Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Hairyducked Idiot

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    39,504

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    46

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    To sum what I'm trying to say: With or with a second stud starting pitcher, we probably aren't going to the World Series. Nobody is ever a favorite to get through two short series. Let's just enjoy the regular season and not try to define this team's legacy by 5 or 12 or 19 games in October :)
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't know how people can talk about whether a team "could" win or not in the playoffs after all the random, weird results that happen in short series. The 2006 Cardinals won in October, we "can" win in October. Right now, we are the best team in the NL and it isn't close. That probably doesn't buy us much more than a 60% chance at any given short series, but that's the best we can hope for. Baseball Prospectus identified three attributes of teams that excel in the playoffs: 1) A high-leverage, shut down reliever. This favors the Phillies (Lidge is No. 1 in WRXL in all of baseball) and the Cubs (Marmol is No. 2). 2) Team defensive efficiency. We are second in the NL after leading it last year, behind Atlanta. Then comes Florida and Arizona. 3) A high-K pitching staff. We are fourth in the league, but only 9 behind Arizona for third, and 1-2 aren't likely playoff teams. So I'd say the Cubs are not only the best team, but they are the one best "built" for October. That said, even if we were 65% favorites to win both series, that still means there's a 58% chance we would not make it to the World Series, let alone win it. Short playoff series are virtual coin flips, but we have as good or better a chance than anyone in the NL.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    The problem is when we have good long men, we don't use them. When the game is out of reach, there should be a guy in the pen you can go to to flog his arm for 2-4 innings without feeling bad. Kevin Hart was great in that role. But Piniella refuses to do it for some reason.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Didn't Stone promise us Roberts, too? Stone has no credibility on this sort of thing. We're going to want another good starting pitcher, but so will a dozen other teams.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    If we're going to use pitchers the way he does (flog Marmol's arm, but no one else can go more than an inning in a four-run game), then yeah we do need 13.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Ryan Theriot has now put up a .357 OBP in 1014 career plate appearances. That's about as for real as it gets for a guy of his skill set.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    That was intentional. Tonight is a night of good vibes :)
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm afraid of it too but I'm not going around calling Lou one of the worst managers in the league when we have the best record in the league. That seems odd to me. The best team in the league can't have one of the worst at something? I'd say the 2004 team was among the best in the league, and they had the worst third-base coach in history.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    We've already seen an example of how Marmol can fall apart late in the season when overused. I see no reason not to be afraid of that again.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Stats within a relevant discussion aren't trolling. But to each their own :)
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Bob Brenly didn't have the decades of success to show like Lou does. And we don't have Schilling and Randy Johnson at their primes either. Doesn't Dusty Baker have a better career winning percentage?
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    2008 +93 (in 58 games) 2007 +62 2003 +41 1998 +39 1989: +79 1984: +104
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I see you post this updated number in every game thread; what does it mean? It's how far we'd have to fall to miss the playoffs. We're 3.5 games ahead in our division and in the wild card, because the Cardinals hold the wild card. But if the Cardinals were to pass us, we'd still hold the wild card, so we go by the next team in line, the Marlins, whom we are five games ahead of. We are five games ahead of the team that'd have to pass us in order for us to miss the playoffs.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I've been dying to post this over there. Much of their hopes at this point are being pinned on how it isn't over because the Brewers were 8.5 games up last season but blew it. At the high point of their season, the 8.5 game lead on June 23rd, the Brewers had a run differential of +29 vs. the Cubs' of +22. The pythagorean win percentages were almost identical for the two teams. With the Cubs seven games ahead of the Brewers right now, the Cubs are at +93 runs and the Brewers are at -13, a difference of 10 games in pythagorean projection to this point.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cubs are now five full games clear of the last playoff spot.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    That's the part I don't understand. I was understand the bullpen usage until the 9th. In the 9th, Eyre needed to be brought in to face the same left-handers that Cotts faced in the 7th. No need to throw Marmol out there for more than the 2 outs he got in the 8th when you have a great situation for a left-hander to pitch. Betcha anything he was trying to get Marmol the save. Marmol did get the hold, funnily enough.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Petco isn't that deep down the lines. I don't think Barrett's was hit all that well at all, it was just the camera work faking us out.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Well we are 16 games over .500 so I think anyone who complains constantly or says something like what's above might want to take the results into account. The above statement would mean that at least 24 other managers would have us more than 16 games above .500. Has Lou made mistakes of course and I'm mad when they happen but I don't constantly criticize a guy who has winning. Marmol's arm will fall apart by mid August at this rate.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yeah, because that would have turned their season around...
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Does Lee have 11 GIDP or 12? B-R had him at 11 coming into tonight, unless they are updating live now.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Lee with style points. This flyball yips thing is contagious.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Lee's still right on his career averages, more or less. He's never going to be 2005 Lee again, but I'm okay with the one we have. The GIDP thing needs to stop, though.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Two quick outs against the no-name. Ballgame.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Grand slam. 4-4. Brilliant.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Medium-length fly ball (one of those every time I look up), 2 outs. Wild pitch, 2nd and 3rd, 2 outs. Walk, bases loaded. UBERfakerally.
×
×
  • Create New...