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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Then don't. But that's not really true. Most of the time, when you see a guy get huge money, it's from a team who is placing a very high value on immediate wins.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Even if you put his chance to stick as an average MLB CFer at 50%, I still value that more than I value the extra picks (one of which is just as likely to be a second or later as it is a first). I'm really not impressed with Wright.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    And only on contract for one more year. In the meantime, he's awful defensively, up-and-down offensively year-to-year, and will cost around $15 million a year. Might as well keep Ramirez and not lose the prospects. But if the point is not to be tied up in four years of Ramirez, then it's not an equivalent choice. You're also going to get two prospects back when Wright leaves as a FA at the end of the year. I was assuming this move would be planned around signing him long-term. Brett Jackson for one year of David Wright and draft pick compensation? Super-pass.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    And only on contract for one more year. In the meantime, he's awful defensively, up-and-down offensively year-to-year, and will cost around $15 million a year. Might as well keep Ramirez and not lose the prospects.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    If you wanted someone like David Wright, you can just sign Aramis Ramirez and not have to give up a prospect like Jackson.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    This is incorrect. The cost to acquire is very much included in the cost of the player before you buy him. It's just that after you acquire him, it's a sunk cost so there's no point in bringing it up again.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    By the time Soriano comes off the books, Garza should be in the heart of his big new contract. And we're going to probably want to buy out Castro's arbitration years. Just makes you appreciate Epstein's insistence that we have to have a strong pipeline of players.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    It really depends on years and money for me. I'm a bit more bearish in the projections than a lot of people. I think the collapse rate (albeit collapse is a relative term for a guy like him) is definitely not negligible, even in the next few seasons.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't live in that city, so I hope they bankrupt the city directly funding Cubs' payroll.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    The lack of first base talent makes Pujols/Prince more important and logical, I think. We don't have anybody anywhere close to the majors who's the talent level of Wilson, but we do have guys who can be decent to very good starters making their way to the majors in the next few years. At first we have Bryan LaHair and Rebel Ridling. Other than Vogelbach, we don't have any major league talent at first in the organization. That's the biggest reason I put Pujols/Prince ahead of Wilson. The odds that we fill five rotation spots internally for the next few years are very, very slim. Even assuming we can sign Garza long-term. We're going to be needing pitching every bit as much as a 1b.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think that should be $20.8 million, which I think makes your final total $9 million high.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Awesome! Darwin Barney also came out looking a bit better. And I'm reminded how awesome it is that our new GM won't Neifi us with Reed Johnson.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    You really should buy a PC, then. :) I'm guessing I know your answer to me reporting my "need to upgrade Adobe player" error.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    We've used up a year of the value he had when we traded for him. We're not getting near as much for him as we gave up a year ago. I'd probably rather just keep him at this point.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fangraphs is heavily based on predictive peripherals, Baseball-Reference is based on how many runs the pitcher allowed. Which method is preferable? What are you trying to do?
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fangraphs is heavily based on predictive peripherals, Baseball-Reference is based on how many runs the pitcher allowed (literally, they just take how much runs a replacement pitcher would allow in the same number of innings and credit/debit the difference, then convert runs into wins).
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Oh, I don't know, it was my favorite movie as a kid. I saw it in 1976, I was 7, and I loved it, so did most of my friends. The teachers weren't real happy that we were quoting it in school, however, especially after the trophy incident with Mrs. Sampson's class where someone quoted the Tanner "hey, Yankees, you can take your apology and your trophy..." comment. Love that movie, though. Sounds like you were a pretty cool 7-year-old. No wonder you didn't grow up to run a baseball team.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Citation needed.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    That article is the best Theoblast yet. It's unbelievable how awesome their approach to everything is.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ramon Ortiz. Miguel Batista
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Reputations for being analysis-heavy managers in saber-savvy organizations.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    It really didn't seem that way.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Trying again with (hopefully) less fail Nick Swisher age 22: 125 Ks in 573 PAs at A+ and AA Brett Jackson age 22: 138 Ks in 512 PAs at AA and AAA Given the difference in levels, I think those are comparable enough. Swisher took a huge leap forward at age 23, so let's hope Jackson does too.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Don't be a time racist. We don't all go in the same direction here.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    You are expecting a lot of .822 OPS seasons out of Jackson? MiLB career: Brett Jackson (20-22) - .884 OPS Nick Swisher (21-23) - .857 OPS Intriguing comp! The two minuses for Jackson in that comp (besides being a year older) are more K's at the same age and Swisher's getting better at every level while Jackson gets a bit worse.
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