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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    This is why I hate $/WAR analysis sometimes. Sure, I think Castro has a good chance to go back to being a win or something better than average forever. I don't necessarily think I should value that the same as someone being really, really good for a smaller number of years.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's hard to call that a conservative projection for a guy currently underplaying his contract by $6m or so. If Tampa wanted Castro in a Price trade, I wouldn't mind.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Surplus dollar value isn't the only way to measure value. A small amount of surplus value spread out over a number of years isn't nearly as valuable as having it concentrated. We might have a surplus of infielders very soon, and he could be one who might fetch a concentrated-value return.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think that's crazy overvaluing him. His long-term projection doesn't look anything like it did two years ago when I would have said the same thing, or even a year ago.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Out of 29 other GMs, I'm pretty sure at least 25 of them understand the concept of regression.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    It does kind of seem like homegrown is becoming more prominent. The FA classes for the next few years are just hideously awful. Between that and the new CBA, money is becoming less and less meaningful, which I suppose is the point. And it makes me want to spend it now even more.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think the reputation/chance for a bounceback is more than sufficient to make it worthwhile to trade him. If I'm wrong and we don't get anything of value offered, then go ahead and keep him. I'm not saying he's a must trade or anything. Just that I woudln't mind, which really surprises me. It's been a weird year.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Not sure why you'd want to trade him with his value at its lowest and no ready-made replacement immediately ready to step in. Because: 1) We don't know that his value is at its lowest. Right now, his value incorporates the possibility that he bounces back and that he doesn't. If he doesn't, then his value goes lower. The whole "sell high/buy low" thing has become completely misunderstood. 2) I wonder if we do have a ready-made replacement destroying the Southern League right now. Or at least someone ready to step after a short run with a veteran stopgap.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    If he's a 3-4 win player, sure. But if he's not, then it starts to matter a bit how he gets there. We've had a lot of interesting success with the combination of strong defensive infielders, bumping up incoming pitchers' GB rates, and a manager who is a specialist in defensive shifting. If Castro isn't just crapping awesome all over the field, then it's a lot more difficult to live with his lack of contribution to that effort.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    I know that it wouldn't fit with the stock-trading model of baseball, but I really think I wouldn't mind shipping out Castro (for adequate value) this offseason. His bad defense and lack of patience are standing directly in the way of two of our major team-building strategies.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Starlin Castro is back to being awful. His August line is 268/286/317 (with a .355 BABIP) with 23.3% K and 2.3% BB.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Mikeaswell let him play it out at Wrigley in September.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    More like 0lt-for-3 with a BB, anyway.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Jason McLeod is, reportedly.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    http://i.imgur.com/4VaPOZ0.jpg Somebody explaint his to me before it drives me crazy (I'm sure it's a tv or movie reference but i haven't watched tv since 2008 and I've watched 2 movies in that time frame) http://arresteddevelopment.wikia.com/wiki/Steve_Holt
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    What are their peripherals for those innings?
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Vitters with his 11th BB in 97 PAs. Just sayin'
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    What position is he playing? 3b. Olt is DHing.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's been torching it when he's actually on the field.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez Ks looking again, didn't seem to like the call.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    I haven't done the math, but I think as of right now Baez's Southern League OPS is No. 2 in the league for players with at least 100 PAs, behind Yasiel Puig.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    I hope Javy doesn't go to Iowa just so we can see a lineup with him, Bryant and Soler in it next year. If Baez doesn't go to Iowa to start next season, AA might not be the direction he misses in.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Javy struck out looking on a 3-2 pitch earlier, so this PA he just said screw it and homered.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    He should borrow Mark Prior's towel to deal with all the rainout jokes that are about to come.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Baez is going to Rizzo AAA in the first-half then come up and Andruw Jones the second half and playoffs.
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