobar

 

RP - Brad Lidge

RP - Salomon Torres

RP - Joe Borowski

RP - Jon Broxton

 

Using the same method that got me your 52.4% score, this team

got a 99.8%.

 

i'm not sure what exactly you mean by score meph

[Mephistopheles]

0 percent to 100 percent. It's built on a standard distribution. so basically it means that if you have a 50% score youre better than half the teams out there. If its 75% it means youre better than 3 out of 4 teams, etc. It's all rough estimates based on PECOTA, ZiPS and Bill James with predicted playing time shares.

 

Interesting. So you have pitchers take up all your bench spots? Is that because you can rotate them out to maximize couting stats day-to-day? Do you plan on just picking someone up if one of your position players underachieves or gets injured?

 

ETA: These are earnest questions, not criticisms. I'm brand new to fantasy baseball, and am trying to learn something.

 

Also, I'd be interested in knowing what this method is that you're using.

 

Yes, it's a h2h league so I have one "swing" roster position (currently Broxton) which means if for whatever reason i need a hitter I can drop him for it. My hitting is strong enough i dont need them all playing 7 days a week, six is enough. Since it is h2h theres no ip limit, so having a lot of sp to rack up Ws and Ks is useful. ive also managed to do it with guys who are good in ERA and WHIP so my staff is dominant.

 

as i said above the system is based off three of my leagues. I calculated all of the stats for their teams using an average of PECOTA, James, and ZiPS with an adjustment for an arbitrary expected playing time that I chose (ie not Lee with 440 PA). I then ranked them as if it was roto, so 12 points to the winner of a stat, 11 for second and so on. I ran a regression on all the leagues (36 teams) to get a stat to points estimate.

 

In the system, 218 HRs gets you 6.5 points based on the regression from those 36 teams. So that puts you around 7th in an average league. I did this for all twelve stats. I then summed up your expected points in a nuetral league to get your teams expected score. I then took all of these teams and got their expected scores. I then found the standard deviation of these scores and the average so I can then find the distribution. Since there is a set number of Rs, W, etc in a league we can expect the distribution to be normal. That means we can then find out the percentile each team is in (roughly of course).

 

It's very hard to move up once your good. For example one team has an expected point score of 92.6, which puts there percentile ranking at 98.3%, Another team has an expected point score of 103.8, a difference of a whopping 11.5 points (basically going from worst to first in a category), but there percentile rank went up just 1.5% to 99.8%. If you make that same 11 point jump from 69 to 80 points, your percentile ranking increases 24%!. So in otherwords I am saying the system isn't linear, and it shouldnt be. There should be a lot more teams that the system spits out as a 50/100 (average) than it does a 70/100, above average.

 

Also you can use this to estimate where you rank in the league. There are 12 teams in each league, so that means youre probably the best if your score is above 92%.

 

Yeah, I probably analyze this stuff way too much.

[dan.gold]

are these scores something you make yourself or is there a link?

[Mephistopheles]

i did it myself.