Bull
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Everything posted by Bull
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Minor League Discussion & Box, 4-7-24
Bull replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Any word on PCA? -
To come out of these first three series 6-3 is quite an accomplishment.
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I feel like early season “dead arm period” performance against the World Series champs and the bugs bunny all-star line up might not be the best way to judge a guy.
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Tied for third behind O's and M's, but your point stands.
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For a major league pitcher, yeah. At your local Wal-Mart, maybe less so. Shorter than 6'8 and 6'6 anyway. I'm just saying, if you have to do a bullpen game, maximize the change of look as much as possible. Leiter is 6'0, but of course, you use him close and late.
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I'm a once-through-the-order piggyback guy. Once through with the tall lefty, once with the tall righty, then the short lefty, and finally the short righty. Little Brown Smyly Leiter
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Is that arm strength positionally adjusted? Is that 53rd percentile among left fielders or all MLers? He came up as a middle infielder. Any chance he could handle third and send Morel to LF if the Morel-at-third experiment fails. I know you don't typically do that to a veteran or to your player rep, but how much would that increase his value!?
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Oh I know. I was being obtuse. I was responding to a poster who was being critical. It was a good article.
- 15 replies
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- 1
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- jed hoyer
- cody bellinger
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Not angry. The previous poster was being obnoxious. I (perhaps unwisely) responded in kind.
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As an educator, I can tell you a zero really brings a grade down fast. A+ + B- + A- + A + A + zero/6 leaves you with a B- or less. (95+80+90+92+92+0)/6 = 74. A solid C. Author is being generous. The author is saying what was done was good, but the student didn't complete all their work. You need to catch up on your basic math. Can we please stop being obtuse now?
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I expect them to piggyback Assad (R) and Smyly (L) until Taillon is back. Twice through the order with each then to the bullpen. Prevents a lefty righty advantage or burns through opponent's bench giving Counsell a strategic advantage either in the 4th inning or the 7th.
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I disagree. If you have someone of fringy quality like Mastroboni, and that person has options, then using them when Madrigal is hurt is valuable. That may also be an opportunity to give Shaw a cup of coffee later in the year. You get what you can out of Madrigal while he's cheap and when he's not injured. It's not like you are counting on him to be a starter or paying him to be a starter. Once he hits free agency and someone has to pay him real money, his inconsistent health becomes a much bigger concern.
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If Happ and Madrigal get healthy before anyone else needs to be IL’d for a minor (or God forbid major) injury, either Mastro or Wisdom will suffer a pulled hangnail.
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I still don’t think it looks good for Smyly in the rotation.. That’s a lot of left handedness in the rotation and not much left in the bullpen.
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I love Sammy and would want him to be enshrined in statue alongside Ernie, Billy, Santo, Fergie and Ryno, as long as it is the Dominican version of him rather than the Transylvanian version.
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No. If we lay low long enough and evade the law, we can get away with anything but murder.
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Also, for what it's worth, both Dansby and Nico had top 30 in MLB WAR (position players only) with OPS+ that were sub 100 last year. That's what you can hope for from the Nincompoop. If he stops being negative value on the basepaths.
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4.0 bWAR would have made him 43rd among position players last year. 2.6 top 102. You expect him to consistently be a top 100 position player in the league over a long enough stretch to qualify as "year in and year out"? I'd say that's very high expectations. I'd put the list of position players to achieve that range every year over a, say, 7-year span is exceedingly short. And to further my previous point, if he achieves 2.0 dWar that .6 oWar is Myles Straw, he of 69 OPS+ getting to 4.0 (2.0 plus 2.0) has him similar to Kiermier. So you're saying his best case is Kiermier. A 104 OPS+ in his BEST year.
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I think you’d better be able to dialog with some of the other posters if you start with WAR and work backwards. The top team by CF WAR last year was 3.2. The fifth best was 2.0. Let’s call that range clealy above average for CF. Seattle’s Julio Rodriguez had an OPS+ of 128. He had 5.8 OWAR and a 0.0 DWAR. He is an all bat CF who should probably be in a corner OF. Think when Happ was playing CF for awhile. Luis Robert Jr was at 128 OPS+ (with fewer ABs) and was at 4.4 OWar, and 1.1 DWAR. Kiermier was 2.0 and 2.2 at 104 OPS. A really valuable player. You put PCA at 128 OPS+ with his defense, you might be looking at a 8+ WAR. (Rodriguez” 5.8 plus Kiermiers 2.2) I think you see that’s unrealistic expectations. The ceiling? Maybe. But certainly not the median expectation.
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That’s silly. Too early to tell if he’s a bust. He’s a nincompoop but that doesn’t mean he’s a bust. Rizzo was a nincompoop too, but he made up for it in other ways. PCAs floor is Billy Hamilton. Teach him (in AAA) not to get TOOTBLANed and he’ll be fine. Like that’s the only lesson. That and work on laying off the high fastball. But if he can’t quite master #2, he can still be serviceable if he can master #1.
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More nincompoopery
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I’m just gonna say it. This well thought out post got no responses, but “trade Bellinger” did?
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What about the circumstances (near luxury tax, 4-6 near ready bats, Ricketts suggesting additional revenue would be required to add even before the Bellinger signing) causes you to hold out hope that they will add a bat?
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PCA is a nincompoop. I don’t care if you do score. You do not run through a Willie Harris stop sign if you’re a rookie trying to make the team in spring training.
