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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Apparently, the Cubs are not getting a player but instead cash, and the Nats don't intend on picking up his option. I *really* overestimated DeJesus's trade value and his value at 1 year/$6.5m. This doesn't make any sense otherwise.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I bet we could have gotten way better long-term deals now if we'd waited. Especially on Castro.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Didn't he like randomly pick some stocks in the middle of a bull market and the resulting gains convinced him (and others) that he was some sort of capitalist guru?
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Defensive positioning? He seems to hit a lot of balls right at guys positioned in not quite normal spots in the OF. I'm assuming he's a fly-ball heavy guys as well.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    We have the fact that it was a trade. We have speculation from writers that it wasn't meant to be, that the Nats made an accidental waiver pick-up. So either we're wrong that there's no reason to make a formal trade on an accidental waiver pick-up, or the writers are being stupid. I strongly suspect the latter.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's undeniable that between AAA and the majors this year, Lake has shown a new level of ability to make contact, and that makes his all-around skill set play much better.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Can't afford it.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't think they're going to hesitate, but in this FA market, I think they are going to get outbid. The Edwin Jackson-level guys are the best available this time around.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    In like two years he'll be somebody else's Ian Stewart.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    That makes no sense. If it was a mistake, the Nats could have said to the Cubs "pull him back or give him for nothing, but we're not offering anything." By offering a PTBNL, they clearly wanted him to some degree or another.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Two possibilities: 1) They saw a chance to take advantage of a Cubs team desperate to shed payroll and flip him up for more value further down the line 2) This is just part of the "everybody goes through waivers" part of August and it's stupid that it's being reported like a story.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez to Chicago the second he passes the year-of-control date at the end of April.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Just a single for Baez this time. 3-for-4, 2 2b, BB, no Ks.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Was over 1 before the 0-4 yesterday. I don't think it was. It peaked at like .986.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think it's a lot more complicated than that. First and foremost, I think it has to be a scouting decision. His performance is way too wonky to just look at his Fangraphs page and estimate that he'll be halfway between the last two years or whatever. They have to decide if they think he can be fixed or not. Then they also have to decide how badly they want whatever they think he is going to do, vs. how badly someone else may want him. We actually are on the verge of having two MLB shortstops, and while either *Could* move to another position, it doesn't maximize their value if there's a good trade to be made. Other teams know about regression to the mean, too. If someone out there likes him, and they offer us something we really like, I don't have a problem with moving him. Even if it is a "sell low" or whatever.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Like two more games like this and Lake would be worth more fWAR this year than Castro and Rizzo combined.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't know about good, but he's sold me on "acceptable." Between AAA and MLB this year, he's clearly shown a pretty decent leap forward in ability to make contact.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    That also puts his K/BB ratio at exactly 3:1, which is pretty acceptable.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Works for me. 9.55% it is.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Might have been intentional? Alcantara had doubled with two outs in front of him.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Pretty much. That doesn't sound like the sort of hyperational game-theoryism that I expect from this front office. That's a gambler chasing losses.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    you're the guy who can't stand the $/WAR, especially when used for lower value players, correct? Mostly. It's overused and misread a lot. I wasn't meaning that to be a deeply meaningful point. Just a cute coincidence.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    If DeJesus is a 1.5 win player, then we saved $2.5m in cash for a player who is projected to be about a $2.5m in surplus value. Just sayin'.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    If we don't end up fielding three equal or better outfielders, then I'll look back and be annoyed by it. But I'm not worried about that just yet.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yep, that's what they're gonna do alright. I mean his value is so high right now. Higher than it will be if he can't hit next year, too.
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