This off season, Hendry is going to be faced with a decision about what to do for Center Field next year. He could (1.) Re-sign Juan Pierre for a multi-year deal. (2.) Call up Felix Pie from AAA to play CF. Or, (3.) Give a third player a one year deal as a stopgap for Pie. Let's ignore the third option for now, and focus on the first two. 2006 Pierre .285 BA, .329 OBP, .385 SLG, .714 OPS Pie .282 BA, .340 OBP, .445 SLG, .785 OPS Pierre 537 AB, 153 Hits, 28 BB, 27 Dbls, 12 Triples, 1 HR, 28 RBI, 44 SB Pie 515 AB, 145 Hits, 45 BB, 31 Dbls, 7 Triples, 13 HR, 55 RBI, 15 SB POWER Pie has a lot more power than Juan Pierre. In less at bats, Pie has the same amount of doubles and triples as Pierre, but be has 12 more home runs. This reflects in their RBI totals. Though both have primarily hit leadoff, Pie has nearly doubled Pierre's RBI total. Advantage: PIE ABILITY TO GET ON BASE Pie and Pierre have nearly identical batting averages this year. Pie strikes out much more frequently than Pierre. Pie has 119k's to Pierre's 33k's this year. If Pie would make more contact, he might be able to beat out a few more ground balls, boosting his batting average. So, on batting average alone, I'd give the edge in 2007 to Pierre. However, Pie draws more walks than Pierre. This year, Pie has drawn 62% more walks than Pierre, not an insignificant amount. This has boosted Pie's OBP above Pierre's this year. For 2007, though...Advantage: LEAN'S PIERRE BASERUNNING: Both are very fast. Both have the ability to steal a lot of bases, and do so successfully. Pierre, however, has a lot more experience in baserunning than Pie does. Pie is making improvements in this area recently, and Pierre still gets caught stealing too frequently, but Pierre clearly has the advantage here. ADVANTAGE: PIERRE DEFENSE: Both are fast. Both cover a lot of ground. Pierre has more experience than Pie and probably get a little better jumps on the ball at this point. Pierre also probably takes better routes more frequently. However, Pie's throwing arm is vastly superior to Pierre's. Pie has numerous outfield assists at Iowa this year. His arm is strong and accurate. Pie has little or no arm strength. ADVANTAGE: PIE COST TO CUBS: Pierre will command a hefty salary. It's uncertain exactly how much though. Estimates widely vary from 5-6 million a year all the way to Furcal-esque figures of around 13 million a year. Pie would make league minimum (roughly around 300k). ADVANTAGE: PIE Conclusion: Felix and Juan have had strikingly similar years. In 2007, Pie would provide a lot more pop in the lineup than Pierre would; Pierre would steal more bases. They'd get on base at a similar rate, though I'd expect Pierre to have a slightly higher OBP. Pie would greatly improve the Cubs arms in the outfield. The tipping point when deciding between them is cost. Pierre does not simply bring enough of an advantage over Pie to justify spending 7-8 million more in salary. That salary would be better served being used to sign an impact bat like Soriano, Sheffield, or Lee, or a starting pitcher like Schmidt or Zito. The Cubs would be a better team in 2007 with Pie starting in CF, rather than Juan Pierre.