Jump to content
North Side Baseball

  • Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

    The latest Chicago Cubs free agent and trade rumors, along with notes and tidbits about the team.
    Show all categories
    Brock Beauchamp
    In the latest roundup over at The Athletic, a significant chunk of the trade deadline news was Cubs-centered. Here are some notes on the current state of the team and their thinking:
    They've resigned themselves to the expectation they will not buy at the trade deadline. Given the complicated contractual situation of players like Cody Bellinger, they're also unsure how many players will be appealing trade candidates to contenders. While they haven't completely ruled out trading top-tier players like Justin Steele and Nico Hoerner - who would bring an absolute haul in trade - they're not willing to punt on the 2025 season, either. Perhaps most interesting is that they do not appear to care whether they drop back under the first luxury tax threshold. If they make trades to bolster the farm, they're not particularly interested in bringing back lower-level prospects just to save some money.
    Brock Beauchamp
    Bruce Levine of 670 The Score reported that the Cubs are considering trading starting pitcher Jameson Taillon before next week's trade deadline.
    Taillon, 32 years old, signed a four-year deal with the Cubs prior to the 2023 season. He is making $18 million this season and is also signed through the 2026 season at $18 million per year. The righty pitcher stumbled badly in the first year of his contract (4.84 ERA) but has rebounded nicely in 2024, posting a 3.10 ERA in 93 innings pitched.
    Taillon certainly has value to contending teams but given his age and a contract that goes through his age 34 season, it's hard to predict what kind of value teams will put on the additional years that will pay him $36 million in the final two years of the deal.
    Additionally, Bob Nightengale of USA Today added some weight to this report, mentioning the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees have inquired on Taillon.
    Brock Beauchamp
    As the Cubs still sit on the fence of buying or selling at the trade deadline, it appears they're exploring what players they might pursue if they decide to buy. Per Bob Nightengale of USA Today, one of those targets is Toronto Blue Jays catcher Danny Jansen.
    Should the Cubs decide to buy, this makes all the sense in the world. Jansen is a free agent at year's end, makes only $5 million this year, and is currently sporting a triple slash line of .223/.319/.397, good for a 103 OPS+. That's well above league average for the catching position.
    On the other hand, the Cubs have the worst catching corps in baseball and it's not close. They rank 30th in baseball with a -1.4 fWAR on the season, with their backstops hitting for an abysmal 39 wRC+. The two teams above them are the Chicago White Sox and Miami Marlins, truly company you do not want to keep in the year of 2024.
    Brock Beauchamp
    Matt Gelb of The Athletic reported on the Philadelphia Phillies releasing outfielder Whit Merrifield after a terrible start to the season. This leaves the Phillies with a new hole (if you can call it that on the stacked Phillies roster) to patch by the trade deadline: right-handed outfielder.
    While it was previously reported the Phillies were looking exclusively for center field help, Gelb reported they are now open to corner outfielders and are not averse to taking on longer contracts, even if it means they increase their already franchise-record payroll.
    While Ian Happ is a switch hitter, it's unlikely he fits the Phillies needs, as he's much better against right-handed pitching than he is left-handed. The Cubs also have Seiya Suzuki rostered for the next few years; he is paid $21 million this season and is under contract for $19 million in 2025 and 2026. Suzuki's defense has been... questionable... but that hasn't prevented Philadelphia from acquiring players in the past.
    Bertz
    The Philadelphia Phillies are an absolute powerhouse this season, currently sporting the best record in the game. One of their few holes in the lineup are at center field; Johan Rojas currently leads the team in plate appearances at the position and his dismal 60 OPS+ is a clear spot to upgrade down the stretch.
    The Phillies will have some choice in acquisitions, though. Along with Cody Bellinger potentially being available (pending medical results of his hit by pitch last night), the White Sox are looking to trade Luis Robert Jr.and the Marlins recently announced Jazz Chisholm Jr.is also on the block.
    While that's stiff competition, a healthy Bellinger should require far fewer trade assets to acquire.
    It's Ralph so take with all appropriate grains of salt.
    Edit: Additionally, it appears the Houston Astros, a team that has completely turned it around after a bad start to the season, are also interested in the services of Bellinger.
    Brock Beauchamp
    In his recent trade rumors roundup, Bob Nightengale briefly mentions the Cubs. According to Nightengale, the Cubs are telling potential suitors that they are undecided on whether they will sell at the deadline, which means the Cubs won't move on the market early.
    With several players under long-term deals, it might be difficult to be aggressive sellers at the deadline but should the Cubs decide to sell, Cody Bellinger and Jameson Taillon should be appealing to many contending teams.
    Brock Beauchamp
    Let's be upfront: this is the time of year when rumors are very squishy, sometimes intentionally. With a month remaining until the deadline, teams are neither confident in their needs nor are they willing to openly discuss which players they're pursuing. Jon Morosi, recently appearing on MLB Network, spoke about the Cubs and their likelihood of selling. He specifically mentioned middle infielder Nico Hoerner. From the clip - which isn't yet posted online - it's unclear whether Morosi is reporting that he specifically knows the Cubs are already in discussion with Seattle for Hoerner's services or that he suspects it is the case.
    Hoerner is a very good option for Seattle. He's signed through the 2026 season at a reasonable cost ($12 million that season) and fills a need for the Mariners, who are 26th in baseball in OPS. Hoerner's 94 OPS+ doesn't jump off the page but Seattle could certainly find a utility role for him, shuffling him between Jorge Polanco at second base and JP Crawford at short.
    Brock Beauchamp
    In a cooperative report published by The Athletic recently, the Yankees and Rangers have a "noticeable presence" around the Cubs, scouting the team in case the northsiders continue to slip down the standings.
    While Texas and New York could be (and likely are) scouting multiple Cubs players, the focus appears to be on Cody Bellinger. After a bounceback season in 2023, the CF/1B is having a decent, if unspectacular, 2024 with a 113 OPS+ and 1.1 rWAR.
    The complicated aspect of any Bellinger trade is his contract: he has a player option for 2025 and 2026 for $27.5 million and $25 million, respectively. It's hard to gauge how teams will value his worth in trade because they have no ability to control the situation: if Bellinger thrives, he likely opts out. If he struggles, the team remains on the hook for at least one more season at a relatively high cost.
    Matthew Lenz
    While rumors of Kelley Jansen being in the market have been swirling since the offseason, it may have been assumed he was off the market considering the Red Sox unexpected success in 2024. Instead, Jim Bowden of The Athletic wrote that rival executives believe "...there could be 'buyer-to-buyer' type trade this year..."
    While the price tag is hefty in both salary and player capital, the former elite reliever has done exceptional this year sporting a 2.30/2.13 ERA/FIP with a 19.1-percent K-BB and locking down 15/16 save opportunities. He would be an expensive but great addition for any team who needs bullpen help. While relievers are volatile creatures, it's an added bonus that an acquiring team would only be tied to him for this season.
     
