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Bull

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Everything posted by Bull

  1. I don't see it that way. If he's injured you call up Long for two weeks, while Mo backs up catcher a couple times (asking extra heavy workload from Kelly). Then you send Long back down to get regular at bats and let Mo catch a little more for a couple week. Hopefully this buys you enough time to pick up someone off the scrapheap as defense heavy backup. I'm also hopeful that Amaya is athletic enough to be a more than adequate short side platoon first baseman.
  2. This is huge. Amaya risked being the odd man out with Shaw eating up at bats. Amaya is too good to just be a backup catcher. (hopefully) One more way to get the strong part of our bench (Amaya and Shaw) ABs and our everyday players a day off every now and then. It also helps stack the lineup with righties against tough lefties without using your back-up catcher as your only RH bat off the bench that you're afraid to use because you'll be left without an emergency catcher. Mo and Busch on the bench against a lefty. Yes please.
  3. He throws really hard with the other arm.
  4. If you look at the triple play, it may have been his fault as well. Looks like he told Shaw he was out.
  5. Even if Mo is a complete bust by May, then Shaw is your 9th bat, giving everyone a day off to DH. Seiya DH's, Happ DHs, Swanson DHs, Bregman, Kelly. Repeat. Anyone over 30.
  6. And yet following the Durbin trade this site puts out an article on what the Cubs would need to get from a Nico Hoerner trade. The internet is dead. So long and thanks for all the clicks.
  7. Really thought we were done with this ridiculousness.
  8. Where are we talking about the Durbin trade?
  9. The only team that will potentially give him an opt out after year 1 is the D-backs. That's why he likely ends up there. I'm not interested if there's an opt out. I honestly think there's a 30-40% chance Taillon outperforms him *this* year.
  10. Either this is the same guy, or this is the second wave of Gen Alpha discovering message boards.
  11. Yup. It’s different and I agree position player over pitcher. But not by much. As in I’d chose a top of the rotation pitcher over a bottom of the order hitter even with elite defense. Bregman does play defense, but not so well for it make much difference over say Shaw. again you are right on. Judge over Skubal. But skubal over Bregman. and to the original question Bregman. And that is without leadership ability factored in. But if you forget clubhouse leadership, im not disagreeing with you. And while I’m not inside your head, I think my opinion is that the margin is slimmer than your posts seem to indicate you think it is. my post “it’s not that different” which you quoted lacked nuance.
  12. It’s not that different. 20 bf per 5 days, 20 abs per 5 days.
  13. 9 hours ago, CubUgly said: Hard to count on him pitching for 150+, but then again - last year I would have bet the Farm that Boyd would not have pitched over 100 innings. 'cuz there's no farm left....hey-o
  14. I’m asking, if fWAR is fielding independent, fip rather than RA9, then the Cubs pitchers should do better in bWAR, because they aren’t big strikeout guys. The opposite is true.
  15. Looking over player projections for 2026 and fWAR vs bWAR values from last year. I know I'm probably late to the party on this, but I'm trying to figure out a few things. 1. ZiPS is based on FWAR which is fielding independent. Since several Cubs pitch to contact, their projections undervalue them. TorF? Is this an accurate premise to build off of? 2. The Cubs pitching staff is advantaged by their excellent defense, whether that is PCA running down Shota's gopher balls in the gaps, or Nico and Dansby picking it for Boyd and Cade. 3. Much of the value of Cubs pitchers throwing ground balls (or fly balls) is realized in Cubs defenders with fWAR. With bWAR, the value of Cubs defenders picking more ground balls that their pitchers threw is counted for both the Cubs defenders AND their pitchers receiving value credit. TorF? 4. If 1, 2, and 3 are true, why are Cubs pitchers' 2025 fWAR values, consistently lower than bWAR? Boyd Horton Rea fWAR 3.4, 2.2, 1.9 respectively. 2.5, 2.0, 1.5 bWAR. Shouldn't the bWAR be higher due to the Cubs elite defense. Somewhere along the line I'm getting something wrong.
  16. Have the Cubs signed a QO guy yet this offseason? I just don't see it happening unless he comes down to 15 a year (with the opt out, and a team option at 20). But 20per, loss of picks and an opt out. 2 of 3 but not all 3.
  17. The general atmosphere here is constantly antagonizing. I need to shut up before I get baited into my own ban.
  18. deleted.....I'm not going to get sucked in.
  19. My comment was not just about the latest incident. This has become a place where half the country is made to feel uncomfortable, Matt Shaw is called awful names, and one side of the political spectrum is given free reign to be as offensive as they want. I've avoided the political forum and tried to talk baseball. Most conservatives would view me as pretty liberal. I pastor a church with a medical clinic that caters to people without documentation. But the extreme liberal vitriol here is just too much, and the mods have stopped caring.
  20. I've been here 20 years, and I've seen so many people get away with so much. This place has devolved into a liberal echo chamber where one sided political discussion is welcomed and saying extremely offensive things against anyone suggesting a moderate or conservative opinion is celebrated. That dude was responding to people who came after him and called him names. I haven't always agreed with him, but you banned the wrong person.
  21. If you are implying I was equating “average” to B+, try reading again. I was saying he’s probably average, and “maybe” slightly above average. If I had said he C, maybe as high as B+ it may have been more clear.
  22. It does happen, often. But there is a preponderance of evidence that it happens more often when pitchers are abused. And Dusty Baker abused pitchers more severely and for a longer period of time than any other manager since statistical analysis overtook fishing metaphors as a core competency for managers. He was late to the party and it cost the Cubs a dynasty. I don't see why you are having a hard time with this.
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