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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Well, yes. The source could be Theo and the agenda could be "the truth" for all we know.
  2. Dumb report. Why would they bother bidding if they didn't think they might win? Did Theo think that maybe he could bid $5 million and all of the other teams might forget to submit anything? I think Cafardo is the guy who said the other day that the Cubs aren't players for Fielder either. Sounds more like he has an agenda. He's got a source with an agenda.
  3. I don't like that so therefore it isn't credible.
  4. That team is so bad that it's going to take several offseasons to fix it.
  5. I will beg for your forgiveness Theo if you made this happen. :beg: :beg: :beg: :beg:
  6. Two things: 1) You're going to have to explain that one to me, because while I could see favoring Maholm because of that, but not favoring him by a lot. Especially when price becomes a factor. 2) The potential of signing a mediocre, soft tossing, semi-old, expensive lefty seems very much like a Hendry move, not a Theo move - I'm confused. That wasn't directed at you Kyle, just a thought that's been nagging at me. Maholm has 1143 MLB innings that says this is what he is. Wells has 500, and the most recent 135 were the worst. Maholm's never put up anything like Wells' 5.11 FIP last season. I'm just convinced that Wells doesn't have MLB stuff and he's going to continue to get rocked now that hitters have caught up to him and he's lost a little on his fastball. As far as No. 2, I'm just completely snakebit by what happened last season. This could have been a competitive team a little bit more starting pitching depth. Moar = better at this point, because I don't want to rely on Rodrigo Lopez and Casey Coleman again.
  7. So Wells has been a little better in almost every way possible except for a 6% difference in groundball rates and a .4% HR/FB ratio, and because of that Maholm is much more likely to be mediocre than Wells going forward? Yes.
  8. Wells has a better career ERA, xFIP and K/9 than Maholm, even considering his poor 2011. He's also younger and both are coming off injury-filled seasons. What is it about Wells that makes Maholm slot in "comfortably" in front of him? My complete and total lack of faith in Wells to maintain even the modest success he's had in his career to date. As far as I can tell, they are similar except Maholm is a better ground-ball pitcher, which is huge with their skill set.
  9. There had better be some serious prospects going back.
  10. We have money and we don't have any prospects to give the spot to and losing 100 games will hurt future revenues. Garza Dempster Zambrano Wells Samardzija Cashner I'd anticipate all those guys being as good or better than Maholm. With the way his season ended, I'm not sure he's any better of a health risk, either. Coleman Rusin If we're not signing guys to compete in 2012, these guys would be better performance / cost. In the second half, we could have: McNutt Beeler Rhee Searle In short, we've got plenty of mediocre -> lousy pitching depth. What we really need are top of the rotation guys. That ain't Maholm. I think you are way, way, way underselling Maholm, who probably slots in at fourth on that rotation list pretty comfortably.
  11. We have money and we don't have any prospects to give the spot to and losing 100 games will hurt future revenues.
  12. I really, really wish we'd bid $49 million :(
  13. Yes please. We desperately need starting pitching depth.
  14. If the Cubs are keeping their bid amount locked down, there's no amount of trading numbers that could lead to others knowing if we outbid the Blue Jays or not. What if the leak is from the MLB offices? SHUT UP SHUT UP I HATE YOU
  15. The standard adjustment is to downgrade by 18% when moving from AAA to MLB. Throw in the PCL's hitter-friendly environment, and suddenly that .901 looks pretty pedestrian for a poor defensive 1b (which I think Smoak is, I could be remembering wrong).
  16. He's just 25 years old, has a very good approach at the plate (15.7% BB rate), and has shown the ability to hit for power in the minors (.497 SLG in AAA, though a grain of salt because it was PCL). And the line you posted is his career minor league line, not his PCL line. In 1 PCL season (477 PAs), he's posted a .253/.379/.414 line. Not too encouraging, but consider this: 1st 237 AAA PAs: .244/.363/.360 Next 225 AAA PAs: .279/.404/.497 He's shown pretty clear improvement in a similar number of PAs. 279/404/497 in the PCL from a 1b still doesn't excite me either.
  17. I don't know how these things work, but is it normal for the manager to have much dialogue before a players signed, or at least until serious negotiations begin? Sounds like it could be Sveums way of pleading the 5th. It says "Cubs have had no conversations with Prince" not "Sveum has had no conversations with Prince." I really doubt the Cubs would be talking with him without including Sveum in the loop, but there's still some outs there: 1) He's lying 2) They've had conversations with Boras but not Fielder
  18. This is Boras we're talking about. If you came to him today with 8/$200, he'd hold out for 10/$250.
  19. Because nobody's reporting any rumors about it and the NY Post story that every other outlet is running with says so.
  20. So a guy like Welington Castillo? Really? I'd need bonafide star potential. The appropriate discount factor for prospects would have to be pretty large. I surely don't need to tell you that the bust rate is quite high, even amongst guys that seem solid at AAA. It's been almost 30 years since Bill James proved that properly adjusted minor league stats are pretty close to just as predictive as MLB stats. Welington Castillo wouldn't pass my standard, though. You need a lot better than mid-.800s OPS in the PCL before I consider you a MLB regular.
  21. Fielder + one not-terrible pitcher + good health. That's all we need to be decent.
  22. http://www.torontosun.com/2011/12/15/jays-frontrunners-for-yu
  23. I'd drop $30 million for six years on almost any AAA prospect whose age and numbers say they can be an average starter immediately. Easily.
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