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Bull

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Everything posted by Bull

  1. Bull
    I'm typically a high floor guy, but right now the Cubs have tons of high floor. A lot of that floor is in the form of elite defense, which I don't anticipate waning (maybe Dansby and Happ a touch). With a good floor established, give me the risk. Give me Imai.
  2. Bull
    What you are largely missing here is that demand actually decreases when a transaction occurs in an ecosystem with a limited number of buyers, and no potential of upstarts increasing demand. Thus antitrust issues in baseball and a CBA.
  3. Bull
    As a PhD, a college professor and a member of Mensa, let me encourage you to dial it back. Writing like that does not make you sound smart. It makes you sound like you’re trying to sound smart. A pseudo-intellectual if you will. Thus the folks calling you ChatGPT. It is not a compliment. You are on a board of some of the most intelligent baseball fans in the world. I learn something here every day. Participate, don’t dominate. Just a little advice. Take or leave it. welcome.
  4. Bull
    What in the world has happened here tonight?
  5. Bull
    Three Boras clients, eh? Maybe it isn't the Cubs making a smokescreen. It would be awesome if Jed and Boras were mutually using each other for leverage.
  6. Bull
    Because they also have Ballesteros. If Caissie is sent down you have Moises as DH, Seiya back to RF. And failing that, give Alcantara a shot. 3 top 100ish position players for one spot is a legitimate logjam. This may all be smoke and mirrors to convince Miami that the Cubs are about to pull the trigger with Seattle. This is chess season.
  7. Bull
    Isn’t he the one who can’t hit a fastball of more than 90MPH?
  8. Bull
    Disagree. DH is probably the worst place to add value to this team. Assuming we can only have one, my priority is 1. TOR starting pitcher 2. Middle of the order 3B 3. Middle of the order OF 4. Elite closer PLUS lefty mashing 1B platoon 5. MOR starting pitcher PLUS left mashing 1B platoon PLUS elite setup guy or solid closer. 6. middle of the order DH. and I love Kyle Schwarber, he's just not a fit for this team.
  9. Bull
    More importantly, does Seiya's OBP jump 30 points?!
  10. Bull
    Right, but you said Rea or Assad would be in the rotation because you assume one of our starters will always be on the IL, so let's sign two. I pointed out that if you only sign 1, you would need 2 to be on the IL (including Steele) for Rea or Assad to get a start. My point is, they don't need to sign two more starters. They need 1 more and the best one available. quality, not quantity.
  11. Bull
    Right, but owed $72 over 3, or traded for a not-great-not-awful contract on a similar (2-4 WAR) SP. Dansby was a 4.5 WAR player last year with 105 OPS+ and top tier SS defense. He’s not going to have negative value by the end of the year.
  12. Bull
    Yeah, after '26 I'd rather trade Dansby, even if it means eating a little of that contract if that's what it takes to extend Hoerner. How do you let 6WAR coming into his prime walk?
  13. Bull
    If you add a SP you can assume one is always hurt and still not have Rea or Assad start as long as Steele comes off before another goes on. Horton Boyd Shota Addition Taillon Steele (IL). They really already have a full rotation assuming you trust Rea/Assad for a month and a half. I'm starting to come around to the idea that they don't need a starter, they need impact and its fairly equal whether they add it at 3B, moving Shaw into one of the best utility men in the game, RF, making Caissie/Alcantara/Moises/Happ one of the best 4th outfielders/DH in the league, or SP making Taillon the best 6th man in the league/insurance in case one of Shota/Boyd is actually broken. No matter what you do you leave 2 areas of weakness on where 2 of Caissie/Alcantara/Moises/Assad/Birdsell/Shaw have to step up or be replaced at the deadline. All that to say, this is a decent team with a lot of routes to make it a top team like they were last year. But you have to add 5-8 WAR somewhere to replace Tucker. (or resign Tucker and hope for more progress from Assad/Birdsell/Shaw/PCA than you get decline from Happ/Shota/Byrd/Dansby.
  14. Bull
    Plays first base, hits lefties. could be cheap. .981 ops vs lefties last year.
  15. Bull
    Ian Happ does not return his grocery cart to the cart return.
  16. Bull
    Good ol' Phil. The Cubs' Assistant roving minor league bullpen catcher.
  17. Bull
    If only you would would your power for good.
  18. Bull
    There is a post in baseball discussions on this.
  19. Bull
    Right now, I sincerely hope the plan is for every cent available to be invested in high end pitching. At least in open conversation. You have to keep the leverage. I really think our margin for improvement is almost all on the pitching side. I think Alcantara, Caissie, Ballesteros and Long combine for 3 war next year. With Amaya back, where do you play them if you add a bat? If trades fall in to your lap that you love, and two or more of them are traded for pitching, then you go get a bat. Until then, your potential trade partners need to believe (and you need to sincerely believe internally - willing to walk away from bad trades) that you are perfectly happy entering the season with these bats on your roster and your pitching needs filled in free agency.
  20. Bull
    They went over in '16, '19, '20 and '24. Going over wouldn't have made a difference in the other years. I don't see what about this pattern makes people think there's no way they go over the tax this year.
  21. Bull
    So you added a lot of swing and miss, lost a lot of ground balls and added a bunch of walks. With the elite infield defense of the Cubs I feel like this is about even. Prediction: Keller doesn't do as well in front of another defense, and we all hate Maton for walking everyone.
  22. Bull
    Not to bring home 88wins. I think the quote was to project 88 wins and overachieve projections. The Counsell factor, baby.
  23. Bull
    The luxury tax exists primarily as an excuse for teams like the Cubs to not spend overmuch. If they used it as a soft cap, they will find a new softcap. and the only way it goes away is if teams like the Cubs wise up and create a floor/cap system limiting or eliminating deferred money. The chances of getting the votes for a floor are nil. The chances of getting a cap without a floor out of the players union are even less. My guess is we get more of the same with a limitation on deferred money. I think the Ohtani deal made some owners really upset.
  24. Bull
    So nice to meet someone who became a fan in 2015.
  25. Bull
    Would you be satisfied with Alcantara/Rasmussen (or another Florida pitcher via trade) Horton Woodruff Boyd Taillon (with Steele back in May) going into next year? What would it take to get Rasmussen? That's a lot of injury risk in one rotation, but its a 6 legit guys with a ton of upside.
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