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Bull

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Everything posted by Bull

  1. Shaw never sees AAA unless his star fades significantly.
  2. I think they would have (and still could, I guess) if they were overwhelmed with an offer that they felt made them better in '25 and beyond. They just...weren't.
  3. Nearly half of that WAR has been defense in the past. None of it is this year. How much of his reduced dWAR is regression/age, how much is having more fly ball pitchers, and how much is "having a down year"?
  4. Because our eyes are on 2025 and beyond. The "beyond" part is significant. Hoerner starts getting expensive soon. He is signed through '26 (his age 29 season). Then free agency. If he is not a 100 OPS+ guy he's not going to have as much surplus value in his next contract as in this one. His .1 dWAR is not going to get better with age.
  5. Major league ready =/= current first division starter. It means PCA level of "ready". As in, still plenty of work to do, some risk, plenty of upside but unlikely to reach that upside in time for a team trying to go deep in the playoffs this year.
  6. Has anyone looked into how deep left center field is in Tampa? I think some fly balls there could be basket shots at Wrigley.
  7. I never indicated Paredes was a sure thing. The question was asked if this changes the calculus on Taillon. It does not. Jed made it clear he would only “buy” if it made sense 2025 and beyond. This is that kind of move. Taillon will only be traded if it makes sense 2025 and beyond. Same as before this trade. This trade very likely makes the team better in 2025, a year in which Jed hopes to prove himself worthy of another contract. Sure thing. Certainly not. Likely improved 3B situation in 2025. Definitely.
  8. How about Paredes?
  9. This. And what I think they are missing is an obvious fix to Morel at the plate. The fact that the Rays are willing to make this trade is evidence that Kelly and Mallee should be fired.
  10. I don’t think so. Paredes is a move with an eye on “25 and beyond. Starting pitcher is a position of strength (this year’s injuries notwithstanding).
  11. One of my preseason bold predictions was that Little would be the closer by the end of the year. I had really had high hopes for him. I’m a sucker for big lefties. I’m still hoping Andy Sisco rises from the dead. i really hope Little can come back from this.
  12. We should get this guy and hand him the 3B job next year.
  13. You said “Why on earth are people so damn afraid of trading a "decent backup," which is a stretch considering he's a replacement level player as it stands, for a potential decent starter? I’m saying you are blind to the value Morel has. Be a little more diligent.
  14. No im saying you may have properly valued your commodity (fair offer). I’m saying they may see hidden value in your commodity that you don’t. (Not an “unfair” offer, but an unequal one). It’s on you to figure out which. Buyer beware. Whoever it was that was calling him out for being afraid doesn’t know the difference between afraid and beware.
  15. If someone else wants to make a trade, you should always be wary of it. It means you have either properly valued or undervalued your own commodity. Due diligence requires making sure which.
  16. PCA is a nincompoop. This time it has nothing to do with baserunning. He’s just a doofus.
  17. No Busch, no PCA. Wisdom at first, Belli in CF.
  18. Don’t worry. Almonte should be back soon.
  19. It is odd how multiple perennial positive offensive WAR position players have stopped hitting. I am still holding out hope that they are all banged up and we will see an offense that’s more and less offensive emerge any day now. Today would be good.
  20. Is Morel still having trouble with his finger? I really do think the whole team is playing banged up right now and they just need to find ways to rest these guys. Bote is healthy and has enough skills to have had success in the past. Putting Morel at DH for a while and getting some guys actual rest could lead them back to healthy.
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