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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    He got under it, and it still went 400 feet.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    The Cubs have been awful for four straight years now. It's not exactly whiny to be unhappy with the team.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    I didn't say potential. I meant like right now, if everyone in the organization got 600 PAs in the majors, where would Baez rank in offensive production?
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Jeremy Guthrie ‏@TheRealJGuts 8m Lets agree to disagree on this. RT @MLB: Any time we can watch @RealPFielder28 hit a home run, it’s a good day:
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Because teams are about to get that national TV deal, in general are more profitable, and there's less competition from other top FAs. It was a cruddy FA class last year and there were a bunch of teams with money to spend. There's still more money this year. Bourn was the 7th-highest FA contract of the season. Are there six guys in line to get a bigger payday than Ellsbury?
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Because teams are about to get that national TV deal, in general are more profitable, and there's less competition from other top FAs.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    The MLE calculator (I know) thinks that numbers should go slightly up from Tennessee to Iowa.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    There were a lot of triple negatives that made it confusing. Yes, I was agreeing that Ellsbury gets $100m, and in general I think FAs will way overshoot expectations
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    If he finishes anywhere near this, I don't see how they could send him back to AA.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    That sounds like something the Boston Theo would do. I want that Theo to show up out of nowhere, like a pro wrestler just running out from the back unexpectedly and just beating down everyone (fakely).
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    I meant it to be agreeing with him. We're back in the era of inflation. The 2000s saw basically stagnant contracts, so we've forgotten what it was like in the 1990s when every year you'd think you'd have a handle on contracts and then the next year everybody would get like 30% more than similar players the previous year.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    But it's fun. Incidentally, that'd make him almost exactly Pedro Alvarez, who is on pace for a 3.5 win season as a neutral 3b defender/baserunner.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Javier Baez's AA line, translated to Chicago using the MLE calculator: 242/289/489 for a .778 OPS, with 36 HRs per 600 PAs
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think people are going to be surprised when they see the offseason contracts this year. There's very little to spend money on, but a lot of teams have a lot of money. Most of them aren't going to just not spend it. Total money available is going to be divided among the available free agent class, even if it's bad.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Honestly, when I consider the fortunes of the 2014 Cubs, whether we go medium or medium-big in free agency is about fifth on my list of concerns.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    If you were ranking the hitters in our organization on current offensive ability, where does Baez rank?
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    I haven't checked in the last two days, but I think that moves Baez into the top 10 in the Southern League in home runs. The league he joined six weeks ago when the season was already three months old.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Nothing. But a chronic hamstring injury to Ellsbury could make a 6/100 type contract look really bad, really quick. With a bad contract on the books, it'd be just like having to deal with an artificially low payroll. That'd suck...
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Seriously. Baez is the single youngest player in the Southern League to get 100 PAs this year. And he's torching it.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    *shh* Nobody tell Klaw
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I really hope he's just being coy or something. Because while he's not wrong that the division is brutal, one of my favorite things about poaching from the Boston front office is how they were in the same division as the unstoppable Yankees and seemed to revel in taking them on and turning it into an escalating arms race. Now we're scared of the Pirates.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Unless we're counting Ricketts' real estate transactions, I don't think there's any way you can get to the total that's dropped from the payroll by counting all those side expenditures. We're not saving money for the future in some sort of brilliant gambit. We're just out of money because of debt payments and empty seats.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm perfectly on board with the idea that Epstein didn't inherit as much as would have been ideal, although it wasn't completely nothing. But I'm inclined to blame the organization for screwing up Castro if that's how things go, way more than I'm inclined to say "well, he just never was a talent to begin with."
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    The power thing. Worst case, he's Pedro Alvarez, and that's not bad.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    He also has a 25% K rate, a 6.3% BB rate, and 2 HRs in 80 PAs. Even with a normal BABIP, he'd be pretty mediocre.
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