    Brock Beauchamp
    Bob Nightengale (yes, I know) reported today that the Cubs have internally discussed pursuing the Blue Jays' star first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    The Blue Jays could find themselves in a difficult position come July. While they're currently only two games out of the third Wild Card spot, they're also in last place in the American League East. The Jays' recent window of contention could be closing with several of their star position players entering free agency in the next year and a half while their MLB.com 24th-ranked farm system won't be providing much in the way of cost-controlled young talent in the immediate future.
    Guerrero Jr is back to raking (137 OPS+) after a mildly disappointing 2023 season. The 25-year-old slugger will become a free agent after the 2025 season.
    Brock Beauchamp
    According to ESPN's Jeff Passan, the White Sox are very open for business (despite it being early June) and are open to dealing oft-injured star outfielder Luis Robert Jr.
    Robert, who is signed through 2025 with two team options in 2026 and 2027, is scuffling a little this year (92 OPS+) but was stellar last season, posting a 5.0 rWAR season for the White Sox.
    The Cubs' offense in May was terrible, posting the 25th wRC+ in baseball. If Robert is healthy, he's likely going to hit better as the season progresses. What would it take to pry Robert away from the Southside?
    Brock Beauchamp
    Robert Murray of FanSided, appearing on the Baseball Insiders show, expressed skepticism that Oakland Athletics closer Mason Miller will be traded before the deadline.
    Miller, who isn't even arbitration eligible until the 2026 season, cannot become a free agent until after the 2029 season. Murray also expressed the opinion that if Miller is made available, it will be difficult to offer more than the Baltimore Orioles, who have a stacked farm system and nowhere to put many of their farmhands in the coming years.
    Miller is still only 25 years old and has an incredible 17 strikeouts per nine innings as of this writing.
     
