I don't know if its necessarily overconfidence, but you think about Portugal, and you're getting to play them in the jungle without Pepe, Coentrao and Almeida, and maybe without Bruno Alves as well, and with a less-than-100% CR7...you could not ask for a better opportunity and a better time to play them. Which probably means we'll come out flat and lose a la Poland 2002. The flip side is if I were Portugal and I had to deal with all those injuries and a red card for any game in this group, I'd want it to be against the United States without Altidore.