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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    1) Hustle, Sweeney. 2) Stop that, Bell. 3) Slide better 4) He was safe
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    This is the worst Wood's looked when I've seen him this year. Lots of hard-hit balls. But he's gotten out of it so far, so no harm.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yesssss. Stewart is a poopyhead and Vitters has a quad strain.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Some fun with oversimplified math scenarios: 42 games is roughly the point where pythagorean win percentage is more predictive than previous season's win percentage. We have a pyth record of 21-21. Baseball Prospectus's third-order wins says that our actual performance to date has been that of a .530 team. Using binomial probability, if we're a .500 team, there's a 26% chance we'll be least .500 after 102 games, or roughly the trade deadline. Fangraphs is projecting it will take 86 wins to win the second wild card, and if we stayed a .500 true talent team all season there'd be a 9% chance of us getting to at least that many wins. If we're a true .530 team, then .500 at the deadline would be a 43% chance and 28% chance of 86 wins.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe he gave up a 390 foot fly ball with two runners on and it happened to be hit to dead center. He obviously did that by design. The wind is blowing in. Lefties are crafty like that.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe he gave up a 390 foot fly ball with two runners on and it happened to be hit to dead center.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I hate situational hitting. Rizzo made a terrible chase that he wouldn't have made if he wasn't thinking about trying to get a sac fly or something.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    It would be good for the Cubs to win this game. I wish Travis Wood really was as good as his ERA this year.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    *shrug* It's baseball. Being wrong a lot of the time about what a player will do in any given month is the norm.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    I really doubt it.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    And you are letting one month make you think that is impossible to still be true? Not that I am saying it's true, I just don't want to get so caught up in a month's worth of games. Nothing's impossible. But there's little reason to believe it based on all of the information we have.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Every time someone says Baez might be pulling out of it, he promptly 0-for-8 with 5 Ks over the next two games. So I'm not going to say it. But he is 2-for-3 tonight with no Ks. Soler 2-for-2 with a BB, meaning he is 9-for-12 with a BB in the last two days.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    That almost makes me feel better. Being 6 games under at even RD would have been too annoying.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Agreed. He just checks all the boxes. Great approach, all-around athleticism, no problems making contact, plenty of power potential. This has got to be the best night our farm system has had to date, right? Maples 5 IP, 5 K, 1 BB, 0 HR Baez 3-for-9, 3b, BB, K Soler 7-for-10, 2b, HR Szczur 2-for-5 (starting to begrudgingly give him a little respect. The contact rates at AA bode well for him) Villanueva 3-for-4, 2 2b Watkins 1-for-4, HR, BB Brett Jackson 4-for-5, 2b, 0 K (down to 26.4% this year. Still too dang high, I guess, but I want to have some optimism there) Vitters 3-for-3, 2b
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez leadoff triple in the 12th. Drove the first-pitch the other way.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    And he'd still have a .301 OBP and a massive K/BB ratio. Some BABIP isn't going to change that.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ground ball down the line 2b, Soler 6-for-6
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Soler makes it 5-for-5 for the day with a single. Geiger makes it 5-for-5 with all XBH with a double.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Is he anything? I've tried searching for scouting reports a few times and haven't found anything, so I took that as a bad sign.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Infield single puts Soler at 4-for-4. Daytona announcers raving about Soler's speed.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    We are so freaking due for one of those absurd seasons where a mediocre team wins all of its close games like this.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Post-draft, don't worry about signing. Everybody worth listing is going to sign.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cobs
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    If nothing changes in the ninth, the Cubs will have a +2 run differential and a .409 win% at Wrigley.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe DeJesus can get picked off and we can complete the "Mets bullpen doesn't need to get outs for themselves" trifecta.
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