    Brandon Glick
    A cloud of uncertainty hangs above the Houston Astros’ heads. The team is off to a wildly disappointing start this season, as they currently sit in third place in the AL West behind the Texas Rangers and Seattle Mariners. Many pundits are predicting a firesale for the team if they don’t right the ship soon, and we discussed Jon Heyman connecting the Cubs to Justin Verlander yesterday.
    Now, speculation has arisen surrounding star third baseman Alex Bregman. Bregman, 30, is in the midst of the final year of his contract ($28.5 million salary, $16.6 million AAV against the luxury tax) and having one of the worst years of his pro career. He’s slashing just .223/.284/.349 through 183 plate appearances, which is good for a disappointing 84 OPS+. However, he was far better in 2022 and 2023 (OPS above .800 in both seasons), and he isn’t too far removed from two consecutive top-five finishes in AL MVP voting in 2018 and 2019 (when he had an OPS+ above 155).
    It is worth noting that Bregman has a history of starting slow, though, and has done by far his best work in August (.996 OPS) throughout his career.
    Christopher Morel has done a nice job at the hot corner since starting slow defensively, which could make the Cubs hesitant to pay the asking price on Bregman, who hasn’t played a position other than third base since 2019 (65 games at shortstop). Like Verlander, his rental status would drive down the prospect cost to acquire Bregman, though his large salary could make the Cubs’ front office hesitant to pull the trigger.
    What do you think? Should the Cubs reinforce a lineup that can’t seem to stay healthy in 2024? Should they make that bet on a hitter that’s been ice cold to start the season?
     
    Brandon Glick
    MLB Insider Jon Heyman said that the Houston Astros, currently sporting a 20-25 record and third in the AL Central, could begin selling off some of their shorter-term pieces in the coming months if they don’t turn things around quickly. The most notable player he mentioned is starting pitcher Justin Verlander, whom he connected directly to the Cubs. 
    Verlander, 41, has a 3.38 ERA in 29 and ⅓ innings this season. He’s currently in the final year of a two-year, $86 million pact he originally signed with the New York Mets, which could mean the Astros have to eat some money in order to move him (especially to a team that is trying to avoid the luxury tax, like the Cubs). The veteran starter is just two years removed from winning his third AL Cy Young Award in 2022, when he led the junior circuit in wins (18), ERA (1.75), ERA+ (218), WHIP (0.829), and hits allowed per nine innings (6.0).
    Notably, Verlander’s strikeout rate has plummeted over the last couple of seasons, dropping from 9.5 K/9 in 2022 to just 7.1 K/9 in 2024. Still, he remains a wildly effective starting pitcher who is capable of gobbling up innings. Most Cubs fans will remember the team’s failed pursuit of Verlander in 2017, when the ace pitcher badly wanted to go to Chicago once the Detroit Tigers placed him on (the since defunct) tradeable waivers in August. Instead, the Cubs opted against trading what little talent remained in their farm system, and Verlander was sent to the Astros, whom he won two World Series titles with.
    The Cubs have been pounded with injuries this season at every position, though their rotation depth has been pushed to the extreme already. All of Justin Steele, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Wicks, Kyle Hendricks, and Drew Smyly have been on the Injured List at some point or another this season, and the Cubs have had to rely heavily on the arms of Shota Imanaga and Javier Assad. Nevertheless, the Cubs rank 12th in the MLB in ERA despite an abysmal performance from the bullpen, and that’s thanks to the terrific work of players like Imanaga, Assad, Ben Brown, and Hayden Wesneski.
    Trading for a 41-year-old pitcher is way outside of Jed Hoyer’s wheelhouse, though Verlander is only a (expensive) rental. Would he be willing to pay the prospect cost for someone who might stretch the budget and not fill the team’s biggest area of need (the relief corps)? With Cade Horton possibly on the way soon, it’s hard to imagine the Cubs really being in deep on Verlander.
    Brock Beauchamp
    The Oakland Athletics currently hold a semi-respectable 19-25 record in the American League West but given their current payroll and stadium situation, are likely to be early wheelers and dealers on the trade market.
    Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic recently wrote that A's closer, Mason Miller, is drawing significant trade interest from other teams. The trade deadline seems to be heating up quite early this year as teams like the White Sox and Marlins throw up white flags after abysmal starts to the season.
    Miller, 25 years old, has broken out in 2024 with a 0.98 ERA in 14 games. He made his debut with Oakland last season so is still pre-arbitration and cannot become a free agent until the 2029 season.
    The asking price for Miller will be very high but he's also a luxury a rebuilding A's team doesn't need in the here and now, making him somewhat expendable. The Cubs have both a pressing need for a closer and the farm system to easily negotiate this deal, it's a matter of whether Hoyer is ready to take a risk on a formerly-injured pitcher with a short track record.
    Cubs Whispers
    Source: Cubs in trade talks with teams involving Keegan Thompson
    Rumor posted by "@HotStoveCubbies" is that the Cubs are shopping Keegan Thompson due to an abundance of arms on the 40 man roster and in the minors who are close enough to the majors that they like better. Source cites Thompson's high number of walks allowed as to why the Cubs are willing to part with him.
    The Rays are mentioned prominently as a likely team the Cubs are talking to due to Rays interest expressed earlier for Thompson when the two teams discussed a trade for Tyler Glasnow before he was ultimately traded by the Rays to the Dodgers. Further discussion mentions the Rays abundance of infield bats as a potential match between the two teams.
×
×
  • Create New...