Miami blew them out badly the first two times, the 3rd one the Pacers had it won and then let it slip away in OT (James hit a 3 to force OT and then Wade hit a game winner with 0.1 left in OT). The 4th time was a blowout the Pacers way. The Pacers do have some matchups that can bother the Heat (they're one of the only teams in the NBA with enough good defenders at the wing positions to guard James/Wade, and their size inside could bother Miami) but they have to make shots. They've been doing that in the second half of the season (averaged 101.8 points over their last 19 games) while they were really struggling offensively to begin the year when they played the Heat the first 2 times. As for the being physical point, Indiana's probably more physical than they were last year. It's a calling card of theirs. They talk about being smashmouth all the time, and they're among the league leaders in both free throws attempted and among the worst in giving up free throws. I'm not sure how much that will be a factor in tiring out Miami though. LeBron is so strong it almost doesn't matter, and it's not Bosh's game to be physical like that. So they would probably only tire out Wade. I think the Pacers can push Miami a bit. I wouldn't expect to win that series but I don't think it would be some big pushover. The Pacers had been kind of inconsistent up until the stretch run, now they seem to be playing their best basketball of the season. And really, when they added Barbosa is when they really seemed to start this last season surge. I think Barbosa provides a really nice spark off the bench.